Friday, October 5, 2018

Vice President Mike Pence's Remarks on the Administration's Policy Towards China (Hudson Institute 2018-10-4)

https://www.hudson.org/events/1610-vice-president-mike-pence-s-remarks-on-the-administration-s-policy-towards-china102018

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8DtP3PB-gc (同声传译)
Remarks delivered by President Mike Pence on the administration’s policy towards China at Hudson Institute on October 4, 2018:

Thank you, Ken, for that kind introduction. To the Members of the Board of Trustees, to Dr. Michael Pillsbury, to our distinguished guests, and to all of you who, true to your mission, “think about the future in unconventional ways” – it’s an honor to be back at the Hudson Institute.
For more than half a century, this Institute has dedicated itself to “advancing global security, prosperity, and freedom.” And while Hudson’s hometowns have changed over the years, one thing has held constant: You have always advanced that vital truth, that American leadership lights the way.
And today, I bring greetings from a champion of American leadership, at home and abroad – the 45th President of the United States of America, President Donald Trump.
From early in this administration, President Trump has made our relationship with China and President Xi a priority. On April 6th of last year, President Trump welcomed President Xi to Mar-A-Lago. On November 8th of last year, President Trump traveled to Beijing, where China’s leader welcomed him warmly.
Over the course of the past 2 years, our President has forged a strong personal relationship with the president of the People’s Republic of China, and they’ve worked closely on issues of common interest, most importantly the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula…
But I come before you today because the American people deserve to know… as we speak, Beijing is employing a whole-of-government approach, using political, economic, and military tools, as well as propaganda, to advance its influence and benefit its interests in the United States.
China is also applying this power in more proactive ways than ever before, to exert influence and interfere in the domestic policy and politics of our country.
Under our administration, we’ve taken decisive action to respond to China with American leadership, applying the principles, and the policies, long advocated in these halls.
In the “National Security Strategy” that President Trump released last December, he described a new era of “great power competition.” Foreign nations have begun to “reassert their influence regionally and globally,” and they are “contesting [America’s] geopolitical advantages and trying to change the international order in their favor.”
In this strategy, President Trump made clear that the United States of America has adopted a new approach to China. We seek a relationship grounded in fairness, reciprocity, and respect for sovereignty, and we have taken strong and swift action to achieve that goal.
As the President said last year on his visit to China, “we have an opportunity to strengthen the relationship between our two countries and improve the lives of our citizens.” Our vision of the future is built on the best parts of our past, when America and China reached out to one another in a spirit of openness and friendship…
When our young nation went searching in the wake of the Revolutionary War for new markets for our exports, the Chinese people welcomed Americans traders laden with ginseng and fur…
When China suffered through indignities and exploitation during her so-called “Century of Humiliation,” America refused to join in, and advocated the “Open Door” policy, so that we could have freer trade with China, and preserve their sovereignty…
When American missionaries brought the good news to China’s shores, they were moved by the rich culture of an ancient but vibrant people, and not only did they spread faith; they also founded some of China’s first and finest universities…
When the Second World War arose, we stood together as allies in the fight against imperialism… And in that war’s aftermath, America ensured that China became a Charter member of the United Nations, and a great shaper of the post-war world.
But soon after it took power in 1949, the Chinese Communist Party began to pursue authoritarian expansionism. Only five years after our nations had fought together, we fought each other, on the mountains and in the valleys of the Korean Peninsula. My own father saw combat on those frontlines of freedom.
Not even the brutal Korean War could diminish our mutual desire to restore the ties that for so long bound us together. China’s estrangement from the United States ended in 1972, and soon after, we re-established diplomatic relations, began to open our economies to one another, and American universities began training a new generation of Chinese engineers, business leaders, scholars, and officials.
After the fall of the Soviet Union, we assumed that a free China was inevitable. Heady with optimism, at the turn of the 21st Century, America agreed to give Beijing open access to our economy, and bring China into the World Trade Organization.
Previous administrations made this choice in the hope that freedom in China would expand in all forms – not just economically, but politically, with a newfound respect for classical liberal principles, private property, religious freedom, and the entire family of human rights… but that hope has gone unfulfilled.
The dream of freedom remains distant for the Chinese people. And while Beijing still pays lip service to “reform and opening,” Deng Xiaoping’s famous policy now rings hollow.
Over the past 17 years, China’s GDP has grown 9-fold; it has become the second-largest economy in the world. Much of this success was driven by American investment in China. And the Chinese Communist Party has also used an arsenal of policies inconsistent with free and fair trade, including tariffs, quotas, currency manipulation, forced technology transfer, intellectual property theft, and industrial subsidies doled out like candy, to name a few. These policies have built Beijing’s manufacturing base, at the expense of its competitors – especially America.
China’s actions have contributed to a trade deficit with the United States that last year ran to $375 billion – nearly half of our global trade deficit. As President Trump said just this week, “we rebuilt China” over the last 25 years.
Now, through the “Made in China 2025” plan, the Communist Party has set its sights on controlling 90% of the world’s most advanced industries, including robotics, biotechnology, and artificial intelligence. To win the commanding heights of the 21st Century economy, Beijing has directed its bureaucrats and businesses to obtain American intellectual property – the foundation of our economic leadership – by any means necessary.
Beijing now requires many American businesses to hand over their trade secrets as the cost of doing business in China. It also coordinates and sponsors the acquisition of American firms to gain ownership of their creations. Worst of all, Chinese security agencies have masterminded the wholesale theft of American technology – including cutting-edge military blueprints.
And using that stolen technology, the Chinese Communist Party is turning plowshares into swords on a massive scale…
China now spends as much on its military as the rest of Asia combined, and Beijing has prioritized capabilities to erode America’s military advantages – on land, at sea, in the air, and in space. China wants nothing less than to push the United States of America from the Western Pacific and attempt to prevent us from coming to the aid of our allies.
Beijing is also using its power like never before. Chinese ships routinely patrol around the Senkaku Islands, which are administered by Japan. And while China’s leader stood in the Rose Garden of the White House in 2015 and said that his country had “no intention to militarize the South China Sea,” today, Beijing has deployed advanced anti-ship and anti-air missiles atop an archipelago of military bases constructed on artificial islands.
China’s aggression was on display this week, when a Chinese naval vessel came within 45 yards of the USS Decatur as it conducted freedom-of-navigation operations in the South China Sea, forcing our ship to quickly maneuver to avoid collision. Despite such reckless harassment, the United States Navy will continue to fly, sail and operate wherever international law allows and our national interests demand. We will not be intimidated; we will not stand down.
America had hoped that economic liberalization would bring China into greater partnership with us and with the world. Instead, China has chosen economic aggression, which has in turn emboldened its growing military.
Nor, as we hoped, has Beijing moved toward greater freedom for its people. For a time, Beijing inched toward greater liberty and respect for human rights, but in recent years, it has taken a sharp U-turn toward control and oppression.
Today, China has built an unparalleled surveillance state, and it’s growing more expansive and intrusive – often with the help of U.S. technology. The “Great Firewall of China” likewise grows higher, drastically restricting the free flow of information to the Chinese people. And by 2020, China’s rulers aim to implement an Orwellian system premised on controlling virtually every facet of human life – the so-called “social credit score.” In the words of that program’s official blueprint, it will “allow the trustworthy to roam everywhere under heaven, while making it hard for the discredited to take a single step.”
And when it comes to religious freedom, a new wave of persecution is crashing down on Chinese Christians, Buddhists, and Muslims…
Last month, Beijing shut down one of China’s largest underground churches. Across the country, authorities are tearing down crosses, burning bibles, and imprisoning believers. And Beijing has now reached a deal with the Vatican that gives the avowedly atheist Communist Party a direct role in appointing Catholic bishops. For China’s Christians, these are desperate times.
Beijing is also cracking down on Buddhism. Over the past decade, more than 150 Tibetan Buddhist monks have lit themselves on fire to protest China’s repression of their beliefs and culture. And in Xinjiang, the Communist Party has imprisoned as many as one million Muslim Uyghurs in government camps where they endure around-the-clock brainwashing. Survivors of the camps have described their experiences as a deliberate attempt by Beijing to strangle Uyghur culture and stamp out the Muslim faith.
But as history attests, a country that oppresses its own people rarely stops there. Beijing also aims to extend its reach across the wider world. As Hudson’s own Dr. Michael Pillsbury has said, “China has opposed the actions and goals of the U.S. government. Indeed, China is building its own relationships with America’s allies and enemies that contradict any peaceful or productive intentions of Beijing.”
China uses so-called “debt diplomacy” to expand its influence.Today, that country is offering hundreds of billions of dollars in infrastructure loans to governments from Asia to Africa to Europe to even Latin America. Yet the terms of those loans are opaque at best, and the benefits flow overwhelmingly to Beijing.
Just ask Sri Lanka, which took on massive debt to let Chinese state companies build a port with questionable commercial value. Two years ago, that country could no longer afford its payments – so Beijing pressured Sri Lanka to deliver the new port directly into Chinese hands. It may soon become a forward military base for China’s growing blue-water navy.
Within our own hemisphere, Beijing has extended a lifeline to the corrupt and incompetent Maduro regime in Venezuela, pledging $5 billion in questionable loans that can be repaid with oil. China is also that country’s single largest creditor, saddling the Venezuelan people with more than $50 billion in debt. Beijing is also corrupting some nations’ politics by providing direct support to parties and candidates who promise to accommodate China’s strategic objectives…
And since last year, the Chinese Communist Party has convinced 3 Latin American nations to sever ties with Taipeiand recognize Beijing. These actions threaten the stability of the Taiwan Strait – and the United States of America condemns these actions. And while our administration will continue to respect our One China Policy, as reflected in the three joint communiques and the Taiwan Relations Act, America will always believe Taiwan’s embrace of democracy shows a better path for all the Chinese people.
These are only a few of the ways that China has sought to advance its strategic interests across the world, with growing intensity and sophistication. Yet previous administrations all but ignored China’s actions – and in many cases, they abetted them. But those days are over.
Under President Trump’s leadership, the United States of America has been defending our interests with renewed American strength…
We’ve been making the strongest military in the history of the world stronger still. Earlier this year, the President signed into law the largest increase in our national defense since the days of Ronald Reagan – $716 billion to extend our military dominance in every domain.
We’re modernizing our nuclear arsenal, we’re fielding and developing new cutting-edge fighters and bombers, we’re building a new generation of aircraft carriers and warships, and we’re investing as never before in our Armed Forces. This includes initiating the process to establish the United States Space Force to ensure our continued dominance in space, and authorizing increased capability in the cyber world to build deterrence against our adversaries.
And at President Trump’s direction, we’re also implementing tariffs on $250 billion in Chinese goods, with the highest tariffs specifically targeting the advanced industries that Beijing is trying to capture and control. And the President has also made clear that we’ll levy even more tariffs, with the possibility of substantially more than doubling that number, unless a fair and reciprocal deal is made.
Our actions have had a major impact. China’s largest stock exchange fell by 25% in the first 9 months of this year, in large part because our administration has stood up to Beijing’s trade practices.
As President Trump has made clear, we don’t want China’s markets to suffer. In fact, we want them to thrive. But the United States wants Beijing to pursue trade policies that are free, fair, and reciprocal.
Sadly, China’s rulers have refused to take that path – so far. The American people deserve to know that, in response to the strong stand that President Trump has taken, Beijing is pursuing a comprehensive and coordinated campaign to undermine support for the President, our agenda, and our nation’s most cherished ideals.
I want to tell you today what we know about China’s actions – some of which we’ve gleaned from intelligence assessments, some of which are publicly available. But all of which is fact.
As I said before, Beijing is employing a whole-of-government approach to advance its influence and benefit its interests. It’s employing this power in more proactive and coercive ways to interfere in the domestic policies and politics of the United States.
The Chinese Communist Party is rewarding or coercing American businesses, movie studios, universities, think tanks, scholars, journalists, and local, state, and federal officials.
Worst of all, China has initiated an unprecedented effort to influence American public opinion, the 2018 elections, and the environment leading into the 2020 presidential elections…
To put it bluntly, President Trump’s leadership is working; and China wants a different American President.
China is meddling in America’s democracy. As President Trump said just last week, we have “found that China has been attempting to interfere in our upcoming 2018 [midterm] election[s].”
Our intelligence community says that “China is targeting U.S. state and local governments and officials to exploit any divisions between federal and local levels on policy. It’s using wedge issues, like trade tariffs, to advance Beijing’s political influence.”
In June, Beijing circulated a sensitive document, entitled “Propaganda and Censorship Notice,” that laid out its strategy. It states that China must “strike accurately and carefully, splitting apart different domestic groups” in the United States.
To that end, Beijing has mobilized covert actors, front groups, and propaganda outlets to shift Americans’ perception of Chinese policies. As a senior career member of our intelligence community recently told me, what the Russians are doing pales in comparison to what China is doing across this country.
Senior Chinese officials have also tried to influence business leaders to condemn our trade actions, leveraging their desire to maintain their operations in China. In one recent example, they threatened to deny a business license for a major U.S. corporation if it refused to speak out against our administration’s policies.
And when it comes to influencing the midterms, you need only look at Beijing’s tariffs in response to ours. They specifically targeted industries and states that would play an important role in the 2018 election. By one estimate, more than 80% of U.S. counties targeted by China voted for President Trump in 2016; now China wants to turn these voters against our administration.
And China is also directly appealing to the American voter. Last week, the Chinese government paid to have a multipage supplement inserted into the Des Moines Register – the paper of record in the home state of our Ambassador to China, and a pivotal state in 2018. The supplement, designed to look like news articles, cast our trade policies as reckless and harmful to Iowans.
Fortunately, Americans aren’t buying it. For example: American farmers are standing with this President and are seeing real results from the strong stands that he’s taken, including this week’s U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, where we’ve substantially opened North American markets to U.S. products – a great win for American farmers and manufacturers.
But China’s actions aren’t focused solely on influencing our policies and politics. Beijing is also taking steps to exploit its economic leverage, and the allure of China’s large domestic market, to advance its influence over American corporations.
Beijing now requires American joint ventures that operate in China to establish “party organizations” within their company, giving the Communist Party a voice – and perhaps a veto – in hiring and investment decisions.
Chinese authorities have also threatened U.S. companies that depict Taiwan as a distinct geographic entity, or that stray from Chinese policy on Tibet. Beijing compelled Delta Airlines to publicly apologize for not calling Taiwan a “province of China” on its website. It also pressured Marriott to fire a U.S. employee who liked a tweet about Tibet.
Beijing routinely demands that Hollywood portray China in a strictly positive light, and it punishes studios and producers that don’t. Beijing’s censors are quick to edit or outlaw movies that criticize China, even in minor ways. “World War Z” had to cut the script’s mention of a virus originating in China. “Red Dawn” was digitally edited to make the villains North Korean, not Chinese.
Beyond business, the Chinese Communist Party is spending billions of dollars on propaganda outlets in the United States, as well as other countries.
China Radio International now broadcasts Beijing-friendly programming on over 30 U.S. outlets, many in major American cities. The China Global Television Network reaches more than 75 million Americans – and it gets its marching orders directly from its Communist Party masters. As China’s top leader put it during a visit to the network’s headquarters, “The media run by the Party and the government are propaganda fronts and must have the Party as their surname.”
That’s why, last month, the Department of Justice ordered that network to register as a foreign agent.
The Communist Party has also threatened and detained the Chinese family members of American journalists who pry too deep. And it has blocked the websites of U.S. media organizations and made it harder for our journalists to get visas. This happened after the New York Times published investigative reports about the wealth of some of China’s leaders.
But the media isn’t the only place where the Chinese Communist Party seeks to foster a culture of censorship. The same is true of academia.
Look no further than the Chinese Students and Scholars Associations, of which there are more than 150 branches across American campuses. These groups help organize social events for some of the more than 430,000 Chinese nationals studying in the United States; they also alert Chinese consulates and embassies when Chinese students, and American schools, stray from the Communist Party line.
At the University of Maryland, a Chinese student recently spoke at her graduation ceremony of what she called the “fresh air of free speech” in America. The Communist Party’s official newspaper swiftly chastised her, she became the victim of a firestorm of criticism on China’s tightly-controlled social media,and her family back home was harassed. As for the university itself, its exchange program with China – one of the nation’s most extensive – suddenly turned from a flood to a trickle.
China exerts academic pressure in other ways, too. Beijing provides generous funding to universities, think tanks, and scholars, with the understanding that they will avoid ideas that the Communist Party finds dangerous or offensive. China experts in particular know that their visas will be delayed or denied if their research contradicts Beijing’s talking points.
And even scholars and groups who avoid Chinese funding are targeted by that country, as the Hudson Institute found out firsthand. After you offered to host a speaker Beijing didn’t like, your website suffered a major cyber-attack, originating from Shanghai. You know better than most that the Chinese Communist Party is trying to undermine academic freedom and the freedom of speech in America today.
These and other actions, taken as a whole, constitute an intensifying effort to shift American public opinion and public policy away from the America First leadership of President Donald Trump. But our message to China’s rulers is this: This President will not back down – and the American people will not be swayed. We will continue to stand strong for our security and our economy, even as we hope for improved relations with Beijing.
Our administration will continue to act decisively to protect American interests, American jobs, and American security.
As we rebuild our military, we will continue to assert American interests across the Indo-Pacific.
As we respond to China’s trade practices, we will continue to demand an economic relationship with China that is free and fair and reciprocal, demanding that Beijing break down its trade barriers, fulfill its trade obligations, and fully open its economy, just as we have opened ours.
We will continue to take action until Beijing ends the theft of American intellectual property, and stops the predatory practice of forced technology transfer…
And to advance our vision of a free and open Indo-Pacific, we’re building new and stronger bonds with nations that share our values, across the region – from India to Samoa. Our relationships will flow from a spirit of respect, built on partnership, not domination.
We’re forging new trade deals, on a bilateral basis, just as last week, President Trump signed an improved trade deal with South Korea, and we will soon begin negotiating a historic bilateral free-trade deal with Japan.
And we’re streamlining international development and finance programs, giving foreign nations a just and transparent alternative to China’s debt-trap diplomacy. To that end, President Trump will sign the BUILD Act into law in the days ahead.
And next month, it will be my privilege to represent the United States in Singapore and Papua New Guinea, at ASEAN and APEC. There, we will unveil new measures and programs to support a free and open Indo-Pacific – and on behalf of the President, I will deliver the message that America’s commitment to the Indo-Pacific has never been stronger.
To protect our interests here at home, we’ve strengthened CFIUS – the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States – heightening our scrutiny of Chinese investment in America, to protect our national security from Beijing’s predatory actions.
And when it comes to Beijing’s malign influence and interference in American politics and policy, we will continue to expose it, no matter the form it takes. And we will work with leaders at every level of society to defend our national interests and most cherished ideals. The American people will play the decisive role – and in fact, they already are…
As we gather here, a new consensus is rising across America…
More business leaders are thinking beyond the next quarter, and thinking twice before diving into the Chinese market if it means turning over their intellectual property or abetting Beijing’s oppression. But more must follow suit. For example, Google should immediately end development of the “Dragonfly” app that will strengthen Communist Party censorship and compromise the privacy of Chinese customers…
More journalists are reporting the truth without fear or favor, and digging deep to find where China is interfering in our society, and why – and we hope that more American, and global, news organizations will join in this effort.
More scholars are speaking out forcefully and defending academic freedom, and more universities and think tanks are mustering the courage to turn away Beijing’s easy money, recognizing that every dollar comes with a corresponding demand. We’re confident that more will join their ranks.
And across the nation, the American people are growing in vigilance, with a newfound appreciation for our administration’s actions to re-set America’s economic and strategic relationship with China, to finally put America First.
And under President Trump’s leadership, America will stay the course. China should know that the American people and their elected representatives in both parties are resolved.
As our National Security Strategy states: “Competition does not always mean hostility.” As President Trump has made clear, we want a constructive relationship with Beijing, where our prosperity and security grow together, not apart. While Beijing has been moving further away from this vision, China’s rulers can still change course, and return to the spirit of “reform and opening” and greater freedom. The American people want nothing more; the Chinese people deserve nothing less.
The great Chinese story-teller Lu Xun often lamented that his country “has either looked down at foreigners as brutes, or up to them as saints, but never as equals.” Today, America is reaching out our hand to China; we hope that Beijing will soon reach back – with deeds, not words, and with renewed respect for America. But we will not relent until our relationship with China is grounded in fairness, reciprocity, and respect for sovereignty.
There is an ancient Chinese proverb that tells us that “men see only the present, but heaven sees the future.” As we go forward, let us pursue a future of peace and prosperity with resolve and faith…
Faith in President Trump’s leadership, and the relationship that he has forged with China’s president…
Faith in the enduring friendship between the American people and the Chinese people…
Faith that heaven sees the future – and by God’s grace, America and China will meet that future together.

Thank you. God bless you. And God bless the United States of America.

明镜现场 | 刘屏 薇仁 : 彭斯发表对付中国新政策(20181004)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FGo-24YoD-k

Thursday, October 4, 2018

彭德怀怒揭毛泽东抗日内幕,囚禁八年临终捶床大喊:我不吃毛泽东的药,我要活着揭发!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=klfWoUr7w6w

US Navy proposing major show of force to warn China (CNN 2018-10-4)

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/03/politics/us-navy-show-of-force-china/index.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JNL6QOCRtyk

行運一條龍

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v5aPD61Hfos

急筹8.8亿天价罚金,冰冰爆赔本卖41套房产

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7NvRv-F3HUk

魏京生:中国根本就不是美国的对手 习近平能说服他的将军们去和美国打仗吗?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QT0DzIX8IwA

地毯式入户清查登记!奉贤区经济普查进行时:1200多普查员在行动 (2018-9-1)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wzrHBIbx-rs

寺庙僧侣升国旗 唱诗班歌颂新主

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bEsTcdtzfCU

贸易战战危机靠后,国内养老危机爆发

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WPcA-cNDkk4

The White Raven (1998)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=67sI-gELCSA

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_White_Raven_(1998_film)

朔風動秋草邊馬有歸心

歸是無家可歸的歸今晚取書十力語要板家老人住院等待e-texts Philip Cushman (2018) Ronald Maris (2018) 一日雨一日涼果真

Vice President Pence to Deliver a Major Speech

https://www.hudson.org/research/14599-vice-president-pence-to-deliver-a-major-speech

https://www.zaobao.com.sg/realtime/world/story20181004-896382

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2GeBogclIs

China’s Strategic Force Gears Up for Space and Cyber War (Bill Gertz 2018-10-4)

https://freebeacon.com/national-security/chinas-strategic-force-gears-space-cyber-war/?utm_source=Freedom+Mail&utm_campaign=c3ec9c3abb-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_10_03_11_40_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_b5e6e0e9ea-c3ec9c3abb-46479029

Chris Rea - Curse Of The Traveller

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XMLmYmPsUSs

Chris Rea - Looking For The Summer

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8a6kHQN9BA

J.J. Cale - Durango (rare)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3G_msX9iHwg&list=PL6E722B9EB1B007F1

J. J. CALE - SHADES (FULL ALBUM)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gz2l_icQlAo

中共维持生存的方法... 中共的控制力度是空前的

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MKbprLgoIEs

习近平旧友刊文猛批中国 日媒:事态严重

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z0T5Pr4WYcA

闹场记者孔琳琳被网友揭老底,二流记者上位记

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sne4a_IlstQ

Different China 01『半个中国*中国九江』,三线城市涌现金铺或替代地方融资平台?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nrct28xzq3A

央視畫面天安門城樓無毛像 節目未改照常播 毛左貼被刪除 啥信號?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2xdLjDeLLeg

中國私營經濟正被全方位擠壓 北京又發明中共特色奇葩 馬雲國內利益實體都共產?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZHbBjLMGLbU

习近平重要批示暴露危局 中国私营经济或崩盘

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qFUsTbvnXRI

马云已全部放弃国内利益实体所有权,中共正在接管一切

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiUP62hAD2U

上海碧桂園一夜間三萬五降到兩萬六引發大規模房鬧!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lR8oj7mympE

中共密令高官子女回国,万科高喊“活下去”;情况有多严重?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdJHhDm0gv0

范冰冰奉命出演中共编剧的交钱脱罪“范本”,民众版的末日求生剧本又该是什么内容?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ut4sD2D2ndY

Suspicious Minds: How Culture Shapes Madness (Joel Gold, Ian Gold 2015-7-21)

A “clear, witty, and engaging” (The Boston Globe) journey through the brain that connects neuroscience, biology, and culture. An “intellectual landmark” (Edward Shorter, Literary Review of Canada).

The current view of delusions—the strange beliefs held by people with schizophrenia and other psychiatric illnesses—is that they are the result of biology gone awry, of neurons in the brain misfiring. In Suspicious Minds, Dr. Joel Gold and his brother Ian Gold argue that delusions are the result of the interaction between the brain and the social world. They present “a dual broadside: against a psychiatric profession that has become infatuated with neuroscience as part of its longstanding attempt to establish itself as ‘real medicine,’ and against a culture that has become too networked for its own good” (The New York Times). The book “amounts to nothing less than a frontal—or perhaps pre-frontal—challenge to the dominant view of modern psychiatry, which looks to neuroscience to explain disorders of the mind” (The Washington Post).

In “a droll Oliver Sacksian tone” (The Village Voice), the Golds reveal intriguing case studies: the man who was dead and in hell, the woman who could raise the dead at Ground Zero, the man who killed God, and the people who believed they were like the characters in the film The Truman Show. These “page-turning case studies” (New Republic) of delusion “offer a fascinating and intimate portrait of psychosis” (Scientific American). “They provide more proof that no fantasist can hope to match the wonders—and horrors—of the human mind” (The Washington Post). (amazon) (accessible via scribd) 

The Perfect Weapon: War, Sabotage, and Fear in the Cyber Age (David E. Sanger 2018-6-19)

In 2015, Russian hackers tunneled deep into the computer systems of the Democratic National Committee, and the subsequent leaks of the emails they stole may have changed the course of American democracy. But to see the DNC hacks as Trump-centric is to miss the bigger, more important story: Within that same year, the Russians not only had broken into networks at the White House, the State Department, and the Joint Chiefs of Staff, but had placed implants in American electrical and nuclear plants that could give them the power to switch off vast swaths of the country. This was the culmination of a decade of escalating digital sabotage among the world’s powers, in which Americans became the collateral damage as China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia battled in cyberspace to undercut one another in daily just-short-of-war conflict.

The Perfect Weapon is the startling inside story of how the rise of cyberweapons transformed geopolitics like nothing since the invention of the atomic bomb. Cheap to acquire, easy to deny, and usable for a variety of malicious purposes—from crippling infrastructure to sowing discord and doubt—cyber is now the weapon of choice for democracies, dictators, and terrorists. Two presidents—Bush and Obama—drew first blood with Operation Olympic Games, which used malicious code to blow up Iran’s nuclear centrifuges, and yet America proved remarkably unprepared when its own weapons were stolen from its arsenal and, during President Trump’s first year, turned back on the US and its allies. The government was often paralyzed, unable to threaten the use of cyberweapons because America was so vulnerable to crippling attacks on its own networks of banks, utilities, and government agencies.

Moving from the White House Situation Room to the dens of Chinese government hackers to the boardrooms of Silicon Valley, New York Times national security correspondent David Sanger—who broke the story of Olympic Games in his previous book—reveals a world coming face-to-face with the perils of technological revolution. The Perfect Weapon is the dramatic story of how great and small powers alike slipped into a new era of constant sabotage, misinformation, and fear, in which everyone is a target. (amazon)

范冰冰案是政治上的需要,水深莫测,或预示第二场文革的来临.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4_xavouz7nE

没特供还禁代购!上海海关大屠杀一片哀嚎 代购时代要终结

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QtojgiNiIig

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2qS9xXfqU1E

Wednesday, October 3, 2018

明镜编辑部 | 秦伟平 陈小平:习近平的自力更生暗示什么?比芯片危机还猛烈的危机要来袭?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLNBn5dSNuA

马云放弃VIE控制权因为中国经济在这里的管制?范冰冰逃税手段低劣,马云逃税方式更上一层楼

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdLgOV6515c

私企国有化?大陆私营经济正面临全方位挤压

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3tt_o7Ns8Es

海外组织发起「十一共振」运动 国内严打 计划胎死腹中

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uAyqStG5dxY

感谢党让我发大财

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tF1fCB1DBpU

贸战引发政权危机 分析:中共欲操弄民粹主义脱困

http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2018/10/03/a1393794.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ISsiJIDlZM

JJ CALE & ERIC CLAPTON (The Road to Escondido)


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pvzDF3g_h6A

almost happy, on the road, fucking lyrical 

Roger Waters " Flickering Flame" - 2002 [CD Rip] (Full Album)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1HIyOIl0P-c

Unknown (Liam Neeson, 2011)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBVAwRY5h6w

評論:中南海浮出三大危機

https://www.secretchina.com/news/b5/2018/10/03/872580.html

半年4次降税…专家:代表中共子弹不多了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXhxNPH-9nY

習近平全球戰略曝光 中共元老集體缺席十一招待會 中南海面臨三大危機

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5mMGFnbjfNM

中国私营经济面临全方位挤压

https://www.boxun.com/news/gb/china/2018/10/201810030141.shtml

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mp-tnQ607DI

各地抗議!P2P倒閉風暴 上海鬧區爆警民衝突

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fNUu29MgtFQ

人民幣將貶至7.05? 美銀美林:中國恐靠貶值支撐經濟

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aWyThI9V_zo

离岸人民币跌破6.9关口 专家:人民币破七或有大概率

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MCoXfiRZV1U

传高层向习表达不满 北京十一国宴元老罕见集体缺席 习近平突然住院

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJN6T7SFn6E

经济普查掩盖的“全民申报财产”阴谋!个人征信系统开通、全国收护照!这是匪徒准备关门大抢劫的信号!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y-mr8C6CDiM

The Slaughter: Mass Killings, Organ Harvesting, and China's Secret Solution to Its Dissident Problem (Ethan Gutmann, 2014)


kindle 2014-10-28

https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20181003000019-260407

http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2568872

http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2571275

if this is character assasination, to my surprise, i didn't know taiwanese politicians have had CHARACTERS

美国会提出暂停中国留学生签证发放,中国政府顺势召回高官在美留学子女 / 新疆开始秘密转移大量关押人员 / 世界贸易组织新格局形成,中国的不诚信贸易走到尽头 / 中国艾滋病患者爆炸式增长

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtWznCBjeWM

习近平重要批示暴露危局 中国私营经济或崩盘

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LXxi49x1_JQ

女戰狼孔琳琳竟然是特工?那些央視不敢讓人知道的內幕

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dxz7G3MNR24

马云在宣布隐退计画两个月前即已让出阿里巴巴VIE控制权

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ymW4h1fPmdI

十一晚会天安门背景毛像诡异消失

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y9oiRnfTMi0

习近平女儿习明泽在哈佛大学读博,召回高官子女是党内反对派有意给习近平难堪

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zb8YmpDiioQ

中國應對貿易戰堵住前門又開了後門

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PF_eRlvJxZk

财经全观察 | 全军:中国经济已经无力自救,人们认为有大事要发生

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C6Qwtdq9uyo

中国地方财政崩溃 银行业破产!!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i6ayjeEhnRY

周周侃:央视女记者大闹英国 真情流露还是奉旨发飚?文革2.0悄悄上演

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NIw1JhGKqJc

中国军舰“发狠”欲撞美国军舰,南海军事冲突或“一触即发”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDJUyQf6XXs

如果經濟危機來了 普通人該提前做何準備?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1F8uJkscgc

醫療端怎麼看自殺防治 ? (2018-10-3)

https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1WVr8RpKjXFU-y-Zw2GDMBCzyHTI6U9m7?usp=sharing

https://drive.google.com/file/d/11X4U1RzB8dgEEUltFGmsmiLDpypNWE92/view?usp=sharing (ppt)

https://www.asuswebstorage.com/navigate/s/4CC9B8CD0A634A8BACF486F4C6FD85E5Y (MP3)

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1uAKYwk3NDwfawAwbTtICOpOpYP_iNDbf/view?usp=sharing (MP3)

Tuesday, October 2, 2018

2018年的中国中年人是离破产最近的一群人

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0zuxcw1wwZw

當董瑤瓊還在被精神病的時候

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49XBag_fWiQ

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hniiSPsrAcM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZM2jCQ8sjx4

中國老百姓為何存不下錢了?!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH2-qFCmKFY

河南安阳房产纠纷,一切都已经开始发生

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KcF1xeYNJAE

〝十一共振〞各地人潮聚集 警察上街抓人

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i605ddRAwDo

99上的白领及他们的家庭即将面临破产

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3x61SXYrVXM

相親記

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loPD9B-VXiA

孤立中共还剩最后一关 川普发起攻势 中国恐出现雪崩式债务违约潮

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1jtksjnSRA

關於歷史的判斷和抉擇


剛剛去林口買虱目魚粥和生餛飩途中我說起Victor Serge

Looking back on his life, Serge said: I give myself credit for having seen clearly in a number of important situations. In itself, this is not so difficult to achieve, and yet it is rather unusual. To my mind, it is less a question of an exalted or shrewd intelligence, than of good sense, goodwill and a certain sort of courage to enable one to rise above the pressures of one’s environment and the natural inclination to close one’s eyes to facts, a temptation that arises from our immediate interests and from the fear which problems inspire in us. 

Among the countless things he had seen clearly: that the creation of the Cheka (the secret police) in 1917 was one of the Bolsheviks’ ‘gravest and most impermissible errors’; that the Bolshevik leadership had lied about the nature of the Kronstadt rebellion in 1921; that the Communists would turn on the independent revolutionary left in Spain; that Stalin would eliminate the entire 1917 revolutionary generation in order to safeguard his power; that Russia had become a vast prison camp. (It was Serge who first described the state as totalitarian.) 

And yet he never lost hope, that ordinary people would act for themselves and take control of their own lives.

Gordon, Paul. Vagabond Witness: Victor Serge and the Politics of Hope (Kindle location 117-127). John Hunt Publishing. Kindle edition. 

in memory of that decade of readingintheruins, stolichnaya, and charlesbronson (2005-2015)

https://kellychang2713.blogspot.com/2016/07/stolichnaya.html (yam blog system down, both not accessible)

https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/15cJTkj4Zrel6kXuM9miDyylYpJI5GKFn?usp=sharing (both files exported 2015)

well, what you know, i nearly, fucking existed, in that fucking decade, which was followed by china watch, from april, 2016, personal, and quite bloody

the final cut (pink floyd)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mYZWz8OgfeY

9月30日,河北老兵大聚集,警方很紧张!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFZaXhwE-8c

五星红旗大凶 美史上最畅销书和风水师惊人一致

http://www.aboluowang.com/2016/0718/771817.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IhI34wygHUg


Do You Hear The People Sing?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6p5jL7M325U&start_radio=1&list=RD6p5jL7M325U


Do you hear the people sing?
Singing a song of angry men

中共内部文件召回在美国留学高官子女

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXdeJWQIBDg

中国人的消费能力和钱都哪去了?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pklkQWDfGVM

中共新红线:负面经济新闻报不得

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=szwdrvNGm4c

财经全观察|全军:美国的第三张罚单很快会到来,川普暗渡陈仓重击社会主义

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oMWIX8MhcLg

平论Live | 金九银十 万科恒大挥泪大降价,中国楼市2018会崩盘吗?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z--U_Kuyi5g

重重压力之下,中共与其国际盟友已进入末日疯狂状态!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bqaz67qFc3k

惡法即將出籠 德國法西斯也沒敢做過的「壯舉」

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g_VAfJ34yL0

http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1001/1182230.html

美官員上門發最後通牒 中石化進口伊朗石油應聲減半

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dV2q0BFpeso

权力斗争将爆发 ! 习近平这样做很危险 ,迟早会犯巨大错误

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YqRz_zG-Zgs

央视女记者孔琳琳大闹英国的香港民主论坛,掌掴工作人员

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QN87y4ewc88

中共對民間活動全面收緊 教師上繳護照 出境須審批

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTwKLx2KoCI

重磅!就在刚刚!五神秘人接手马云阿里法律实体控制权

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhGa0P-8gDc

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3xAqbgQk9r8

中美貿易戰 外企四部曲 凸顯川普贏定了 WTO都癱了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtW7lPdSLTA

經濟衰退?中共急令嚴控相關報導

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6QAyThEXmKc

川普再警告 北京為何一項死不相讓

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0XVL_KavOUQ

偷竊強奪 = 彎路超車


Artificially Intelligent Personality Types


Artificially Intelligent Personality Types

Joel Yager, MD reviewing 
Building on the Five-Factor Model of personality traits, “big data” analyses of >1.5 million people suggest four major types: “average,” “self-centered,” “reserved,” and “role model.”

https://www.jwatch.org/na47576/2018/09/28/artificially-intelligent-personality-types

黄金周维权者全国统一行动第一天:当局倾力堵截打压

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PENNacfmuQg


推薦

新疆大规模转移穆斯林,集中营迁甘肃

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jM_zYq6S8yk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYIw4lfjLo0


髮指

天安门惊现黑伞锦衣卫

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CvxsmbmW2t0

突发!马云被曝“净身出户”?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zu7SbMZK-bY

突传北京召回在美高官子女 (12:05) 孔琳琳大闹英国政党年会

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-FjLReaJHQ

安华:中共高压暴力扼杀维吾尔族(《中国研究院》第53次研讨会精选 )

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZV_YXZsadI

专家视点 (陈朝晖,叶文斌):美中贸易争端对中国制造业有多大影响?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pQ3b-YOSnSU

中国出现了空前的混乱! 习近平是混乱之源?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GVAMAvV86p0

https://www.boxun.com/news/gb/pubvp/2015/08/201508051154.shtml

中南海高度紧张 中国民众愤怒

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HG367Y5XATs

就在刚刚!新疆全省停运大事 两大内幕流出

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohYJOSPsUwc

3:58 AM


一切只能是局限的碎片 
我遂放心起來意思是說 
心也只能是局限的碎片 
太好了至於放明顯需要
整理箱這裡就是整理箱 
我曾見過高聳宏偉殿堂稍早我們說到遊魂野鬼
我見過他們飄遊在殿堂之外湖泊山川草莽大地

怎麼理解這句話


王毅說中共是中國歷史和人民的選擇
據說講完這句話後他被自己感動到勃起

查理士布朗遜聽到這句話後愣了很久
心想他已多久沒有選擇沒有感動沒有勃起

我最後一次選擇是去頂好選過期屏東香蕉
最後一次感動則是看到那個印地安人吊死樹上 (The Revenant, 2015)
冰冷的風頭低低的掛著牌子
上面寫著 We are all savages (On est tous des sauvages)

間諜的密碼本


必須是詩
因為詩的隱喻象徵
是詮釋的極限
再過去就是黑洞

必須是數字
這是Jack Reacher的玩法
你還記得罷
他是數字人(man of numbers)

以上說明當今間諜素質堪憂
他們所用密碼存在極大問題
因為他們不讀詩
也不讀Lee Child

遊魂野鬼


總要有個住處他心裡想著
怎麼給生人化妝才像鬼
為什麼港片的殭屍沒有明朝或更早的
為什麼那被老毛屠殺的八千萬中國人
沒有變成遊魂野鬼

出獄前五小時他無法入睡
天網據說可以辨識十五公里外的人
可以辨識十五公里外的鬼嗎

遊魂野鬼總要有個住處
有個悠悠遊遊的去處

當文化大革命把三千年古蹟砸毀
你認為三千年來的遊魂野鬼
還能找到家嗎

Monday, October 1, 2018

Valeria Luiselli Finds Inspiration In Her New Workspace

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L3k4dpiUVGc

中南海拉攏三國硬頂貿易戰 中國製造商業信心創新低 500強國企倒閉遭封殺

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLNclAyrwoY

中国艾滋病患暴增,专家说非洲留学生滥交是主因

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JIt_bncjmx8

新疆再教育营囚百万人 王毅:当地千万民众非常赞成

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hxV0wbbh-QQ

中国各地老兵持续掀起维权大潮

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MjYeZFmGqMg

勒紧腰带准备打仗? 北京〝备战备荒〞释信号

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJ4QLeWTrVg

http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2018/10/01/a1393579.html


【新唐人北京时间2018年10月01日讯】中共十一国殇日到来之际,党媒称,刚从东北视察回京的习近平,又视察了军队,并强调加强练兵备战。结合习视察东北粮食基地时,提出〝自力更生〞的口号。分析认为,习考察东北就是备荒,十一论兵则是备战,北京重回60年代〝备战备荒〞的老路,很可能是贸易战背景下所做的最坏打算。

10月1日是中共窃政69周年。央视报导说,中国国家主席、军委主席习近平,在视察79集团军时,强调全面加强练兵备战,加快提升打胜仗的能力。

与此同时,中共官媒也高调宣称,用于运载高精度核炸弹的超高音速飞行器试验成功,并认为中共在超高音速武器竞赛方面,直追俄罗斯和美国。

美媒分析说,中共高层和党媒展示军力,强调要准备打仗,打胜仗。这种武力炫耀引起了西方警觉。但对于中共军力到底是实力还是花架子,依然存疑。

眼下美中贸易战方兴未艾,中共在技术、意识形态、地区安全和全球秩序方面,受到美国和西方国家的抨击和围堵,而中共此次宣扬所谓的尖端武器研发进展耐人寻味。

中共网媒认为,这显然是一种官泄。但背后真正的目的是什么?跟目前正打得火热的中美贸易战有关系吗?就只能留给大家来想像了。

在此之前,习近平于9月25日起赴黑龙江考察4天,先后参观了北大荒公司的粮食基地和重工业基地。

习坦言,北京实现〝两个100年〞的努力,现在遇到了前所未有的〝挑战和困难〞,国际上先进技术、关键技术越来越难以获得,逼着中国勒紧腰带走〝自力更生〞的道路,中国最终还是要靠自己,〝粮食要靠自己,实体经济要靠自己,制造业要靠自己〞。

时政评论员唐靖远分析说,习近平考察东北,其实就是备荒,十一论兵,其实就是备战,而北京之所以重回60年代〝备战备荒〞的老路,很可能是贸易战背景下,所做的最坏打算。

〝备战备荒为人民〞是指文化大革命时期,毛泽东提出的一个著名口号。

根据当时毛的要求:备战,就是各级地方政府独立地做好本地区的反侵略战争的物质准备,不能一味依赖中央;备荒,就是所有战略物资要政府统管,统购统销,彻底的计划经济,全民配给制。

然而事实证明,中共草木皆兵、心惊胆战的所谓〝备战备荒〞是越备越慌,所谓的〝为人民〞则是残害人民。

当年在〝备战备荒为人民〞这个杀气腾腾的口号下,中国人民被中共长期奴役,在此后的半个多世纪,中共一直以所谓的〝帝修反亡我之心不死〞为藉口,将国家置于准战争状态,实行半军事管制,以维持它的专制政权。

而如今中共高层再次强调〝备战、备荒〞,正值中美贸易战加剧,使得中共政权摇摇欲坠、内外交困之时。贸易战不仅使中共在国际上被孤立,国内经济也萎靡不振,高层还出现严重分裂现象。

更严重的是贸易战前景目前尚无法预测,但给全球经济格局和秩序势必会带来深远影响,很可能会给中国社会带来变革性的影响。

日前,中共副总理刘鹤麾下顶级智囊团〝50人论坛〞举行座谈会,大多数专家对中共高层提出罕见批评,指责中共的改革开放不到位,不是进一步深化改革,而是走回头路。

而此次座谈会上,专家们炮轰〝国进民退〞、中国步入〝计划经济〞老路的敏感话题,显示出体制内部的不安。

中共自1980年代不得不推行〝改革开放〞,早已证明发展〝计划经济〞此路不通。中共建政初期到50年代,实行的是计划经济到目前已经60多年。

专家普遍认为,在此次中美贸易战中,北京当局为死保中共体制,再度回归60年前的计划经济,意味着中国14亿国民将一起受苦,这也是中国民众普遍感到焦虑的原因所在。 

网路上广为流传商界名人〝格隆〞在长江商学院的讲稿,作者说:他请名下合计超过40家上市公司的商界学员,就〝焦虑〞与〝恐慌〞名词进行选择,发现绝大多数人选的是〝恐慌〞,而7个月前,多数人选的是〝焦虑〞,时隔7个月已是沧海桑田。

(记者李韵报导/责任编辑:祝馨睿)

习式贸易战药方:自力更生练兵备战?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VAixPOG4C4M

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCg4h_X7LYs

川普還有3大毀滅性武器 驚人逆轉 習近平被帶溝里去了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WX8qRDcKMY0

http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1001/1182436.html

川普看穿中南海的中國夢 美擬5大策略遏制 中共1招反擊

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FlLZs3MNwNw

http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1001/1182371.html

CHINA WILL LOSE TRADE WAR WITH THE US, THEN THINGS WILL GET REALLY NASTY (South China Morning Post, 2018-9-30)

https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/opinion/article/2166006/china-will-lose-trade-war-us-then-things-will-get-really-nasty

https://www.huaglad.com/topimagenews/20181001/333778.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l2RoI2C62ck

梳理完500個中國人的消費賬單 我看到生活的真相

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7GvEHdDNI3A

https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3399501

中国智库预测中美贸易战三大结局

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2NMLVUS84OY

网传中国“十一”或面临内外两种抗议活动

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K8AKbIaCfVo

突破僵局,美国与加拿大达成新NAFTA共识

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eahpRkkxqRE

外企:中國三萬億美元外匯儲備的最大支撐 正奪路而逃

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pR5TaMk6kYY

http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1001/1182330.html

我从下面这张2000年至2018年8月外企货物净出口与全国货物净出口的比值演变表开始讲述外企在中国经济中的地位。说明一下,下表中的数据来源为海关总署月报。

首先来看汇总数据:从2000年至今年8月,外企总净出口规模19283亿美元,对比全国同期总净出口规模44063,占比达到惊人的43.8%。
在这19年里,有9年时间,外企净出口规模超过总值的一半。

占比最高的年份2011年,比值达到惊人的84.2%。

考虑到一直到2013年,外企几乎没有系统性的向外转移过利润,挣到的外汇都留在了国内用于再投资再生产,

从这个意义上来说,外企,乃是中国当下三万亿美元外汇储备的最大支撑,没有之一。

可惜的是,2013年以后,外企出口挣外汇的能力就逐年剧烈下降。2013年依然维持在65.3%的高位,2014年就下降到43.3%,2017年下降到27.5%,到今年8月份,已经只剩下23.6%。这其中的理由非常明显:2013年之后外企开始逐步将产能转移到东南亚各国,乃至回归欧美日韩。最强大的挣外汇机器外企熄火,民企挺身而出但又饱受打压,2015年之后也走向熄火。所以我大中国的货物净出口规模到2015年,达到峰值的5939亿美元之后,就丧失了增长性,2017年下降到4225亿;2018年1-8月份1936亿,相对于2017年同期的2715亿,降幅达到28.7%。

然后,让我们考察一下外企的企业家数和就业人数演变规律。下表数据来源为国家统计局月度及年度数据库。

首先看第一栏,规模以上外企家数占比演变,从2000年到2005年呈现提升趋势,从17.9%缓步提升到20.7%,这是中国刚刚加入WTO,蜜月期的表现。此后开始转身下降,2010年下降到16.7%,2017年降到13.0%,今年8月份为12.7%。在绝对值上,由于2011年有过一次统计口径的调整,我们就只看2011年之后的外企家数绝对值好了。2012年达到峰值57724家,此后一路缓慢下降,2017年下降到49911家,较峰值时的家数下降了13.5%。2018年8月底的家数为47576家,较2017年底又减少了2335家,下降趋势维持不变。

与外企家数自2012年之后减少的数据规律相对应,在外企就业人数方面,同样是在2013年后开始呈现清晰的下降趋势。2013年达到峰值的2953万人之后就开始坚定的下行,到2017年已经下降到2530万人,降幅14.3%,大致与企业家数削减幅度等同。两个数据相互印证,确证了2012年以来外企搬迁到东南亚地区或回归其母国的趋势。

接下来我要放出的,是外企2000年至2018年8月的核心经营数据表,包括外资企业总利润和净资产数据与全国数据的对比演变。

这张表很有趣味,乃是本文最核心的数据表,值得各位点开大图仔细观赏。注意,各位不需要细看每一栏的原始数据,先重点看看下面两栏占比数据演变就好了。我会在后面将需要关注的原始数据规律都列举出来。

在上表中,我使用红色线将2008年前后的数据分成了两部分。这个区分是基于一个非常有意思的理由。注意了:2000-2008年,外资企业实现的利润总额合计为35267亿人民币,同期外企净资产增加了34591亿(45646亿-11055亿),两者几乎等同。两者几乎一致。这意味着在此期间,外企将几乎全部利润都在留在了国内用于再投资再生产,提升生产线等级,加强技术投入,企业净资产因此迅速提升。

然而2009年之后,外企的经营风格就转变了,它们不再愿意将利润全部投入再生产并因此转化为净资产,下表给出的就是历年的外企利润对当年度新增净资产的比值,这个表算是本文放出的终极大招,值得各位立刻点击保存。

2009年,外企利润转化为净资产的比例为63.9%,此后就进入了迅速下跌通道,2015年跌到28.5%,2016和2017年在这个极低的比值上挣扎了两年,到了今年1-8月份,外企实现了10906亿人民币的利润,但是其净资产竟然下降了2694亿(100527亿-103221亿),这意味着这过万亿的利润,外企没有将一毛钱投入到再生产之中,相反,它们还卖掉了2694亿的资产。综合起来看,2009年至2018年8月,外企总共累计实现了149882亿的利润,但是净资产增加额只有54881亿(100527亿-45646亿),至于这中间的差值95001亿,当然是以各种渠道去了国外,包括转移到东南亚或者回归其母国等情况。

外企要结算高达9.5万亿人民币的利润离境,当然会兑换走美元,也必然会导致中国的外汇储备剧烈下降。以2009年至今的平均汇率6.6计,这笔人民币大致可以折抵1.5万亿美元。我国的外汇储备在2014年6月达到3.99万亿美元的峰值之后就掉头向下,应该就是从这个时间点开始外企利润转化为净资产的数据与离境数据丧失平衡,到2018年年8月底,外汇储备下降到3.11万亿,较峰值时期减少了0.88万亿美元,与前面那1.5万亿美元的外企离境利润相比,规模减少幅度不够,似乎很有些对不上。不过我这里还有一组数据,截至2018年6月的外币外债(不考虑本币外债)余额规模1.21万亿美元,而2014年底的外币外债余额0.89万亿美元,两者间的差值0.32万亿,加上外汇储备减少的规模0.88万亿,合计1.2万亿美元,虽然还是不够1.5万亿美元,不过缺口已经不算大了。


所以,中国现在的关键问题在于:如何遏制外企日益强烈的结算利润离境的冲动?如果这个问题不解决,中国再多的外汇储备都不够消耗。

美媒:习近平中央或陷孤立 对川普政策失误进退失据

http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/0929/1181167.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VY3rIlqDrkc

大陆贸易顺差与用电量剧减 广东难撑龙头或拖垮全国

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_haNAhNXZ6M

为保中共体制 北京高层不惜倒退60年遭大陆专家学者猛批

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D3i316Sgb34

放宽排污应对贸战后果严重 外媒揭中共出损招

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBm-c9eCF5U

Roger Waters - Radio K.A.O.S

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1IdthrIs-Q

闭关锁国 广电总局发一批限制令 连这个都“赤裸裸”地说出来

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbBlGGHIET0

北上廣深統統下跌! 全國降價地圖來了!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jmThkTl2ewA

Travels with the Self: Interpreting Psychology as Cultural History (Philip Cushman 2018-8-2)

Travels with the Self uses a hermeneutic perspective to critique psychology and demonstrate why the concept of the self and the modality of cultural history are so vitally important to the profession of psychology. Each chapter focuses on a theory, concept, sociopolitical or professional issue, philosophical problem, or professional activity that has rarely been critiqued from a historical, sociopolitical vantage point.
Philip Cushman explores psychology’s involvement in consumerism, racism, shallow understandings of being human, military torture, political resistance, and digital living. In each case, theories and practices are treated as historical artifacts, rather than expressions of a putatively progressive, modern-era science that is uncovering the one, universal truth about human being. In this way, psychological theories and practices, especially pertaining to the concept of the self, are shown to be reflections of the larger moral understandings and political arrangements of their time and place, with implications for how we understand the self in theory and clinical practice.
Drawing on the philosophies of critical theory and hermeneutics, Cushman insists on understanding the self, one of the most studied and cherished of psychological concepts, and its ills, practitioners, and healing technologies, as historical/cultural artifacts ― surprising, almost sacrilegious, concepts. To this end, each chapter begins with a historical introduction that locates it in the historical time and moral/political space of the nation’s, the profession’s, and the author’s personal context.

Travels with the Self brings together highly unusual and controversial writings on contemporary psychology that will appeal to psychoanalysts and psychotherapists, psychologists of all stripes, as well as scholars of philosophy, history, and cultural studies. (amazon) (kindle not available yet) (kindle 2018-10-18)

https://www.routledge.com/Travels-with-the-Self-Interpreting-Psychology-as-Cultural-History/Cushman/p/book/9781138605541

歷史重演?降價維權涌動!樓市艱難 才剛剛開始…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lYgxUKvVmVs

新疆停售火车票,利用铁路转移维吾尔人

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2OQv_zT3-Yk

川普放最后狠话:不妨让中美贸易清零!天安门惊现“习主席”横幅

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnkrMlHRxDA

微信热文“你骂红卫兵试试?” 疯狂无须多言

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVHeCIhz3s4

熱文:樓市的成色變了 北京上海爆發房產維權潮

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YXTrkctpyvc