《月令七十二候集解》：「五月中……夏，假也，至，極也，萬物於此皆假大而至極也。」
《漢學堂經解》所集崔靈恩《三禮義宗》：「夏至為中者，至有三義：一以明陽氣之至極，二以明陰氣之始至，三以明日行之北至。故謂之至。」
Sunday, June 21, 2020
夏至
夏至一陰生，冬至一陽生
《月令七十二候集解》：「五月中……夏，假也，至，極也，萬物於此皆假大而至極也。」
《漢學堂經解》所集崔靈恩《三禮義宗》：「夏至為中者，至有三義：一以明陽氣之至極，二以明陰氣之始至，三以明日行之北至。故謂之至。」
《月令七十二候集解》：「五月中……夏，假也，至，極也，萬物於此皆假大而至極也。」
《漢學堂經解》所集崔靈恩《三禮義宗》：「夏至為中者，至有三義：一以明陽氣之至極，二以明陰氣之始至，三以明日行之北至。故謂之至。」
Saturday, June 20, 2020
Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi (b 1934) (Daseinsanalysis)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mihaly_Csikszentmihalyi
起因是今天下午竹北息壤人文講座(1-6)楊蓓老師講禪修提到流動的韻律(flowing rhythm)這是相對於遲滯的韻律(reduced rhythm)而言的關鍵詞是流動(flow)有同學問怎麼說明流動帶來整合我插嘴說流動帶來的是存在意思是說不只是整合當時我就在找 Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi 的幾本書跟上述明顯有關雖然Mihaly 與禪修似乎無涉(這點我不確定)
起因是今天下午竹北息壤人文講座(1-6)楊蓓老師講禪修提到流動的韻律(flowing rhythm)這是相對於遲滯的韻律(reduced rhythm)而言的關鍵詞是流動(flow)有同學問怎麼說明流動帶來整合我插嘴說流動帶來的是存在意思是說不只是整合當時我就在找 Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi 的幾本書跟上述明顯有關雖然Mihaly 與禪修似乎無涉(這點我不確定)
- Csikszentmihalyi, Mihaly (1990). Flow: The Psychology of Optimal Experience. New York: Harper and Row.
- Csikszentmihalyi, Mihaly (1994). The Evolving Self: A Psychology for the Third Millennium, New York: Harper Perennial.
- Csikszentmihalyi, Mihaly (1996). Creativity: Flow and the Psychology of Discovery and Invention. New York: Harper Perennial.
Retired Priest Living in a SUV
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SKePlAEgjps
我本不知修道士可以退休所以治療者退休未嘗不可得知此事讓我很愉快這個退休的修道士愛說教話太多了反過來告訴我們回到自然不要帶著神和生態心理學和各式各樣的programs意思是說靈性是不可說的所以閉嘴無語意思是說隨身不要帶著文字語言
我本不知修道士可以退休所以治療者退休未嘗不可得知此事讓我很愉快這個退休的修道士愛說教話太多了反過來告訴我們回到自然不要帶著神和生態心理學和各式各樣的programs意思是說靈性是不可說的所以閉嘴無語意思是說隨身不要帶著文字語言
Randy's Trail-Cruiser Travel Trailer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=saPmaa3HtKA
apparently one has to make a change of the vehicle every five years
he said, freedom is so wonderful
apparently one has to make a change of the vehicle every five years
he said, freedom is so wonderful
William Ryan Fritch — The Old Believers (Extended Edition) [Full Album]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9qLiEBwueLs
01 — 00:00 — Of a Different Time 02 — 02:43 — Isolation 03 — 03:57 — The Last Frost 04 — 05:14 — Clouded Was Every Prospect 05 — 08:35 — Take Refuge 06 — 10:54 — Left to Wander 07 — 13:02 — With Each Passing Age 08 — 14:51 — Still and Dense Solitude 09 — 17:12 — Northern Lights 10 — 20:21 — Who Fell the Last Tree 11 — 23:14 — Glass Slowly Shifts 12 — 24:41 — Feeble Dreams 13 — 28:47 — Precious Little Time 14 — 30:05 — By the Letter 15 — 31:19 — Wilting Ways 16 — 34:27 — On Frozen Ground 17 — 36:39 — The Old Believers 18 — 39:48 — Traditions 19 — 42:33 — We Fear Change 20 — 45:38 — Becoming
01 — 00:00 — Of a Different Time 02 — 02:43 — Isolation 03 — 03:57 — The Last Frost 04 — 05:14 — Clouded Was Every Prospect 05 — 08:35 — Take Refuge 06 — 10:54 — Left to Wander 07 — 13:02 — With Each Passing Age 08 — 14:51 — Still and Dense Solitude 09 — 17:12 — Northern Lights 10 — 20:21 — Who Fell the Last Tree 11 — 23:14 — Glass Slowly Shifts 12 — 24:41 — Feeble Dreams 13 — 28:47 — Precious Little Time 14 — 30:05 — By the Letter 15 — 31:19 — Wilting Ways 16 — 34:27 — On Frozen Ground 17 — 36:39 — The Old Believers 18 — 39:48 — Traditions 19 — 42:33 — We Fear Change 20 — 45:38 — Becoming
Friday, June 19, 2020
印度已授權前線軍人開火，中印大戰一觸即發！推演中印熱戰的結果及戰後中國政局走勢
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mLbtSrMAdls
老李這個戰敗後宮廷政變的沙盤推演很有問題這個推演預設了老百姓的自覺和串連的動能已經成熟也忽略了中共高層的集體領導復辟後國家機器仍可運作繼續控制荼毒百姓意思是說中國人民是十四億待宰的綿羊韭菜怎麼樣被欺壓都不會造反而中共高層是一大坨既得利益的新階級怎麼樣邪惡亂搞都不會吃虧意思是說中國人民的命運就是擁護皇權專制獨裁大家明著高喊萬歲萬歲萬萬歲暗著人人之間互害套路不要吃虧就算歲月靜好這是我的絕望因為我看不到任何希望
老李這個戰敗後宮廷政變的沙盤推演很有問題這個推演預設了老百姓的自覺和串連的動能已經成熟也忽略了中共高層的集體領導復辟後國家機器仍可運作繼續控制荼毒百姓意思是說中國人民是十四億待宰的綿羊韭菜怎麼樣被欺壓都不會造反而中共高層是一大坨既得利益的新階級怎麼樣邪惡亂搞都不會吃虧意思是說中國人民的命運就是擁護皇權專制獨裁大家明著高喊萬歲萬歲萬萬歲暗著人人之間互害套路不要吃虧就算歲月靜好這是我的絕望因為我看不到任何希望
說法做法 (Daseinsanalysis)
有說法有做法的人對怎麼活在這個世界瞭然於胸
我樂於想像他對自己的告別式也清楚怎麼做才得體
你必須想像他理性永遠戰勝非理性所以永不衝動
永不愚蠢永不犯錯永不後悔永不噩夢永不自我疑惑
我樂於想像他刷牙要上下左右各刷三十下沖涼則
要唱義大利歌劇打炮叫床要用拉丁文關於最後這點
是有難度的不信你去問尼采和高達美他們都是古
文字學專家原因是古希臘人打炮叫床通常沉默無語
以上說明我對說法做法是有意見的我對有說法有
做法的人也是有意見的我認為他們不知道道法自然
我樂於想像他對自己的告別式也清楚怎麼做才得體
你必須想像他理性永遠戰勝非理性所以永不衝動
永不愚蠢永不犯錯永不後悔永不噩夢永不自我疑惑
我樂於想像他刷牙要上下左右各刷三十下沖涼則
要唱義大利歌劇打炮叫床要用拉丁文關於最後這點
是有難度的不信你去問尼采和高達美他們都是古
文字學專家原因是古希臘人打炮叫床通常沉默無語
以上說明我對說法做法是有意見的我對有說法有
做法的人也是有意見的我認為他們不知道道法自然
湖口休息站 (Daseinsanalysis)
比例是恰當的作為一個休息站
你必須見過不恰當的才知道
甚麼是恰當的
懷舊便當一客七十九元是恰當的
你必須見過不恰當的才知道
甚麼是恰當的
我這輩子見過不恰當的比恰當的多
所以你可以理解我的珍惜
恰當的是恰當的
古時商旅風塵打尖客棧酒館
是恰當的如果你一年要經過
一百五十次湖口休息站
是恰當的
我很高興這是恰當的
意思是說總算有一樁
恰當的發生在我身上
你必須見過不恰當的才知道
甚麼是恰當的
懷舊便當一客七十九元是恰當的
你必須見過不恰當的才知道
甚麼是恰當的
我這輩子見過不恰當的比恰當的多
所以你可以理解我的珍惜
恰當的是恰當的
古時商旅風塵打尖客棧酒館
是恰當的如果你一年要經過
一百五十次湖口休息站
是恰當的
我很高興這是恰當的
意思是說總算有一樁
恰當的發生在我身上
秦二世（前230年－前207年10月）
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E7%A7%A6%E4%BA%8C%E4%B8%96
胡亥奉始皇帝敕令，從中車府令趙高學習法律。秦始皇三十七年（前210年）夏六月，始皇崩於沙丘平台，[4]丞相李斯恐天下有變，乃秘不發喪，棺載轀輬車中。所至，百官奏事如故，宦者輒從車中可其奏事，獨胡亥、趙高及宦者五六人知。秦始皇臨死讓趙高傳旨由長子扶蘇繼位，趙高沒有傳達，勸胡亥代兄繼位，胡亥說秦始皇傳位扶蘇的意圖很明顯，不願越兄而立，但最終還是被趙高說服。趙高又說服丞相李斯，詐稱受始皇遺詔於沙丘，立胡亥為太子，再矯秦始皇詔賜死扶蘇、蒙恬，是為沙丘之變。夏八月，從直道至咸陽，發喪。太子胡亥襲位，為二世皇帝。
秦二世即位後，於明年秦二世元年十月四日戊寅（儒略曆前210年11月21日），[5]大赦天下。二十日甲午（儒略曆前210年12月7日），頒布登基文告。[6]春季，二世開始全國巡遊之旅，至四月結束。二世即位之初，下令秦始皇後宮無子者皆令殉葬，在埋葬秦始皇時封死了全部工匠在驪山陵墓裏。徵調武士五萬人屯衛咸陽，令教射狗馬禽獸。當時天空曾出現「日月薄食」的天文景象。[7]
秦朝的暴政在當年七月激起了陳勝、吳廣的大澤鄉起義。左丞相李斯與右丞相馮去疾、大將軍馮劫上書請求停止修建阿房宮，減輕各種苛捐雜稅。秦二世聽信趙高讒言，誅殺李斯，賜死馮去疾和馮劫。李斯死後，秦二世拜趙高為中丞相，事無鉅細皆決於趙高。
秦二世三年七月，章邯投降西楚軍項羽，劉邦攻下武關，趙高惶恐。八月己亥（前207年9月27日），中丞相趙高欲為亂，恐群臣不聽，乃先設驗，持鹿獻於秦二世曰：「馬也。」秦二世笑曰：「丞相誤邪，謂鹿為馬！」群臣皆畏趙高，莫敢言其過。成語「指鹿為馬」由此而來。之後，秦二世乃出居望夷宮。過三日，因秦二世派使者責問趙高關東盜賊的事情，趙高心中大為恐懼，遂與其婿咸陽令閻樂合謀，派趙成作為內應，聲稱有盜賊作亂，命閻樂發兵抓捕盜賊。閻樂率吏卒一千多人包圍望夷宮，殺死衛令後攻入宮中，逼胡亥自殺，史稱望夷宮之變。臨死前秦二世說寜願只當一位萬戶侯或平民百姓，閻樂皆不准，秦二世只可自殺，時年24歲，以平民之禮葬。墓地在今西安市雁塔區曲江鄉曲江池村南緣台地上，稱胡亥墓。
https://ctext.org/shiji/zh?searchu=%E8%83%A1%E4%BA%A5
https://ctext.org/shiji/zh?searchu=%E8%83%A1%E4%BA%A5
Genomic surveillance Inside China’s DNA dragnet (Australian Strategic Policy Institute)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UUXIleMghSI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UUXIleMghSI (21:28)
China’s national Y-STR database
In 2003, China’s Ministry of Public Security established a national DNA database for police forensic work.12 Over the following decade, police collected DNA samples during criminal investigations.
However, by the early 2010s, Chinese authorities began to engage in the mass collection of DNA from even wider groups. This included not only programs in Tibet and Xinjiang, which were the first to start, but also more targeted efforts elsewhere. Between 2014 and 2016, the Public Security Bureau of Henan Province collected DNA samples from 5.3 million men, or roughly 10% of the province’s male population.13 The province’s police saw the project as a massive improvement in their ability to conduct forensic investigations and extend state surveillance over even more of Henan’s population.
The success of that project encouraged its expansion nationwide and, on 9 November 2017, the Ministry of Public Security held a meeting in Henan’s provincial capital, Zhengzhou, calling for the construction of a nationwide Y-STR database (Figure 4).14
Data collection quickly expanded across the country. Between November 2017 and April 2020, documented instances of police-led Y-STR sample collection have been found in 22 of China’s 31 administrative regions (excluding Hong Kong and Macau) and in more than a hundred municipalities.15
Those are only the instances for which we have direct evidence. Given the national scope of this program, these figures are certainly an underestimate.
Unlike autosomal STR data, which is present in the DNA of both males and females, Y-STRs (the short tandem repeats on Y chromosomes) are found only in male DNA.16 Passed directly from father to son, they aren’t recombined with every successive generation. There’s therefore little variation in Y-STRs, apart from random mutations, and the Y-STR profile of a man will be nearly identical to that of his patrilineal male blood relatives. This means that forensic traces drawn from Y-STR data can point only to a genetically related group of men and not to an individual man.
However, when combined with accurate genealogical records (family trees) and powerful next-generation gene sequencers,17 Y-STR analysis can be a powerful tool. Because surnames are usually inherited from fathers, men who share a common surname are likely to share a common paternal ancestor and a common Y-STR profile.18 Likewise, if the Y-STR profiles of two men match, their surnames are likely to match, too. Therefore, if a Y-STR database contains a large representative sample of DNA profiles and corresponding family records, even an unknown male’s data can potentially be matched to a family name and even an individual, so long as investigators have on file the Y-STR data of that male’s father, uncle or even third cousin (Figure 5).
For the Chinese Government, Y-STR analysis presents a more cost-effective and efficient method of building a national genetic panopticon. Unlike in Tibet and Xinjiang, authorities don’t need to collect DNA samples from all Chinese citizens in order to dramatically increase their genomic surveillance capacity. Authorities in Henan achieved 98.71% genetic coverage of the province’s total male population by collecting Y-STR samples from 10% of the province’s men and developing family trees for nearly all of the province’s patrilineal families.19 Following a similar program nationally, Chinese authorities could achieve genetic coverage for nearly all men and boys in China.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UUXIleMghSI (21:28)
China’s national Y-STR database
In 2003, China’s Ministry of Public Security established a national DNA database for police forensic work.12 Over the following decade, police collected DNA samples during criminal investigations.
However, by the early 2010s, Chinese authorities began to engage in the mass collection of DNA from even wider groups. This included not only programs in Tibet and Xinjiang, which were the first to start, but also more targeted efforts elsewhere. Between 2014 and 2016, the Public Security Bureau of Henan Province collected DNA samples from 5.3 million men, or roughly 10% of the province’s male population.13 The province’s police saw the project as a massive improvement in their ability to conduct forensic investigations and extend state surveillance over even more of Henan’s population.
The success of that project encouraged its expansion nationwide and, on 9 November 2017, the Ministry of Public Security held a meeting in Henan’s provincial capital, Zhengzhou, calling for the construction of a nationwide Y-STR database (Figure 4).14
Data collection quickly expanded across the country. Between November 2017 and April 2020, documented instances of police-led Y-STR sample collection have been found in 22 of China’s 31 administrative regions (excluding Hong Kong and Macau) and in more than a hundred municipalities.15
Those are only the instances for which we have direct evidence. Given the national scope of this program, these figures are certainly an underestimate.
Unlike autosomal STR data, which is present in the DNA of both males and females, Y-STRs (the short tandem repeats on Y chromosomes) are found only in male DNA.16 Passed directly from father to son, they aren’t recombined with every successive generation. There’s therefore little variation in Y-STRs, apart from random mutations, and the Y-STR profile of a man will be nearly identical to that of his patrilineal male blood relatives. This means that forensic traces drawn from Y-STR data can point only to a genetically related group of men and not to an individual man.
However, when combined with accurate genealogical records (family trees) and powerful next-generation gene sequencers,17 Y-STR analysis can be a powerful tool. Because surnames are usually inherited from fathers, men who share a common surname are likely to share a common paternal ancestor and a common Y-STR profile.18 Likewise, if the Y-STR profiles of two men match, their surnames are likely to match, too. Therefore, if a Y-STR database contains a large representative sample of DNA profiles and corresponding family records, even an unknown male’s data can potentially be matched to a family name and even an individual, so long as investigators have on file the Y-STR data of that male’s father, uncle or even third cousin (Figure 5).
For the Chinese Government, Y-STR analysis presents a more cost-effective and efficient method of building a national genetic panopticon. Unlike in Tibet and Xinjiang, authorities don’t need to collect DNA samples from all Chinese citizens in order to dramatically increase their genomic surveillance capacity. Authorities in Henan achieved 98.71% genetic coverage of the province’s total male population by collecting Y-STR samples from 10% of the province’s men and developing family trees for nearly all of the province’s patrilineal families.19 Following a similar program nationally, Chinese authorities could achieve genetic coverage for nearly all men and boys in China.
after Michael R. Pompeo’s Meeting with Yang Jiechi
https://www.state.gov/secretary-michael-r-pompeos-meeting-with-chinese-communist-party-politburo-member-yang-jiechi/
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3089672/us-china-talks-pompeos-seven-hour-meeting-yang-helps (SCMP)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSbD5tzM42c
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nzq_NqglYKs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZrZrBKy9ouA
https://twitter.com/SecPompeo/status/1273661424297029633
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-china-trump/trump-renews-threat-to-cut-ties-with-china-idUSKBN23P3JS
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/perhaps-i-didn-t-make-myself-clear-trump-renews-threat-to-cut-ties-with-china-20200619-p55459.html
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1273706102023237633
老王的意思是說本來川普要的是錢中共只要付錢川普就可以被收買但是Bolton的書一出版川普就必須證明他要的不是錢是中共的命而且不連任也無所謂意思是說Bolton幫忙川普把橋燒掉老王認為中共會盡快通過國安法把九月立法會選舉取消
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3089672/us-china-talks-pompeos-seven-hour-meeting-yang-helps (SCMP)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSbD5tzM42c
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nzq_NqglYKs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZrZrBKy9ouA
https://twitter.com/SecPompeo/status/1273661424297029633
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-china-trump/trump-renews-threat-to-cut-ties-with-china-idUSKBN23P3JS
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/perhaps-i-didn-t-make-myself-clear-trump-renews-threat-to-cut-ties-with-china-20200619-p55459.html
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1273706102023237633
老王的意思是說本來川普要的是錢中共只要付錢川普就可以被收買但是Bolton的書一出版川普就必須證明他要的不是錢是中共的命而且不連任也無所謂意思是說Bolton幫忙川普把橋燒掉老王認為中共會盡快通過國安法把九月立法會選舉取消
Thursday, June 18, 2020
The Room Where It Happened: A White House Memoir (John Bolton, Simon & Schuster, 2020-6-23)
As President Trump’s National Security Advisor, John Bolton spent many of his 453 days in the room where it happened, and the facts speak for themselves.
The result is a White House memoir that is the most comprehensive and substantial account of the Trump Administration, and one of the few to date by a top-level official. With almost daily access to the President, John Bolton has produced a precise rendering of his days in and around the Oval Office. What Bolton saw astonished him: a President for whom getting reelected was the only thing that mattered, even if it meant endangering or weakening the nation. “I am hard-pressed to identify any significant Trump decision during my tenure that wasn’t driven by reelection calculations,” he writes. In fact, he argues that the House committed impeachment malpractice by keeping their prosecution focused narrowly on Ukraine when Trump’s Ukraine-like transgressions existed across the full range of his foreign policy—and Bolton documents exactly what those were, and attempts by him and others in the Administration to raise alarms about them.
He shows a President addicted to chaos, who embraced our enemies and spurned our friends, and was deeply suspicious of his own government. In Bolton’s telling, all this helped put Trump on the bizarre road to impeachment. “The differences between this presidency and previous ones I had served were stunning,” writes Bolton, who worked for Reagan, Bush 41, and Bush 43. He discovered a President who thought foreign policy is like closing a real estate deal—about personal relationships, made-for-TV showmanship, and advancing his own interests. As a result, the US lost an opportunity to confront its deepening threats, and in cases like China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea ended up in a more vulnerable place.
Bolton’s account starts with his long march to the West Wing as Trump and others woo him for the National Security job. The minute he lands, he has to deal with Syria’s chemical attack on the city of Douma, and the crises after that never stop. As he writes in the opening pages, “If you don’t like turmoil, uncertainty, and risk—all the while being constantly overwhelmed with information, decisions to be made, and sheer amount of work—and enlivened by international and domestic personality and ego conflicts beyond description, try something else.”
The turmoil, conflicts, and egos are all there—from the upheaval in Venezuela, to the erratic and manipulative moves of North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, to the showdowns at the G7 summits, the calculated warmongering by Iran, the crazy plan to bring the Taliban to Camp David, and the placating of an authoritarian China that ultimately exposed the world to its lethal lies. But this seasoned public servant also has a great eye for the Washington inside game, and his story is full of wit and wry humor about how he saw it played. (amazon)
The result is a White House memoir that is the most comprehensive and substantial account of the Trump Administration, and one of the few to date by a top-level official. With almost daily access to the President, John Bolton has produced a precise rendering of his days in and around the Oval Office. What Bolton saw astonished him: a President for whom getting reelected was the only thing that mattered, even if it meant endangering or weakening the nation. “I am hard-pressed to identify any significant Trump decision during my tenure that wasn’t driven by reelection calculations,” he writes. In fact, he argues that the House committed impeachment malpractice by keeping their prosecution focused narrowly on Ukraine when Trump’s Ukraine-like transgressions existed across the full range of his foreign policy—and Bolton documents exactly what those were, and attempts by him and others in the Administration to raise alarms about them.
He shows a President addicted to chaos, who embraced our enemies and spurned our friends, and was deeply suspicious of his own government. In Bolton’s telling, all this helped put Trump on the bizarre road to impeachment. “The differences between this presidency and previous ones I had served were stunning,” writes Bolton, who worked for Reagan, Bush 41, and Bush 43. He discovered a President who thought foreign policy is like closing a real estate deal—about personal relationships, made-for-TV showmanship, and advancing his own interests. As a result, the US lost an opportunity to confront its deepening threats, and in cases like China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea ended up in a more vulnerable place.
Bolton’s account starts with his long march to the West Wing as Trump and others woo him for the National Security job. The minute he lands, he has to deal with Syria’s chemical attack on the city of Douma, and the crises after that never stop. As he writes in the opening pages, “If you don’t like turmoil, uncertainty, and risk—all the while being constantly overwhelmed with information, decisions to be made, and sheer amount of work—and enlivened by international and domestic personality and ego conflicts beyond description, try something else.”
The turmoil, conflicts, and egos are all there—from the upheaval in Venezuela, to the erratic and manipulative moves of North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, to the showdowns at the G7 summits, the calculated warmongering by Iran, the crazy plan to bring the Taliban to Camp David, and the placating of an authoritarian China that ultimately exposed the world to its lethal lies. But this seasoned public servant also has a great eye for the Washington inside game, and his story is full of wit and wry humor about how he saw it played. (amazon)
About the Author
John Bolton is the former National Security Advisor to President Donald Trump. He served as the United States Ambassador to the United Nations from 2005 to 2006. He has spent many years of his career in public service and held high-level positions in the Administrations of Presidents Ronald Reagan, George H. W. Bush, and George W. Bush. Ambassador Bolton is also an attorney, and was in private practice in Washington, DC, from 1974 to 2018, except when he was in government service. Ambassador Bolton was born in Baltimore in 1948. He graduated with a BA, summa cum laude, from Yale College and received his JD from Yale Law School. He currently lives in Bethesda, Maryland. (amazon)
Wednesday, June 17, 2020
Zbigniew Kotowicz (1950-2017)
https://www.gordonstainforth.co.uk/zbigniew-kotowicz-1950-2017
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2017/dec/25/zbigniew-kotowicz-obituary
https://fortnightlyreview.co.uk/2017/12/zbignew-jaroslaw-kotowicz/
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1905700318/ref=ox_sc_act_title_3?smid=ATVPDKIKX0DER&psc=1
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1474432239/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i1
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B000OI0VOI/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i0
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2017/dec/25/zbigniew-kotowicz-obituary
https://fortnightlyreview.co.uk/2017/12/zbignew-jaroslaw-kotowicz/
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1905700318/ref=ox_sc_act_title_3?smid=ATVPDKIKX0DER&psc=1
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1474432239/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i1
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B000OI0VOI/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i0
房宁 (b 1957)
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E6%88%BF%E5%AE%81
https://twitter.com/laodeng89/status/1272787257049575427
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tHtRm9X1-Ac
https://www.bannedbook.org/bnews/zh-tw/ssgc/20200617/1345953.html
https://twitter.com/laodeng89/status/1272787257049575427
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tHtRm9X1-Ac
https://www.bannedbook.org/bnews/zh-tw/ssgc/20200617/1345953.html
7.【體制內學者承認中共將亡】
中共社科院政治學研究所黨委書記房寧接受香港媒體專訪稱，並不否認中共將亡，他認為歷史周期律是存在的，目前最高領導人有很強的危機感，隨著執政時間延長、各種社會矛盾積累以及自身懈怠，有可能會逐漸瓦解，這是個歷史規律。這個問題鄧江胡都強調過，只不過現在更突出了。
攻台假訊息資訊戰四大模式
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MWw9muPh1XY (6:41)
外宣模式 - 傳統媒體宣傳
粉紅模式 - 小粉紅自行散布
農場模式 - 大量內容農場文章散布網路
協力模式 - 內容委外在地製造
老沈說的是砸錢沒有提到精神分析我先前說過策畫玩弄假消息 (misinformation, disinformation) 者需要精神分析訓練 (不只個體的部分還必須包括 social psychoanalysis) 知道 what makes one tick, what makes people tick 才能準確刺中裸露的神經臨床上邊緣性人格者有這個本事他冥冥中知道你哪裡最痛他踢下去的就是那個痛點所謂冥冥中知道顯然是潛意識的知道所以他事後辯解無辜是有點道理的他會說言者無心聽者有意我又不是故意的我沒有那個意思 (正確的說是我的意識沒有那個意思) 這裡和假消息製作者的差別是他的意識有那個意思但他的潛意識必須發達才能為他的意識找到下棋的題材和方向意思是說臨床所見之邊緣性人格者無辜製造假消息者惡意套路決定一切與無辜無關但他們會說大家都是出來混的我只是混口飯吃
https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/1362156 (2020-3-29)
資本模式、自產模式、境外模式、地方模式
外宣模式 - 傳統媒體宣傳
粉紅模式 - 小粉紅自行散布
農場模式 - 大量內容農場文章散布網路
協力模式 - 內容委外在地製造
老沈說的是砸錢沒有提到精神分析我先前說過策畫玩弄假消息 (misinformation, disinformation) 者需要精神分析訓練 (不只個體的部分還必須包括 social psychoanalysis) 知道 what makes one tick, what makes people tick 才能準確刺中裸露的神經臨床上邊緣性人格者有這個本事他冥冥中知道你哪裡最痛他踢下去的就是那個痛點所謂冥冥中知道顯然是潛意識的知道所以他事後辯解無辜是有點道理的他會說言者無心聽者有意我又不是故意的我沒有那個意思 (正確的說是我的意識沒有那個意思) 這裡和假消息製作者的差別是他的意識有那個意思但他的潛意識必須發達才能為他的意識找到下棋的題材和方向意思是說臨床所見之邊緣性人格者無辜製造假消息者惡意套路決定一切與無辜無關但他們會說大家都是出來混的我只是混口飯吃
https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/1362156 (2020-3-29)
資本模式、自產模式、境外模式、地方模式
長年研究中國資訊戰的沈伯洋分析，中國假訊息的產製可分為資本模式、自產模式、境外模式與地方模式等四種類型，目標都是針對一般閱聽大眾。
沈伯洋指出，境外模式與地方模式經常是地方統戰系統進行操作，品質較為粗糙，容易被一般人所辨別。資本模式是藉由統戰部等國家級機構與台灣媒體或政治人物對接，達成中共中央想操作的訊息。自產模式是中國透過在地協力者與台灣人牽上線，由台灣人自行製作、散播假消息，由於假訊息的在地化，使得人們難以辨別，這也是他推動「中共代理人法」立法的原因，透過法律讓中間人無所遁形。
余茂春 (Maochun Miles Yu) (b 1962)
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E4%BD%99%E8%8C%82%E6%98%A5
https://www.usna.edu/Users/history/yu/index.php
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/4/8/19/n633125.htm
https://www.amazon.com/Routledge-Handbook-Chinese-Security-Dittmer/dp/1138244554
https://www.amazon.com/Military-History-China-David-Graff/dp/0813135842/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=Maochun+Miles+Yu&qid=1592356793&s=books&sr=1-1
https://www.usna.edu/Users/history/yu/index.php
https://www.epochtimes.com/gb/4/8/19/n633125.htm
https://www.amazon.com/Routledge-Handbook-Chinese-Security-Dittmer/dp/1138244554
https://www.amazon.com/Military-History-China-David-Graff/dp/0813135842/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=Maochun+Miles+Yu&qid=1592356793&s=books&sr=1-1
The Case Against Reality: Why Evolution Hid the Truth from Our Eyes (Donald Hoffman, W. W. Norton & Company, 2019)
Can we trust our senses to tell us the truth?
Challenging leading scientific theories that claim that our senses report back objective reality, cognitive scientist Donald Hoffman argues that while we should take our perceptions seriously, we should not take them literally. How can it be possible that the world we see is not objective reality? And how can our senses be useful if they are not communicating the truth? Hoffman grapples with these questions and more over the course of this eye-opening work.
Ever since Homo sapiens has walked the earth, natural selection has favored perception that hides the truth and guides us toward useful action, shaping our senses to keep us alive and reproducing. We observe a speeding car and do not walk in front of it; we see mold growing on bread and do not eat it. These impressions, though, are not objective reality. Just like a file icon on a desktop screen is a useful symbol rather than a genuine representation of what a computer file looks like, the objects we see every day are merely icons, allowing us to navigate the world safely and with ease.
The real-world implications for this discovery are huge. From examining why fashion designers create clothes that give the illusion of a more “attractive” body shape to studying how companies use color to elicit specific emotions in consumers, and even dismantling the very notion that spacetime is objective reality, The Case Against Reality dares us to question everything we thought we knew about the world we see. (amazon) (accessible via scribd)
缺點就是優點 (Daseinsanalysis)
這時午夜已過體表溫度仍在30度
大業路二十四小時營業頂好已歇
當然經國路家樂福應該仍未歇息
對於離開系統我已準備了三十年
顯然原本只是在系統的邊緣想像
想像離開畢竟不是離開意思是說
缺點就是優點是鑑賞蘋果的關鍵
被蟲蛀過的蘋果才是最甜的蘋果
原因很簡單不甜蟲為什麼要蛀它
這個意思是說你要相信蟲的判斷
就好像唐吉軻德要相信馬的判斷
但缺點就是優點有另一重意思
那就是有缺點你方可隨便自由
新鞋穿起來好像是多年的舊鞋
起因是城市的勳章的缺點
這件事告訴我們人生重大
的決定必須交給缺點決定
換句話說帶來自由的是缺點
就像不須假扮全知全能的神
赤足走在大地或不須假扮貞
潔聖女脫下褲盡情地叫床或
不須假扮道德楷模的雷鋒決
決跟每個人一樣捨孩子套狼
意思是說缺點讓你可以犯錯
缺點讓你恢復人性缺點讓你
不是一般糊塗是真的很糊塗
缺點讓你放下人算甘被天算
大業路二十四小時營業頂好已歇
當然經國路家樂福應該仍未歇息
對於離開系統我已準備了三十年
顯然原本只是在系統的邊緣想像
想像離開畢竟不是離開意思是說
缺點就是優點是鑑賞蘋果的關鍵
被蟲蛀過的蘋果才是最甜的蘋果
原因很簡單不甜蟲為什麼要蛀它
這個意思是說你要相信蟲的判斷
就好像唐吉軻德要相信馬的判斷
但缺點就是優點有另一重意思
那就是有缺點你方可隨便自由
新鞋穿起來好像是多年的舊鞋
起因是城市的勳章的缺點
這件事告訴我們人生重大
的決定必須交給缺點決定
換句話說帶來自由的是缺點
就像不須假扮全知全能的神
赤足走在大地或不須假扮貞
潔聖女脫下褲盡情地叫床或
不須假扮道德楷模的雷鋒決
決跟每個人一樣捨孩子套狼
意思是說缺點讓你可以犯錯
缺點讓你恢復人性缺點讓你
不是一般糊塗是真的很糊塗
缺點讓你放下人算甘被天算
Tuesday, June 16, 2020
Life of My Choice (Thesiger Wilfred, W. W. Norton and Company, 1980)
Wilfred Thesiger is the last of the great British eccentric explorers, renowned for his travels through some of the most inaccessible places on earth.
As a child in Abyssinia he watched the glorious armies of Ras Tafari returning from hand-to-hand battle, their prisoners in chains; at the age of 23 he made his first expedition into the country of the Danakil, a murderous race among whom a man's status in the tribe depended on the number of men he had killed and castrated. His books, "Arabian Sands" and "The Marsh Arabs", tell of his two sojourns in the Empty Quarter and the Marshes of Southern Iraq. In this autobiography, Wilfred Thesiger highlights the people who most profoundly influenced him and the events which enabled him to lead the life of his choice. (amazon)
Wilfred Thesiger: The Life of the Great Explorer (Alexander Maitland, The Overlook Press, 2011)
The author of Arabian Sands and The Marsh Arabs and The Life of my Choice, he was a legend in his own lifetime but his character and motivations have remained an intriguing enigma. In this authorized biography--written with Thesiger’s support before he died in 2003 and with unique access to the rich Thesiger archive--Alexander Maitland investigates this fascinating figure’s family influences, his wartime experiences, his philosophy as a hunter and conservationist, his writing and photography, his friendships with Arabs and Africans amongst whom he lived, and his now-acknowledged homosexuality. (amazon) (kindle 2020-6-16)
see also
see also
The Great U.S.-China Tech War (Gordon G. Chang, Encounter Books, 2020-3-31)
The United States and China are locked in a “cold tech war,” and the winner will end up dominating the twenty-first century.
Beijing was not considered a tech contender a decade ago. Now, some call it a leader. America is already behind in critical areas.
It is no surprise how Chinese leaders made their regime a tech powerhouse. They first developed and then implemented multiyear plans and projects, adopting a determined, methodical, and disciplined approach. As a result, China’s political leaders and their army of technocrats could soon possess the technologies of tomorrow.
America can still catch up. Unfortunately, Americans, focused on other matters, are not meeting the challenges China presents. A whole-of-society mobilization will be necessary for the U.S. to regain what it once had: control of cutting-edge technologies. This is how America got to the moon, and this is the key to winning this century.
Americans may not like the fact that they’re once again in a Cold War–type struggle, but they will either adjust to that reality or get left behind. (amazon)
Beijing was not considered a tech contender a decade ago. Now, some call it a leader. America is already behind in critical areas.
It is no surprise how Chinese leaders made their regime a tech powerhouse. They first developed and then implemented multiyear plans and projects, adopting a determined, methodical, and disciplined approach. As a result, China’s political leaders and their army of technocrats could soon possess the technologies of tomorrow.
America can still catch up. Unfortunately, Americans, focused on other matters, are not meeting the challenges China presents. A whole-of-society mobilization will be necessary for the U.S. to regain what it once had: control of cutting-edge technologies. This is how America got to the moon, and this is the key to winning this century.
Americans may not like the fact that they’re once again in a Cold War–type struggle, but they will either adjust to that reality or get left behind. (amazon)
The D614G mutation in the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein reduces S1 shedding and increases infectivity (2020-6-12)
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.12.148726v1
see also
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/12/health/coronavirus-mutations-scripps-gene/index.html
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/12/opinions/coronavirus-mutation-increased-infectivity-haseltine/index.html
see also
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/12/health/coronavirus-mutations-scripps-gene/index.html
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/12/opinions/coronavirus-mutation-increased-infectivity-haseltine/index.html
John Mearsheimer (b 1947)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Mearsheimer
https://www.mearsheimer.com/
not sure if this one is a panda too
https://www.mearsheimer.com/
not sure if this one is a panda too
Ice Age
An ice age is a long period of reduction in the temperature of the Earth's surface and atmosphere, resulting in the presence or expansion of continental and polar ice sheets and alpine glaciers. Earth's climate alternates between ice ages and greenhouse periods, during which there are no glaciers on the planet. Earth is currently in the Quaternary glaciation, known in popular terminology as the Ice Age.[1] Individual pulses of cold climate within an ice age are termed "glacial periods" (or, alternatively, "glacials", "glaciations", "glacial stages", "stadials", "stades", or colloquially, "ice ages"), and intermittent warm periods within an ice age are called "interglacials" or "interstadials", with both climatic pulses part of the Quaternary or other periods in Earth's history.[2]
In the terminology of glaciology, ice age implies the presence of extensive ice sheets in both northern and southern hemispheres.[3] By this definition, we are in an interglacial period—the Holocene. The amount of heat trapping gases emitted into Earth's oceans and atmosphere are predicted to prevent the next glacial period, which otherwise would begin in around 50,000 years, and likely more glacial cycles.[4][5]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_age
The causes of ice ages are not fully understood for either the large-scale ice age periods or the smaller ebb and flow of glacial–interglacial periods within an ice age. The consensus is that several factors are important: atmospheric composition, such as the concentrations of carbon dioxide and methane (the specific levels of the previously mentioned gases are now able to be seen with the new ice core samples from EPICA Dome C in Antarctica over the past 800,000 years); changes in the earth's orbit around the Sun known as Milankovitch cycles; the motion of tectonic plates resulting in changes in the relative location and amount of continental and oceanic crust on the earth's surface, which affect wind and ocean currents; variations in solar output; the orbital dynamics of the Earth–Moon system; the impact of relatively large meteorites and volcanism including eruptions of supervolcanoes.[48][citation needed]
Some of these factors influence each other. For example, changes in Earth's atmospheric composition (especially the concentrations of greenhouse gases) may alter the climate, while climate change itself can change the atmospheric composition (for example by changing the rate at which weathering removes CO
2).
2).
Maureen Raymo, William Ruddiman and others propose that the Tibetan and Colorado Plateaus are immense CO
2 "scrubbers" with a capacity to remove enough CO
2 from the global atmosphere to be a significant causal factor of the 40 million year Cenozoic Cooling trend. They further claim that approximately half of their uplift (and CO
2 "scrubbing" capacity) occurred in the past 10 million years.[49][50]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_age#Causes2 "scrubbers" with a capacity to remove enough CO
2 from the global atmosphere to be a significant causal factor of the 40 million year Cenozoic Cooling trend. They further claim that approximately half of their uplift (and CO
2 "scrubbing" capacity) occurred in the past 10 million years.[49][50]
The Quaternary glaciation, also known as the Pleistocene glaciation, is an alternating series of glacial and interglacial periods during the Quaternary period that began 2.58 Ma (million years ago), and is ongoing.[1][2][3] Although geologists describe the entire time period as an "ice age", in popular culture the term "ice age" is usually associated with just the most recent glacial period during the Pleistocene.[4] Since the planet Earth still has ice sheets, geologists consider the Quaternary glaciation to be ongoing, with the Earth now experiencing an interglacial period.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quaternary_glaciation
The Last Glacial Period (LGP) occurred from the end of the Eemian to the end of the Younger Dryas, encompassing the period c. 115,000 – c. 11,700 years ago. This most recent glacial period is part of a larger pattern of glacial and interglacial periods known as the Quaternary glaciation extending from c. 2,588,000 years ago to present.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Last_Glacial_Period
冰河時期（Ice Age），又稱「冰河期」，是指地球大氣和地表長期低溫導致極地和山地冰蓋大幅擴展甚至覆蓋整個大陸的時期。冰河時期內部又分為幾次冰期（glacial period、glacials或glaciations）與間冰期（interglacials）。
從冰河學的角度，南北半球出現大範圍冰蓋的時期即可視作冰河時期。[1]鑑於格陵蘭和南北極大範圍冰蓋的存在，當今的地球仍處在始於260萬年前更新世的第四紀冰河時期的一次間冰期中，且尚無跡象表明地球正在走出這次冰河時期。
冰期（glacial period），又稱亞冰期，是指在一個「冰河時期」（其時間跨度是幾千萬年甚至2、3億年）之中，一段持續的全球低溫、大陸冰蓋大幅度向赤道延伸的時期。而間冰期是指兩次冰期之間，全球溫度較高，大陸冰蓋大幅度消融退縮的時期。冰期與間冰期的時間尺度是數十萬年。一個冰河時期由冰期、間冰期交替反覆旋迴。目前地球處於第四紀冰河時期，50萬年來出現了5次冰期，每次冰期平均持續7萬多年，而每次間冰期平均持續2萬多年。目前處於1.1萬年前開始的間冰期，這也是全新世的開始.
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