Saturday, February 29, 2020
對於YouTubers的觀察
我先前說過心理治療不是賴以為生的工作
意思是說你的生計不限於治療室治療才會發生
有點像得道者住在你家樓上七樓
不在少林武當
YouTube聽說被中共買斷收編
講中共不中意的就不給廣告收益
所以YouTubers的生計不應限於
會員收費和打賞和廣告收益
我已見過不少YouTubers成住壞空
重複說說到自己都嘔吐的例子
我不要舉例了
嘔吐是很耗能量的事情
愛因斯坦說過能量很重要
不信你和你的手機三天不充電看看
意思是說你的生計不限於治療室治療才會發生
有點像得道者住在你家樓上七樓
不在少林武當
YouTube聽說被中共買斷收編
講中共不中意的就不給廣告收益
所以YouTubers的生計不應限於
會員收費和打賞和廣告收益
我已見過不少YouTubers成住壞空
重複說說到自己都嘔吐的例子
我不要舉例了
嘔吐是很耗能量的事情
愛因斯坦說過能量很重要
不信你和你的手機三天不充電看看
Stealth Camping (Daseinsanalysis)
https://rvshare.com/blog/stealth-camping/
“the act of sleeping in non-conventional areas without trace or discovery”
野宿
所以 關鍵 是睡覺 當然不是睡在床上
而且 睡的時候 路人不知道
天亮 起身 去找早餐
好像沒有發生過
野宿者 會不會失眠 這是一個有趣的問題
好像 都一覺到天亮
到目前為止 我沒有見過 野宿者看書
可見 書 不相干
通常會花很多時間 表演精彩廚藝
所以晚餐 很重要
通常會強調在零下三十度 如何不被凍死
所以保暖 也很重要
我先前說過 讀佛經 要讀比丘 不要讀比丘尼 也不要讀居士
意思是說 野宿
要讀 果真 無家可歸的 流浪者的
不要讀 坐擁cozy人生的 玩票者的 的玩意
“the act of sleeping in non-conventional areas without trace or discovery”
野宿
所以 關鍵 是睡覺 當然不是睡在床上
而且 睡的時候 路人不知道
天亮 起身 去找早餐
好像沒有發生過
野宿者 會不會失眠 這是一個有趣的問題
好像 都一覺到天亮
到目前為止 我沒有見過 野宿者看書
可見 書 不相干
通常會花很多時間 表演精彩廚藝
所以晚餐 很重要
通常會強調在零下三十度 如何不被凍死
所以保暖 也很重要
我先前說過 讀佛經 要讀比丘 不要讀比丘尼 也不要讀居士
意思是說 野宿
要讀 果真 無家可歸的 流浪者的
不要讀 坐擁cozy人生的 玩票者的 的玩意
3:39 AM (Daseinsanalysis)
這是沉默的存在和流動
起因是遇到一句耐人尋味的話
耐人尋味的意思是足夠
比如說足夠的意象 (adequate metaphor)
足夠的意思是足夠撐起一段話一篇文章
一本書一個作品一片風景
風景不是景點
風景就是岩中花樹
內心有風景的人
是因為他沉默的存在和流動
遇到外於他但又內於他的
一句耐人尋味的話
上述就是詮釋學為什麼
是人文精神重建的基礎的原因
起因是遇到一句耐人尋味的話
耐人尋味的意思是足夠
比如說足夠的意象 (adequate metaphor)
足夠的意思是足夠撐起一段話一篇文章
一本書一個作品一片風景
風景不是景點
風景就是岩中花樹
內心有風景的人
是因為他沉默的存在和流動
遇到外於他但又內於他的
一句耐人尋味的話
上述就是詮釋學為什麼
是人文精神重建的基礎的原因
Friday, February 28, 2020
Homeless In a Uhaul - Living The Van Life (Daseinsanalysis)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_5zTdfR7B0&t=3s
now, you see, this is why I like LTVL, because that old van is Chad's way of life, way of being, not his toy, and I hope he has got it back (2020-2-28)
now, you see, this is why I like LTVL, because that old van is Chad's way of life, way of being, not his toy, and I hope he has got it back (2020-2-28)
Misinformation vs. Disinformation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Misinformation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disinformation
https://www.cup.com.hk/2017/12/07/difference-between-misinformation-and-disinformation/
都是假或錯誤
前者未必有意
後者有意為之
前者屬愚蠢無知
後者即邪惡本質
Misinformation is false or inaccurate information.
Disinformation is false information spread deliberately to deceive.
Therefore, the way to deal with misinformation is to keep the channels open, discriminate among the contradictory messages, and form your judgement.
And the way to deal with disinformation, is to respond with mis-disinformation, to mess with it, and to have a good belly laugh. For example, this is the only way to deal with the CCP propaganda.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disinformation
https://www.cup.com.hk/2017/12/07/difference-between-misinformation-and-disinformation/
都是假或錯誤
前者未必有意
後者有意為之
前者屬愚蠢無知
後者即邪惡本質
Misinformation is false or inaccurate information.
Disinformation is false information spread deliberately to deceive.
Therefore, the way to deal with misinformation is to keep the channels open, discriminate among the contradictory messages, and form your judgement.
And the way to deal with disinformation, is to respond with mis-disinformation, to mess with it, and to have a good belly laugh. For example, this is the only way to deal with the CCP propaganda.
The Misinformation Age: How False Beliefs Spread (Cailin O'Connor, James Owen Weatherall, Yale University Press, 2020-2-18)
The social dynamics of “alternative facts”: why what you believe depends on who you know
Why should we care about having true beliefs? And why do demonstrably false beliefs persist and spread despite bad, even fatal, consequences for the people who hold them?
Philosophers of science Cailin O’Connor and James Weatherall argue that social factors, rather than individual psychology, are what’s essential to understanding the spread and persistence of false beliefs. It might seem that there’s an obvious reason that true beliefs matter: false beliefs will hurt you. But if that’s right, then why is it (apparently) irrelevant to many people whether they believe true things or not?
The Misinformation Age, written for a political era riven by “fake news,” “alternative facts,” and disputes over the validity of everything from climate change to the size of inauguration crowds, shows convincingly that what you believe depends on who you know. If social forces explain the persistence of false belief, we must understand how those forces work in order to fight misinformation effectively. (amazon)
Why should we care about having true beliefs? And why do demonstrably false beliefs persist and spread despite bad, even fatal, consequences for the people who hold them?
Philosophers of science Cailin O’Connor and James Weatherall argue that social factors, rather than individual psychology, are what’s essential to understanding the spread and persistence of false beliefs. It might seem that there’s an obvious reason that true beliefs matter: false beliefs will hurt you. But if that’s right, then why is it (apparently) irrelevant to many people whether they believe true things or not?
The Misinformation Age, written for a political era riven by “fake news,” “alternative facts,” and disputes over the validity of everything from climate change to the size of inauguration crowds, shows convincingly that what you believe depends on who you know. If social forces explain the persistence of false belief, we must understand how those forces work in order to fight misinformation effectively. (amazon)
Fake News: Understanding Media and Misinformation in the Digital Age (ed. Melissa Zimdars, Kembrew McLeod, The MIT Press, 2020-2-18)
New perspectives on the misinformation ecosystem that is the production and circulation of fake news.
What is fake news? Is it an item on Breitbart, an article in The Onion, an outright falsehood disseminated via Russian bot, or a catchphrase used by a politician to discredit a story he doesn't like? This book examines the real fake news: the constant flow of purposefully crafted, sensational, emotionally charged, misleading or totally fabricated information that mimics the form of mainstream news. Rather than viewing fake news through a single lens, the book maps the various kinds of misinformation through several different disciplinary perspectives, taking into account the overlapping contexts of politics, technology, and journalism.
The contributors consider topics including fake news as “disorganized” propaganda; folkloric falsehood in the “Pizzagate” conspiracy; native advertising as counterfeit news; the limitations of regulatory reform and technological solutionism; Reddit's enabling of fake news; the psychological mechanisms by which people make sense of information; and the evolution of fake news in America. A section on media hoaxes and satire features an oral history of and an interview with prankster-activists the Yes Men, famous for parodies that reveal hidden truths. Finally, contributors consider possible solutions to the complex problem of fake news―ways to mitigate its spread, to teach students to find factually accurate information, and to go beyond fact-checking. (amazon)
The Dialectic of Digital Culture (ed. David Arditi, Jennifer Miller, at al., Lexington Books, 2019)
This edited collection analyzes the role of digital technology in contemporary society dialectically. While many authors, journalists, and commentators have argued that the internet and digital technologies will bring us democracy, equality, and freedom, digital culture often results in loss of privacy, misinformation, and exploitation. This collection challenges celebratory readings of digital technology by suggesting digital culture's potential is limited because of its fundamental relationship to oppressive social forces.The Dialectic of Digital Culture explores ways the digital realm challenges and reproduces power. The contributors provide innovative case studies of various phenomenon including #metoo, Etsy, mommy blogs, music streaming, sustainability, and net neutrality to reveal the reproduction of neoliberal cultural logics. In seemingly transformative digital spaces, these essays provide dialectical readings that challenge dominant narratives about technology and study specific aspects of digital culture that are often under explored. (amazon)
Check out the blog for more: http://blog.uta.edu/digitaldialectic
Check out the blog for more: http://blog.uta.edu/digitaldialectic
【書齋夜話】185：十七萬人大會的背後，體制已經無法正常運轉
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4JyI4fiJRB8
七千人大會是1962年1月11日到2月7日，在時任中國共產黨中央委員會主席毛澤東同意下中共中央在北京召開的擴大的中央工作會議。參加會議的有中央和中央各部門、各中央局、各省、市、地、縣的主要負責人，以及一些重要廠礦和部隊的負責幹部，共有七千餘人，因此這次大會又稱「七千人大會」。
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E4%B8%83%E5%8D%83%E4%BA%BA%E5%A4%A7%E4%BC%9A
當年七千人大會埋下了發起文化大革命的毛澤東那口憋著的惡氣不要忘記正英師父說過憋著一口惡氣不死你就會變成殭屍你認為這次十七萬人大會埋下的是習近平的甚麼鳥氣
七千人大會是1962年1月11日到2月7日，在時任中國共產黨中央委員會主席毛澤東同意下中共中央在北京召開的擴大的中央工作會議。參加會議的有中央和中央各部門、各中央局、各省、市、地、縣的主要負責人，以及一些重要廠礦和部隊的負責幹部，共有七千餘人，因此這次大會又稱「七千人大會」。
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E4%B8%83%E5%8D%83%E4%BA%BA%E5%A4%A7%E4%BC%9A
當年七千人大會埋下了發起文化大革命的毛澤東那口憋著的惡氣不要忘記正英師父說過憋著一口惡氣不死你就會變成殭屍你認為這次十七萬人大會埋下的是習近平的甚麼鳥氣
Death's Dream Kingdom: The American Psyche Since 9-11 (Walter A. Davis, Pluto Press, 2006)
Why is fear a dominant emotion in contemporary society? Why are politicians using words like 'terror', 'evil' and 'fundamentalism', and what effect is it having on public consciousness? Answering these questions, Walter A. Davis taps into the cultural psyche to explore the link between ideology and emotional and psychological manipulation. Starting with the three topics that have preoccupied social discourse since 9-11 -- terror, evil and fundamentalism -- he shows that the Bush administration has been hugely successful in controlling and developing a new political climate through the creation of an almost hypnotic mass consciousness. Davis's findings take us to the heart of the ideological paralysis of the Left, while offering an innovative approach to understanding contemporary history. Davis fuses a psychoanalytic and philosophical framework to explain the relation between culture and political events, from the sado-masochist hysteria of Mel Gibson's The Passion of the Christ, to the atrocities at Abu Ghraib prison; and from the genocidal use of depleted uranium in Iraq to the apocalyptic language driving the Christian Right's assault on basic human rights. He exposes the motives and belief-systems of this new American psyche and shows how it sustains the Bush administration's agenda. (amazon)
now, you see, there is no similar comparable self-reflective work in China, where only one voice is allowed to exist (2020-2-28)
now, you see, there is no similar comparable self-reflective work in China, where only one voice is allowed to exist (2020-2-28)
My Name Is Rachel Corrie (2006)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/My_Name_Is_Rachel_Corrie
Art and Politics:
Psychoanalysis, Ideology, Theatre, by Walter A. Davis, Pluto Press, 2007
This book explores the complex relationship between art and politics. Walter Davis uses his extensive knowledge of psychoanalysis to develop a philosophical critique of the impact that the current political climate is having on all artistic endeavour. He uses examples from a wide variety of fields including the theatre and popular culture, to show how true artistic freedom of expression is under threat from the ideological constraints imposed by contemporary capitalism. Starting with an analysis of the censorship of the play 'My Name is Rachel Corrie', which was withdrawn from production by a major New York theatre due to political pressure, Davis shows how all art that challenges the mainstream is suppressed or distorted to suit the politics of our time -- one that will not recognize the truth of human experience and the disorder at the heart of all civilization. (amazon) (accessible via scribd)
Aesthetics and Politics (Radical Thinkers) (Theodor Adorno, Walter Benjamin, Ernst Bloch, Bertolt Brecht, Georg Lukacs, Verso, 2007)
No other country and no other period has produced a tradition of major aesthetic debate to compare with that which unfolded in German culture from the 1930s to the 1950s. In Aesthetics and Politics the key texts of the great Marxist controversies over literature and art during these years are assembled in a single volume. They do not form a disparate collection but a continuous, interlinked debate between thinkers who have become giants of twentieth-century intellectual history. (amazon)
distancing effect (Bertolt Brecht 1898-1956)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bertolt_Brecht
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Distancing_effect
https://pages.gseis.ucla.edu/faculty/kellner/Illumina%20Folder/kell3.htm
https://business.nmsu.edu/~dboje/theatrics/brecht/
起因是一句話
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1Bcit1tiopovtkfw73H7wIhpIZbkopG4F?usp=sharing
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Distancing_effect
https://pages.gseis.ucla.edu/faculty/kellner/Illumina%20Folder/kell3.htm
https://business.nmsu.edu/~dboje/theatrics/brecht/
The distancing effect, more commonly known (earlier) by John Willett's 1964 translation as the alienation effect or (more recently) as the estrangement effect (German: Verfremdungseffekt), is a performing arts concept coined by German playwright Bertolt Brecht (1898–1956).
Brecht first used the term in an essay on "Alienation Effects in Chinese Acting" published in 1936, in which he described it as "playing in such a way that the audience was hindered from simply identifying itself with the characters in the play. Acceptance or rejection of their actions and utterances was meant to take place on a conscious plane, instead of, as hitherto, in the audience's subconscious".[1]
´a challenge to the
unquestioned valuing of empathy (based on a reading of therapy though a Brechtian lens).
´Andrew Samuels D.H.L.
(2017) The “Activist Client”: Social Responsibility, the Political Self, and
Clinical Practice in Psychotherapy and Psychoanalysis, Psychoanalytic
Dialogues, 27:6, 678-693.
Thursday, February 27, 2020
武漢一線醫護急呼國際救助 陸媒發了又刪
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=laAQVtPJ7Ds
This article has been retracted by The Lancet. Now, you see, everyone must kowtow to the fucking CCP, including you and me, and the Lancet, of course. (2020-2-27)
This article has been retracted by The Lancet. Now, you see, everyone must kowtow to the fucking CCP, including you and me, and the Lancet, of course. (2020-2-27)
RETRACTED: Chinese medical staff request international medical assistance in fighting against COVID-19
On Jan 24, 2020, we came to Wuhan, China, to support the local nurses in their fight against the COVID-19 infection. We entered the Wuhan isolation ward as the first batch of medical aid workers from Guangdong Province, China. The daily work we are doing is mainly focused on provision of oxygen, electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring, tube care, airway management, ventilator debugging, central venous intubation, haemodialysis care, and basic nursing care such as disposal and disinfection.
The conditions and environment here in Wuhan are more difficult and extreme than we could ever have imagined. There is a severe shortage of protective equipment, such as N95 respirators, face shields, goggles, gowns, and gloves. The goggles are made of plastic that must be repeatedly cleaned and sterilised in the ward, making them difficult to see through. Due to the need for frequent hand washing, several of our colleagues' hands are covered in painful rashes. As a result of wearing an N95 respirator for extended periods of time and layers of protective equipment, some nurses now have pressure ulcers on their ears and forehead. When wearing a mask to speak with patients, our voices are muted, so we have to speak very loudly. Wearing four layers of gloves is abnormally clumsy and does not work—we can't even open the packaging bags for medical devices, so giving patients injections is a huge challenge. In order to save energy and the time it takes to put on and take off protective clothing, we avoid eating and drinking for 2 hours before entering the isolation ward. Often, nurses' mouths are covered in blisters. Some nurses have fainted due to hypoglycaemia and hypoxia.
In addition to the physical exhaustion, we are also suffering psychologically. While we are professional nurses, we are also human. Like everyone else, we feel helplessness, anxiety, and fear. Experienced nurses occasionally find the time to comfort colleagues and try to relieve our anxiety. But even experienced nurses may also cry, possibly because we do not know how long we need to stay here and we are the highest-risk group for COVID-19 infection. So far 1716 Chinese staff have been infected with COVID-19 and nine of them have unfortunately passed away. Due to an extreme shortage of health-care professionals in Wuhan, 14 000 nurses from across China have voluntarily come to Wuhan to support local medical health-care professionals. But we need much more help. We are asking nurses and medical staff from countries around the world to come to China now, to help us in this battle.
We hope the COVID-19 epidemic will end soon, and that people worldwide will remain in good health.
We declare no competing interests.
Published: February 24, 2020
When will the coronavirus outbreak peak? (David Cyranoski, Nature, 2020-2-18)
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00361-5
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jYxiOJ8QxCE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jYxiOJ8QxCE
Worst case
Some researchers find such predictions overly optimistic. People in most Chinese cities started returning to work last week after an extended public-holiday period — opening up the possibility of new chains of transmission, says Hiroshi Nishiura, an epidemiologist at Hokkaido University in Sapporo, Japan.
Nishiura says he has used a model that estimates that the outbreak will peak sometime between late March and late May. At this point, he says, up to 2.3 million cases will be diagnosed in a single day. In total, he estimates that between 550 million and 650 million people across China will be infected, roughly 40% of the country’s population. Nishiura says that about half of those people will show symptoms.
Nishiura says he has submitted a paper describing the model and its prediction to the preprint server medRxiv. To make such a prediction, he says that his team considered the transmission potential inherent to the new virus — the basic reproduction number known as R0, which is related to R, although it assumes that everyone in the population is susceptible to infection. The team estimates the R0 is between 1.5 and 2.
He says that his model presents a relatively simplistic outlook because it assumes that everyone in the population is susceptible. It also reflects the view that many people who have been infected are asymptomatic or not unwell enough to seek medical treatment. If that is the case, the current number of reported cases massively underestimates the number of people infected, he says.
Gabriel Leung, an epidemiologist at the University of Hong Kong, says that Nishiura’s estimates are feasible. The community has no immunity to SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19 so “it will sweep through”, he says.
Leung says that while those estimates sound extreme, it’s still not clear how deadly the virus is. The latest calculation of the fatality rate, in a paper published by Zhong on 9 February, suggests that there are about 1.36 deaths per hundred cases. But that number is probably too high because the authors did not consider less severe cases. (Outside China, two deaths have been reported in 500 cases.)
critical psychotherapy
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1Bcit1tiopovtkfw73H7wIhpIZbkopG4F?usp=sharing
van life (Daseinsanalysis)
把van想成一個生命體簡單甚至極簡的財產和運作需要基本能源需要就近廁所需要通風保暖需要inconspicuous需要一罐啤酒需要考慮在地的氣候文化
VAN LIFE
https://gnomadhome.com/vanlife-how-to/
https://gnomadhome.com/vanlife-how-to/
https://brobible.com/culture/article/pros-and-cons-of-van-life/
https://www.booksurfcamps.com/news/pros-cons-living-van-life
https://dailyhive.com/mapped/van-life-travel-2019
https://projectvanlife.com/campervan-life-behind-the-scenes/
https://gnomadhome.com/vanlife-how-to/
https://brobible.com/culture/article/pros-and-cons-of-van-life/
https://www.booksurfcamps.com/news/pros-cons-living-van-life
https://dailyhive.com/mapped/van-life-travel-2019
https://projectvanlife.com/campervan-life-behind-the-scenes/
The Deep History of Ourselves: The Four-Billion-Year Story of How We Got Conscious Brains (Joseph LeDoux, Viking, 2019)
Longlisted for the PEN/E.O. Wilson Literary Science Writing Award
A leading neuroscientist offers a history of the evolution of the brain from unicellular organisms to the complexity of animals and human beings today
Renowned neuroscientist Joseph LeDoux digs into the natural history of life on earth to provide a new perspective on the similarities between us and our ancestors in deep time. This page-turning survey of the whole of terrestrial evolution sheds new light on how nervous systems evolved in animals, how the brain developed, and what it means to be human.
In The Deep History of Ourselves, LeDoux argues that the key to understanding human behavior lies in viewing evolution through the prism of the first living organisms. By tracking the chain of the evolutionary timeline he shows how even the earliest single-cell organisms had to solve the same problems we and our cells have to solve each day. Along the way, LeDoux explores our place in nature, how the evolution of nervous systems enhanced the ability of organisms to survive and thrive, and how the emergence of what we humans understand as consciousness made our greatest and most horrendous achievements as a species possible. (amazon)
A leading neuroscientist offers a history of the evolution of the brain from unicellular organisms to the complexity of animals and human beings today
Renowned neuroscientist Joseph LeDoux digs into the natural history of life on earth to provide a new perspective on the similarities between us and our ancestors in deep time. This page-turning survey of the whole of terrestrial evolution sheds new light on how nervous systems evolved in animals, how the brain developed, and what it means to be human.
In The Deep History of Ourselves, LeDoux argues that the key to understanding human behavior lies in viewing evolution through the prism of the first living organisms. By tracking the chain of the evolutionary timeline he shows how even the earliest single-cell organisms had to solve the same problems we and our cells have to solve each day. Along the way, LeDoux explores our place in nature, how the evolution of nervous systems enhanced the ability of organisms to survive and thrive, and how the emergence of what we humans understand as consciousness made our greatest and most horrendous achievements as a species possible. (amazon)
Wednesday, February 26, 2020
紀錄 (Daseinsanalysis)
已確定今天不回頭
所以值得紀錄
打算處理William Franke (2014)
A Philosophy of the Unsayable (Chap 3)
On Edmond Jabes and Paul Celan
關於van如果只是千里迢迢來到露營區
想省麻煩搭帳篷圖個方便睡車上
那這不是life on the wheels
這是sleep in the van
如果以van為家
像那個老英(The Nomadic Veteran)
這是mobile home
但似乎是不得已的憋屈
如果像Living the Van Life (Chad)
挑戰嚴苛天候
雪地過夜然後隔天起身下山
好像在做實驗
這些
都不符合我的想像
Pierre Joris的nomadic poetics
強調nomad的存在方式(way of being)
那是隨水草而居的遊牧
像侯鳥遷徙
但即使游牧即使侯鳥
也有遷徙的範圍和習性
nomad是相對於農業生活
把自己種在土地不動
當然我們的命運不是農業
而是被關在某個系統某間囚房一生
與土地無關
與天空無關
與the unsayable無關
所以這是必須的
與van有關
這也可以解釋Jack Reacher
作為一個當代存有的典範的必要
雖然他是hitch-hiker
與van沒有半毛錢關係
VW California系列的廣告詞是
買一種生活態度
開價兩百至三百萬
這是對自由的某種想像的價錢
Jack Reacher不需要這種名堂
所以關鍵在自由
與土地有關
與天空有關
與the unsayable有關
與你的存在方式(way of being)有關
與van未必有關
所以值得紀錄
打算處理William Franke (2014)
A Philosophy of the Unsayable (Chap 3)
On Edmond Jabes and Paul Celan
關於van如果只是千里迢迢來到露營區
想省麻煩搭帳篷圖個方便睡車上
那這不是life on the wheels
這是sleep in the van
如果以van為家
像那個老英(The Nomadic Veteran)
這是mobile home
但似乎是不得已的憋屈
如果像Living the Van Life (Chad)
挑戰嚴苛天候
雪地過夜然後隔天起身下山
好像在做實驗
這些
都不符合我的想像
Pierre Joris的nomadic poetics
強調nomad的存在方式(way of being)
那是隨水草而居的遊牧
像侯鳥遷徙
但即使游牧即使侯鳥
也有遷徙的範圍和習性
nomad是相對於農業生活
把自己種在土地不動
當然我們的命運不是農業
而是被關在某個系統某間囚房一生
與土地無關
與天空無關
與the unsayable無關
所以這是必須的
與van有關
這也可以解釋Jack Reacher
作為一個當代存有的典範的必要
雖然他是hitch-hiker
與van沒有半毛錢關係
VW California系列的廣告詞是
買一種生活態度
開價兩百至三百萬
這是對自由的某種想像的價錢
Jack Reacher不需要這種名堂
所以關鍵在自由
與土地有關
與天空有關
與the unsayable有關
與你的存在方式(way of being)有關
與van未必有關
2:19 AM (Daseinsanalysis)
Campervan太費周章有點招搖
Camping老骨頭太折騰
Altis好開耐操隨手被偷就算了
意思是說這就是我的van
像Chad一樣劈材生火煮飯太費事
意思是說7-11的飯糰很好
來到一個地方通常兩小時後就會想離開
比Jack Reacher的四十八小時定律更Jack Reacher
我說過這是尋訪蒼青駐足
我可沒有說要獨佔擁有蒼青
蒼就是蒼天青就是大地
我說過旅行的人必須有兩個行程(itineraries)
記得這句話你就可以隨處而安
即使遭逢倒楣也好樣發生在另一個人身上
你問那如果遭逢兩個倒楣呢
我點起紙菸心想我沒有想過這個有趣的問題
那你就真他媽的倒楣到家
不過這畢竟是難得的有趣的經驗
這是我對人生所能想到最大的恭維
中共封鎖捏造疫情真相信息
是否會再度大規模交叉感染傳播
挾Ro值4-6這個人工合成的病毒
在深夜裡深思你非常確定
牠的旅行還沒有結束
Paul Celan的最後十年遭逢The Goll Affair汙衊
反覆憂鬱住院被當成實驗動物一般治療
你能想像他媽的ECT後Celan還能他媽的寫他媽的詩嗎
所以你終於相信創造力和憂鬱是必要的攣生的兄弟
你也終於相信躍進塞納河是必要的黑夜的結局
長詩和系列的詩有甚麼差別
Breathturn (Atemwende) 直譯呼吸之間
差別在長詩意在epic
系列的詩意在lyrical
Lyrical就是你三個禮拜不洗澡
開著Altis來到墾丁看著蔚藍的大海
Camping老骨頭太折騰
Altis好開耐操隨手被偷就算了
意思是說這就是我的van
像Chad一樣劈材生火煮飯太費事
意思是說7-11的飯糰很好
來到一個地方通常兩小時後就會想離開
比Jack Reacher的四十八小時定律更Jack Reacher
我說過這是尋訪蒼青駐足
我可沒有說要獨佔擁有蒼青
蒼就是蒼天青就是大地
我說過旅行的人必須有兩個行程(itineraries)
記得這句話你就可以隨處而安
即使遭逢倒楣也好樣發生在另一個人身上
你問那如果遭逢兩個倒楣呢
我點起紙菸心想我沒有想過這個有趣的問題
那你就真他媽的倒楣到家
不過這畢竟是難得的有趣的經驗
這是我對人生所能想到最大的恭維
中共封鎖捏造疫情真相信息
是否會再度大規模交叉感染傳播
挾Ro值4-6這個人工合成的病毒
在深夜裡深思你非常確定
牠的旅行還沒有結束
Paul Celan的最後十年遭逢The Goll Affair汙衊
反覆憂鬱住院被當成實驗動物一般治療
你能想像他媽的ECT後Celan還能他媽的寫他媽的詩嗎
所以你終於相信創造力和憂鬱是必要的攣生的兄弟
你也終於相信躍進塞納河是必要的黑夜的結局
長詩和系列的詩有甚麼差別
Breathturn (Atemwende) 直譯呼吸之間
差別在長詩意在epic
系列的詩意在lyrical
Lyrical就是你三個禮拜不洗澡
開著Altis來到墾丁看著蔚藍的大海
The Activist Client (Critical Psychotherapy)
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1Bcit1tiopovtkfw73H7wIhpIZbkopG4F?usp=sharing
Van Dwelling
https://en.wikibooks.org/wiki/Van_Dwelling
You can follow the seasons, follow the band, follow your whims.
You can follow the seasons, follow the band, follow your whims.
The Generation of Postmemory: Writing and Visual Culture After the Holocaust (Marianne Hirsch, Columbia University Press, 2012)
Can we remember other people's memories? The Generation of Postmemory argues we can: that memories of traumatic events live on to mark the lives of those who were not there to experience them. Children of survivors and their contemporaries inherit catastrophic histories not through direct recollection but through haunting postmemories—multiply mediated images, objects, stories, behaviors, and affects passed down within the family and the culture at large.
In these new and revised critical readings of the literary and visual legacies of the Holocaust and other, related sites of memory, Marianne Hirsch builds on her influential concept of postmemory. The book's chapters, two of which were written collaboratively with the historian Leo Spitzer, engage the work of postgeneration artists and writers such as Art Spiegelman, W.G. Sebald, Eva Hoffman, Tatana Kellner, Muriel Hasbun, Anne Karpff, Lily Brett, Lorie Novak, David Levinthal, Nancy Spero and Susan Meiselas. Grappling with the ethics of empathy and identification, these artists attempt to forge a creative postmemorial aesthetic that reanimates the past without appropriating it. In her analyses of their fractured texts, Hirsch locates the roots of the familial and affiliative practices of postmemory in feminism and other movements for social change. Using feminist critical strategies to connect past and present, words and images, and memory and gender, she brings the entangled strands of disparate traumatic histories into more intimate contact. With more than fifty illustrations, her text enables a multifaceted encounter with foundational and cutting edge theories in memory, trauma, gender, and visual culture, eliciting a new understanding of history and our place in it. (amazon)
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nAfZRj-u5BpALNhf4qyudyPRfV6tiw4R/view?usp=sharing (Marianne Hirsch, 2008)
In these new and revised critical readings of the literary and visual legacies of the Holocaust and other, related sites of memory, Marianne Hirsch builds on her influential concept of postmemory. The book's chapters, two of which were written collaboratively with the historian Leo Spitzer, engage the work of postgeneration artists and writers such as Art Spiegelman, W.G. Sebald, Eva Hoffman, Tatana Kellner, Muriel Hasbun, Anne Karpff, Lily Brett, Lorie Novak, David Levinthal, Nancy Spero and Susan Meiselas. Grappling with the ethics of empathy and identification, these artists attempt to forge a creative postmemorial aesthetic that reanimates the past without appropriating it. In her analyses of their fractured texts, Hirsch locates the roots of the familial and affiliative practices of postmemory in feminism and other movements for social change. Using feminist critical strategies to connect past and present, words and images, and memory and gender, she brings the entangled strands of disparate traumatic histories into more intimate contact. With more than fifty illustrations, her text enables a multifaceted encounter with foundational and cutting edge theories in memory, trauma, gender, and visual culture, eliciting a new understanding of history and our place in it. (amazon)
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nAfZRj-u5BpALNhf4qyudyPRfV6tiw4R/view?usp=sharing (Marianne Hirsch, 2008)
Tuesday, February 25, 2020
Vandwelling
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vandwelling
well, while for others it may be one step from living on the street or in a shelter
well, while for others it may be one step from living on the street or in a shelter
the durable image (Daseinsanalysis)
W. G. Sebald應是很好的例子
這是說故事的策略你可以說
我唯一珍惜的是片斷的停留
年輕的時候我不知道停留就是不捨
然後那條線把那些片斷連串起來
你可以理解那不是一條直線
或可以重複操作使用的線
比如說我不要舉例了
這時你終於懂得珍惜法國人的意象
比如說Francoise Davoine和Jean-Max Gaudilliere
說話的方式想創傷的方式
意思是說一個意象串起一片風景
看到這樣的作品你會感動
你會回來
你會意外發現
耐人尋味
和比現實還真實
的真實
這是說故事的策略你可以說
我唯一珍惜的是片斷的停留
年輕的時候我不知道停留就是不捨
然後那條線把那些片斷連串起來
你可以理解那不是一條直線
或可以重複操作使用的線
比如說我不要舉例了
這時你終於懂得珍惜法國人的意象
比如說Francoise Davoine和Jean-Max Gaudilliere
說話的方式想創傷的方式
意思是說一個意象串起一片風景
看到這樣的作品你會感動
你會回來
你會意外發現
耐人尋味
和比現實還真實
的真實
Monday, February 24, 2020
trauma: personal and historical (workshop) (2020-2-29)
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1CBeYr65vS-YLLuOwTL4QFvSITsaih-h0?usp=sharing
Sunday, February 23, 2020
中共高层预订逃离计划
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5UipsmvqNw
WASHINGTON — As Chinese officials face allegations of locking down information about the spread of the coronavirus, U.S. intelligence agencies have been helping in governmentwide efforts to gather information about the disease’s global spread.
Already, some of the best information about the coronavirus and the Chinese government’s response to it is coming from military channels, according to two sources familiar with the matter.
“China’s behavior causes the intelligence community to get involved,” said one of those sources, a former intelligence official. “Because no data means spying.”
The former official indicated that the most important issue being tracked is the Chinese leadership plans for what is known as “continuity of operations,” meaning the ability for the government to maintain its basic functions during an unprecedented crisis, such as nuclear war or natural disaster.
In China, this might involve senior leaders leaving the country or seeking safety in shelters, “like U.S. doomsday bunkers,” said the source. The intel community, said the source, is seeing some signs Chinese officials are making those kinds of contingency plans, indicating the potential level of concern within Beijing.
On Hermeneutics (maybe 2020-2-26) (Daseinsanalysis)
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1XBDLP06nLlyyc85MciRUkyHXBUAvzkOy?usp=sharing
As China fights the coronavirus, some say it has gone too far (Keith Bradsher, NYT, 2020-2-22)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXqNLqmiGkc
https://cn.nytimes.com/business/20200221/china-economy-quarantine/zh-hant/
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/as-china-fights-the-coronavirus-some-say-it-has-gone-too-far/articleshow/74248476.cms?from=mdr
https://cn.nytimes.com/business/20200221/china-economy-quarantine/zh-hant/
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/as-china-fights-the-coronavirus-some-say-it-has-gone-too-far/articleshow/74248476.cms?from=mdr
[评论] 文在寅的韩中命运共同体让人不寒而栗 (杨相勋, 朝鮮日報, 2020-2-20)
https://cnnews.chosun.com/client/news/viw.asp?cate=C08&mcate=M1001&nNewsNumb=20200253184&nidx=53185
我喜爱中国灿烂的文明，我觉得这是人类最好的文明。我喜欢中国的汉字，喜欢那种表现的张力、如同人类思想宝库一样的历史以及升华为艺术的造型美。看到齐白石的画，让我仿佛丢了魂魄；站在描绘唐朝城市的巨幅工笔画前，舍不得离开。当看到一件具有21世纪感觉的700年前的中国瓷器后，简直怀疑自己的眼睛。在兵马俑面前，甚至觉得有些气馁。我读着如同大河般的中国历史长大，读过好几遍的书只有《三国演义》和《水浒传》。
但我不能喜欢中国共产党。虽说它让中国大陆摆脱了贫困，但其造成的危害也非常大。我认为它不是共产主义，而是新形式的纳粹主义。同时高喊自相矛盾的国家主义和社会主义，提出“中华民族复兴”和“中国梦”，听起来好像希特勒的国家社会主义（纳粹）、伟大的德意志民族第三帝国云云。我忘不了毛泽东建造的地狱、大跃进运动、文化大革命，让人不寒而栗，他和金日成谋划南侵，还派遣军队杀害我们的父母兄弟，阻碍了大韩民国的统一。
有人说“中国是一个9000万共产党员啃食13亿人民的社会”。这话并不夸张。共产党追求平等不过是为了宣传。国际调查报道协会曝光了中国共产党干部在避税天堂——维尔京群岛成立幽灵公司，窃取1000-4000万亿韩元（人民币约5.8-23.5万亿元）的事实。习近平的姐夫、胡锦涛的堂兄、邓小平的女婿、李鹏和温家宝的女儿和儿子都在名单之列。
中国共产党干部的不正之风超乎想象。在共产党内受到帝王般待遇的常务委员（周永康）的敛财规模高达15万亿韩元（人民币约880亿元），统战部长为14万亿韩元（人民币约821亿元），军队干部为3万亿韩元（人民币约175.8亿元），共产党中央军事委员会副主席家里的现金因为难以清点，只好进行称重，结果重达1吨。这个共产党表面上是俭朴和为人民着想的。中国前总理温家宝一直穿着旧皮鞋和夹克，但据了解，他家的财产多达数千亿韩元。据说，他的夫人在某个展览上佩戴的珠宝总额高达3亿韩元（人民币约176万元）。共产党实权者的妻子像电影的情节一样暗杀了外国企业家，要不是她的丈夫卷入了政治风波，她原本不会有什么事。
一个没有民主、法治和人权的世界超级大国，与暴力分子有多大区别？在天安门广场悼念数千名遇难同胞的香港市民高呼：“昨天的天安门就是现在的香港，现在的香港就是明天的世界。”香港书店的老板因出售批判共产党干部的书籍而接连被劫持到中国大陆。中国环境运动家送朋友去机场的过程中被公安带走，过了很久才发现其尸体。中国共产党的霸权正在日益扩大，世界将暴露在这种暴力面前。
中国共产党正在谋求对整个亚洲的霸权。关于中国共产党的韩半岛战略，韩国元老政治学者、前翰林大学校长李相禹说：“将朝鲜变成中国的一个省，把韩国从韩美同盟中分离出来，使其芬兰化。” “芬兰化”指的是看周边强国的眼色行事，主权残缺的国家。习近平过分的萨德报复，有意忽视韩国总统文在寅，故意让韩国总统特使坐在香港行政长官的座位上等，都把重点放在韩国的芬兰化上。从文在寅向中国做出“三不承诺”开始，已经让出了主权。习近平对美国总统说：“韩国是中国的一部分。”中国共产党想要回到过去。
中国共产党以涉嫌造谣为名，逮捕了披露武汉发生疫情的医生。这是典型的共产党方式。如果当时他们好好行事，现在中国人就不会遭遇如此巨大的悲剧，也不会有疫情威胁全世界。疫情猖獗，负责人习近平却躲了起来。共产党人做任何事都不承担任何责任，这是永久执政。现在甚至不仅是党，习近平个人也要永久执政。中国人民无法想象一个没有共产党的政府，一个对错误承担责任的政府。今后，等到度过疫情的难关，共产党就会以恐怖的气氛压制人民的愤怒和自由的要求。
喜欢中国共产党，尊敬毛泽东，自贬为“大山中国前面的小国韩国”的韩国运动圈和文在寅，现在都说“韩中是命运共同体”。这让人不寒而栗。当中国的疫情猖獗，世界各国纷纷停飞与中国的航班时，韩国迫不得已只阻断了湖北省一个地方的航线，难道这就是“文在寅式的命运共同体”吗？中国大使也拥护称“中韩是命运共同体”。一些人说，韩国与中国的贸易交易额太大，这也是出于无奈。有哪个命运共同体是抓住贸易额巨大的弱点作为威胁筹码的呢？我们是否应该和没有人权、言论自由和投票权、暴力对待邻国的集团成为命运共同体呢？国民不愿意，就让文在寅和民主党跟中国共产党成为命运共同体吧。
我喜爱中国灿烂的文明，我觉得这是人类最好的文明。我喜欢中国的汉字，喜欢那种表现的张力、如同人类思想宝库一样的历史以及升华为艺术的造型美。看到齐白石的画，让我仿佛丢了魂魄；站在描绘唐朝城市的巨幅工笔画前，舍不得离开。当看到一件具有21世纪感觉的700年前的中国瓷器后，简直怀疑自己的眼睛。在兵马俑面前，甚至觉得有些气馁。我读着如同大河般的中国历史长大，读过好几遍的书只有《三国演义》和《水浒传》。
但我不能喜欢中国共产党。虽说它让中国大陆摆脱了贫困，但其造成的危害也非常大。我认为它不是共产主义，而是新形式的纳粹主义。同时高喊自相矛盾的国家主义和社会主义，提出“中华民族复兴”和“中国梦”，听起来好像希特勒的国家社会主义（纳粹）、伟大的德意志民族第三帝国云云。我忘不了毛泽东建造的地狱、大跃进运动、文化大革命，让人不寒而栗，他和金日成谋划南侵，还派遣军队杀害我们的父母兄弟，阻碍了大韩民国的统一。
有人说“中国是一个9000万共产党员啃食13亿人民的社会”。这话并不夸张。共产党追求平等不过是为了宣传。国际调查报道协会曝光了中国共产党干部在避税天堂——维尔京群岛成立幽灵公司，窃取1000-4000万亿韩元（人民币约5.8-23.5万亿元）的事实。习近平的姐夫、胡锦涛的堂兄、邓小平的女婿、李鹏和温家宝的女儿和儿子都在名单之列。
中国共产党干部的不正之风超乎想象。在共产党内受到帝王般待遇的常务委员（周永康）的敛财规模高达15万亿韩元（人民币约880亿元），统战部长为14万亿韩元（人民币约821亿元），军队干部为3万亿韩元（人民币约175.8亿元），共产党中央军事委员会副主席家里的现金因为难以清点，只好进行称重，结果重达1吨。这个共产党表面上是俭朴和为人民着想的。中国前总理温家宝一直穿着旧皮鞋和夹克，但据了解，他家的财产多达数千亿韩元。据说，他的夫人在某个展览上佩戴的珠宝总额高达3亿韩元（人民币约176万元）。共产党实权者的妻子像电影的情节一样暗杀了外国企业家，要不是她的丈夫卷入了政治风波，她原本不会有什么事。
一个没有民主、法治和人权的世界超级大国，与暴力分子有多大区别？在天安门广场悼念数千名遇难同胞的香港市民高呼：“昨天的天安门就是现在的香港，现在的香港就是明天的世界。”香港书店的老板因出售批判共产党干部的书籍而接连被劫持到中国大陆。中国环境运动家送朋友去机场的过程中被公安带走，过了很久才发现其尸体。中国共产党的霸权正在日益扩大，世界将暴露在这种暴力面前。
中国共产党正在谋求对整个亚洲的霸权。关于中国共产党的韩半岛战略，韩国元老政治学者、前翰林大学校长李相禹说：“将朝鲜变成中国的一个省，把韩国从韩美同盟中分离出来，使其芬兰化。” “芬兰化”指的是看周边强国的眼色行事，主权残缺的国家。习近平过分的萨德报复，有意忽视韩国总统文在寅，故意让韩国总统特使坐在香港行政长官的座位上等，都把重点放在韩国的芬兰化上。从文在寅向中国做出“三不承诺”开始，已经让出了主权。习近平对美国总统说：“韩国是中国的一部分。”中国共产党想要回到过去。
中国共产党以涉嫌造谣为名，逮捕了披露武汉发生疫情的医生。这是典型的共产党方式。如果当时他们好好行事，现在中国人就不会遭遇如此巨大的悲剧，也不会有疫情威胁全世界。疫情猖獗，负责人习近平却躲了起来。共产党人做任何事都不承担任何责任，这是永久执政。现在甚至不仅是党，习近平个人也要永久执政。中国人民无法想象一个没有共产党的政府，一个对错误承担责任的政府。今后，等到度过疫情的难关，共产党就会以恐怖的气氛压制人民的愤怒和自由的要求。
喜欢中国共产党，尊敬毛泽东，自贬为“大山中国前面的小国韩国”的韩国运动圈和文在寅，现在都说“韩中是命运共同体”。这让人不寒而栗。当中国的疫情猖獗，世界各国纷纷停飞与中国的航班时，韩国迫不得已只阻断了湖北省一个地方的航线，难道这就是“文在寅式的命运共同体”吗？中国大使也拥护称“中韩是命运共同体”。一些人说，韩国与中国的贸易交易额太大，这也是出于无奈。有哪个命运共同体是抓住贸易额巨大的弱点作为威胁筹码的呢？我们是否应该和没有人权、言论自由和投票权、暴力对待邻国的集团成为命运共同体呢？国民不愿意，就让文在寅和民主党跟中国共产党成为命运共同体吧。
關於池塘 (Daseinsanalysis)
發現一個湖正確的說是一個池塘
發現另一個湖正確的說也是一個池塘
所以正確的說是發現了兩個池塘
不能強求住在池塘旁邊我知道
但閒雲野鶴不住池塘旁邊
還能住在哪裡
我知道我已準備離去
倒數十六天刑期
居然開始不捨此生
發現另一個湖正確的說也是一個池塘
所以正確的說是發現了兩個池塘
不能強求住在池塘旁邊我知道
但閒雲野鶴不住池塘旁邊
還能住在哪裡
我知道我已準備離去
倒數十六天刑期
居然開始不捨此生
5:38 AM (Daseinsanalysis)
意志的界限和超過界限就是自戀
人定勝天就是意志
與天鬥與地鬥與人鬥其樂無窮就是意志
will to power will to truth will to heal will to meaning 的 will 就是意志
尋訪蒼青駐足
行止交由天色決定
你告訴我
這算哪門子意志
Chad開著他的van上山宿營生火煮飯
冰天雪地的山林實在驚人
通常隔天一早下山
所以有趣的是那個風雪中的夜
這時你要信任你的系統
包括那個中國製的柴油暖爐
VW的小貨車
和Trayvax的小刀
關鍵是你無法久留
他帶的食物柴火補給只夠一晚
車外的溫度零下數十度
意思是說只能吃完飯睡覺
隔天下山回到文明
Chad的音樂選得很好
有些鏡頭室外於他的所以不知道是怎麼拍的
從頭到尾我沒有看到Chad讀海德格的哲學
顯然海德格的溫度不到零下
意思是說那是尚可居住的溫度
我沒有見過老海拍自媒體生火煮飯
這件事哲學史略過不提
回到冰天雪地的山林
我剛剛說過實在驚人
這是一切出發的理由
人定勝天就是意志
與天鬥與地鬥與人鬥其樂無窮就是意志
will to power will to truth will to heal will to meaning 的 will 就是意志
尋訪蒼青駐足
行止交由天色決定
你告訴我
這算哪門子意志
Chad開著他的van上山宿營生火煮飯
冰天雪地的山林實在驚人
通常隔天一早下山
所以有趣的是那個風雪中的夜
這時你要信任你的系統
包括那個中國製的柴油暖爐
VW的小貨車
和Trayvax的小刀
關鍵是你無法久留
他帶的食物柴火補給只夠一晚
車外的溫度零下數十度
意思是說只能吃完飯睡覺
隔天下山回到文明
Chad的音樂選得很好
有些鏡頭室外於他的所以不知道是怎麼拍的
從頭到尾我沒有看到Chad讀海德格的哲學
顯然海德格的溫度不到零下
意思是說那是尚可居住的溫度
我沒有見過老海拍自媒體生火煮飯
這件事哲學史略過不提
回到冰天雪地的山林
我剛剛說過實在驚人
這是一切出發的理由
Saturday, February 22, 2020
Report 6: Relative sensitivity of international surveillance (MRC, Imperial College London, 2020-2-21)
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/
Summary Report 6
Since the start of the COVID-19 epidemic in late 2019, there are now 29 affected regions and countries with over 1000 confirmed cases outside of mainland China. In previous reports, we estimated the likely epidemic size in Wuhan City based on air traffic volumes and the number of detected cases internationally. Here we analysed COVID-19 cases exported from mainland China to different regions and countries, comparing the country-specific rates of detected and confirmed cases per flight volume to estimate the relative sensitivity of surveillance in different countries. Although travel restrictions from Wuhan City and other cities across China may have reduced the absolute number of travellers to and from China, we estimated that about two thirds of COVID-19 cases exported from mainland China have remained undetected worldwide, potentially resulting in multiple chains of as yet undetected human-to-human transmission outside mainland China.
Summary Report 6
Since the start of the COVID-19 epidemic in late 2019, there are now 29 affected regions and countries with over 1000 confirmed cases outside of mainland China. In previous reports, we estimated the likely epidemic size in Wuhan City based on air traffic volumes and the number of detected cases internationally. Here we analysed COVID-19 cases exported from mainland China to different regions and countries, comparing the country-specific rates of detected and confirmed cases per flight volume to estimate the relative sensitivity of surveillance in different countries. Although travel restrictions from Wuhan City and other cities across China may have reduced the absolute number of travellers to and from China, we estimated that about two thirds of COVID-19 cases exported from mainland China have remained undetected worldwide, potentially resulting in multiple chains of as yet undetected human-to-human transmission outside mainland China.
When will the coronavirus outbreak peak? (David Cyranoski, Nature, 2020-2-18)
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00361-5
Officials want to know but predictions vary wildly, from now to after hundreds of millions of people are infected.
Officials want to know but predictions vary wildly, from now to after hundreds of millions of people are infected.
Coronavirus infections in China continue to swell by thousands a day, prompting epidemiologists to estimate when the outbreak will peak. Some suggest the climax, when the number of new infections in a single day reaches its highest point, will happen any time now. Others say that it is months away and that the virus will infect millions — or in one estimate hundreds of millions — of people first.
Public health officials want to know roughly when the peak will be — and how many will be infected — so that they can prepare hospitals and know when it will be safe to lift travel restrictions. Wuhan, the city at the centre of the epidemic, and several other nearby cities have been on lockdown since late January.
Latest news on the coronavirus
Although peak predictions can be illuminating, some researchers warn that accuracy is difficult to achieve, especially when the data used in models are incomplete. “If you revise your predictions every week to say that the outbreak will peak in a week or two, eventually you will be correct,” says Brian Labus, who works on disease surveillance at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas.
Optimistic scenario
On 11 February, Zhong Nanshan, a prominent Chinese physician leading a panel of experts helping to control the outbreak, said that the coronavirus will possibly peak by the end of February. Zhong, who is famous for discovering the SARS virus, said the situation had improved with government control measures, such as travel restrictions and extended holidays, although he admitted that it was still a “difficult period” for Wuhan.
More than 80 clinical trials launch to test coronavirus treatments
So far, more than 70,000 people have been confirmed to have the disease, now known as COVID-19, in China. But many scientists assume that the number of cases is higher than is being reported. They suspect that China has too few diagnostic tests and health-care workers to confirm all cases. Some scientists also wonder whether Zhong is just trying to reassure people, given the outbreak’s impact on the economy and society.
At least one model aligns with Zhong’s estimate. Researchers at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine predict that the peak could occur anytime now. Sebastian Funk, a statistician who models infectious diseases and who coauthored the analysis, says the prediction is based on an estimate that one infected person in Wuhan was, on average, infecting between 1.5 and 4.5 others — a measure known as the virus’s effective reproduction number, or R — before the travel restrictions were introduced on 23 January. Funk estimates that at the peak around a million people, about 10% of Wuhan's population, will be infected.
Funk posted the analysis, which has not been peer-reviewed, on his institute’s website on 12 February. But he says that since it was done, a decline in the number of new cases and deaths in Wuhan suggests that infections might have already peaked. (More than 14,000 new cases were reported on 13 February, but the bump was due to authorities changing the way cases are diagnosed and not a true spike).
Worst case
Some researchers find such predictions overly optimistic. People in most Chinese cities started returning to work last week after an extended public-holiday period — opening up the possibility of new chains of transmission, says Hiroshi Nishiura, an epidemiologist at Hokkaido University in Sapporo, Japan.
Coronavirus: hospitals must learn from past pandemics
Nishiura says he has used a model that estimates that the outbreak will peak sometime between late March and late May. At this point, he says, up to 2.3 million cases will be diagnosed in a single day. In total, he estimates that between 550 million and 650 million people across China will be infected, roughly 40% of the country’s population. Nishiura says that about half of those people will show symptoms.
Nishiura says he has submitted a paper describing the model and its prediction to the preprint server medRxiv. To make such a prediction, he says that his team considered the transmission potential inherent to the new virus — the basic reproduction number known as R0, which is related to R, although it assumes that everyone in the population is susceptible to infection. The team estimates the R0 is between 1.5 and 2.
He says that his model presents a relatively simplistic outlook because it assumes that everyone in the population is susceptible. It also reflects the view that many people who have been infected are asymptomatic or not unwell enough to seek medical treatment. If that is the case, the current number of reported cases massively underestimates the number of people infected, he says.
Gabriel Leung, an epidemiologist at the University of Hong Kong, says that Nishiura’s estimates are feasible. The community has no immunity to SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19 so “it will sweep through”, he says.
Leung says that while those estimates sound extreme, it’s still not clear how deadly the virus is. The latest calculation of the fatality rate, in a paper published by Zhong on 9 February, suggests that there are about 1.36 deaths per hundred cases. But that number is probably too high because the authors did not consider less severe cases. (Outside China, two deaths have been reported in 500 cases.)
Quarantine measures
Leung says it's also unclear what effect, if any, that control measures, such as travel bans and quarantining people, have had on the timing and severity of the peak. Nishiura and Funk say their models excluded these measures because their efficacy is uncertain.
As coronavirus spreads, the time to think about the next epidemic is now
Many scientists say that control measures might not, ultimately, decrease the number of people infected. But they could extend the time taken for the epidemic to peak, by slowing transmission, says Leung.
Reducing the number of people who get infected at the peak is important, says Leung. If everyone gets sick at the same time, “the entire society grinds to a halt,” he says. “Health services will be overwhelmed and people will die.”
Winter Survival - Alone In The Wilderness - Living The Van Life
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OD1M7-lPZrU
this one is awesomely beautiful, and i'm glad that the fallen trees blocking the road did not stop him
this one is awesomely beautiful, and i'm glad that the fallen trees blocking the road did not stop him
The coronavirus outbreak is reaching a global tipping point, and the window to contain it is 'narrowing,' according to WHO (2020-2-22)
https://www.businessinsider.com/who-window-narrowing-to-stop-global-spread-coronavirus-covid-19-2020-2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pqIalVdwolI
"This outbreak could go any direction," WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said. "It could even be messy." Later, he said off the record, "The CCP has played it dirtily throughout, but, you know, I'm a nice and cooperative guy, and well paid for my cooperation."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pqIalVdwolI
"This outbreak could go any direction," WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said. "It could even be messy." Later, he said off the record, "The CCP has played it dirtily throughout, but, you know, I'm a nice and cooperative guy, and well paid for my cooperation."
Reluctant Theologians: Franz Kafka, Paul Celan, Edmond Jabes (Studies in Religion and Literature) (Beth Hawkins, Fordham University Press, 2002)
Beth Hawkins focuses on the problematic faith in the works of Kafka, Celan, and Jabès to reevaluate the notions of God and covenant in light of Nietzsche's "death of God" hypothesis. the divine-human relation. In Reluctant Theologians, she shows that Kafka, Celan, and Jabès offer as a testament, as three unique instances of Kiddush Ha-Shem (sanctification of the divine name), to a divine source that persists at the same time as it is being continuously reconstituted in the moment of writing. What connects Kafka, Celan, and Jabès to a postmodern philosophy is their shared belief that a specifically Jewish ethic can serve as a model for a universal ethic. (amazon) (accessible via questia)
Friday, February 21, 2020
Paul Celan and Martin Heidegger: An Unresolved Conversation, 1951–1970 (James K. Lyon, Johns Hopkins University Press, 2006)
This work explores the troubled relationship and unfinished intellectual dialogue between Paul Celan, regarded by many as the most important European poet after 1945, and Martin Heidegger, perhaps the most influential figure in twentieth-century philosophy. It centers on the persistent ambivalence Celan, a Holocaust survivor, felt toward a thinker who respected him and at times promoted his poetry. Celan, although strongly affected by Heidegger's writings, struggled to reconcile his admiration of Heidegger's ideas on literature with his revulsion at the thinker's Nazi past. That Celan and Heidegger communicated with each other over a number of years, and in a controversial encounter, met in 1967, is well known. The full duration, extent, and nature of their exchanges and their impact on Celan's poetics has been less understood, however.
In the first systematic analysis of their relationship between 1951 and 1970, James K. Lyon describes how the poet and the philosopher read and responded to each other's work throughout the period. He offers new information about their interactions before, during, and after their famous 1967 meeting at Todtnauberg. He suggests that Celan, who changed his account of that meeting, may have contributed to misreadings of his poem "Todtnauberg." Finally, Lyon discusses their two last meetings after 1967 before the poet's death three years later.
Drawing heavily on documentary material―including Celan's reading notes on more than two dozen works by Heidegger, the philosopher's written response to the poet's "Meridian" speech, and references to Heidegger in Celan's letters―Lyon presents a focused perspective on this critical aspect of the poet's intellectual development and provides important insights into his relationship with Heidegger, transforming previous conceptions of it. (amazon)
Paul Celan (maybe 2020-2-26) (Daseinsanalysis)
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/15A_ZerkJvcdy-jG_cUyyVjBUdYtPwi8F?usp=sharing
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