https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lisa_Fittko
Sunday, October 14, 2018
2017-12-17
https://kellychang2713.blogspot.com/2017/12/blog-post_536.html
https://kellychang2713.blogspot.com/search?q=intersubjectivity
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1LYmFOlAlFdvNcP8MdghH_c5jLl_pveyQ?usp=sharing
https://kellychang2713.blogspot.com/search?q=intersubjectivity
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1LYmFOlAlFdvNcP8MdghH_c5jLl_pveyQ?usp=sharing
Leonard Cohen - You Want It Darker (Solomun Remix) (Audio)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCXaPzEHPXY&list=RDhCXaPzEHPXY&start_radio=1
何志平贿赂乍得总统，反被骂“以为非洲领导人都贪污吗”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yJqgNIhcE-I
中國人禮輕情意重讓人十分感動台灣人不遑多讓也喜歡搬兩億台幣送禮相形之下可謂禮重情意也重
The Passage (1979)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NMik6VpNcfE
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Passage_(1979_film)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Passage_(1979_film)
Lisa Fittko was there too
Can WTO force China to change its trade practices? US ambassador to the organisation is sceptical (2018-10-13)
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/2168402/will-china-change-its-trade-behaviour-us-representative-wto-sceptical
這不是尼采的諸神的黃昏
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fQuY1JEmGBw
這是耶穌基督聖母瑪利亞使徒天使阿拉佛陀菩薩阿羅漢玉皇大帝太上老君媽祖三太子們大家都在集中營等待生摘器官用心研讀習語錄
do you hear the lambs cry
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6p5jL7M325U&start_radio=1&list=RD6p5jL7M325U
US, China trade war might end soon, Asia expert says (208-10-12)
https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/us-china-trade-war-might-end-soon-asia-expert-says
Saturday, October 13, 2018
anywhere i can see a lot of sky
i can get through the days, i even eat the food, it's amazing how much you miss the sky (the firm 1993)
何清涟：中美贸易战会打垮中共吗？
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y7mmDljkDyU
知識產權 外資撤離.
定向爆破 壓力測試
政權滅亡的四個前提
內部矛盾 官民水火
外部壓力 財政危機
Chris Rea - Looking For The Summer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8a6kHQN9BA
Look deep into the April face
A change is clearly taking place
Looking for the summer
The eyes take on a certain gaze
And leave behind the springtime days
Go looking for the summer
This ain't no game of kiss and tell
The implications how you knew so well
Go looking for the summer
The time has come and they must go
To play the passion out that haunts you so
Looking for the summer
Remember love how it was the same
We scratched and hurt each other's growing pains
We were looking for the summer
And still I stand this very day
With a burning wish to fly away
I'm still looking, looking for the summer
Looking for the summer
The eyes take on a certain gaze
And leave behind the springtime days
Go looking for the summer
This ain't no game of kiss and tell
The implications how you knew so well
Go looking for the summer
The time has come and they must go
To play the passion out that haunts you so
Looking for the summer
Remember love how it was the same
We scratched and hurt each other's growing pains
We were looking for the summer
And still I stand this very day
With a burning wish to fly away
I'm still looking, looking for the summer
Songwriters: CHRISTOPHER ANTON REA
Looking For The
Summer lyrics © Warner/Chappell Music, Inc
Chris Rea - Curse Of The Traveller
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XMLmYmPsUSs
On the restless road to nowhere
There's no certain peace it seems
Desire to keep on moving
Till the river of dreams
Is it just because someone told you
Is it just because you found
Old freedom feels uneasy when duty is around
When allegiance asks the questions
Old freedom twists and turns
And chokes on codes of honour
On the sword of no return
And it's the curse of the traveller
The curse of the traveller
Got a hold of me
And it won't let you be
And in sleepless nights
You'll call her name
And feel loneliness cold to the bone
And when the daylight breaks
This old tired heart aches
To be such a long way, such a long way from home
And you long for the harbourlights
But you'll never be free
Of the craving for refuge
And the call of the sea
Always wanting to sell up
But always needing to buy
So till the road leads to somewhere
And that river runs dry
It's the curse of the traveller
Ain't gonna let you be
The curse of the traveller
And it sure got a hold of me
There's no certain peace it seems
Desire to keep on moving
Till the river of dreams
Is it just because someone told you
Is it just because you found
Old freedom feels uneasy when duty is around
When allegiance asks the questions
Old freedom twists and turns
And chokes on codes of honour
On the sword of no return
And it's the curse of the traveller
The curse of the traveller
Got a hold of me
And it won't let you be
And in sleepless nights
You'll call her name
And feel loneliness cold to the bone
And when the daylight breaks
This old tired heart aches
To be such a long way, such a long way from home
And you long for the harbourlights
But you'll never be free
Of the craving for refuge
And the call of the sea
Always wanting to sell up
But always needing to buy
So till the road leads to somewhere
And that river runs dry
It's the curse of the traveller
Ain't gonna let you be
The curse of the traveller
And it sure got a hold of me
Songwriters: CHRISTOPHER ANTON REA
Curse Of The Traveller lyrics ©
Warner/Chappell Music, Inc.
The Hoffman Report (2018-10-15)
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1h7WNLbGdlUPXm8OXQ9OUN6m0fnV_jF_d?usp=sharing
https://www.asuswebstorage.com/navigate/s/0E71405C17AB47F7809D0AC3452F2C54Y (MP3)
https://www.asuswebstorage.com/navigate/s/0E71405C17AB47F7809D0AC3452F2C54Y (MP3)
STING - A Touch Of Jazz (A Selection of Rare & Non-Album Tracks) - By R&UT
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bCFO8wLgZPo
March of the Dinosaurs （2011）
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ko7zEBm7TTU
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_of_the_Dinosaurs
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_of_the_Dinosaurs
《活摘－十年调查 》:中国军医曝光大陆活摘器官一条龙黑幕 (2016-11-4)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0s84avaf0l4
http://harvestedalive.com/
http://harvestedalive.com/
陈小平： 美国眼中的中国经济侵略，涉及六大领域50多种手法
致命中国 Death
by China (中文字幕版）(2016-4-10)
(Death by China
theme song
White House National Trade Council Director Peter Navarro on Chinese
Economic Aggression (2018-6-28)
2019從深夜開始
這時 3:44 AM 我知道心理治療是上層結構有點像哲學中的美學意思是說多餘的奢侈與生存的地氣無關 Anna
O. (1859-1936) 早就跟 Josef Breuer 說過那是talking cure 意思是那不過是 talking 說說而已你認為我們的世界還會有誰在意誰說了甚麼誰聽了甚麼嗎當科技即將完全取代生命
但我是土的陽台種了一排盆栽草花早就枯萎長出野草我每天澆水看著那些茂盛的生命
所以你知道我不贊成科技至上主義那是絕對的毀滅我知道這是不合時宜的但我這輩子沒有做過合乎時宜的事你可以說我的雜草一生是不合時宜的我不反對你這麼說
Psychotherapy in the age of AI 是2018想到的題目2019必須的題目AI將改變一切包括你的晚餐你的工作你的性生活你的沒有性生活你的意識你的潛意識你的生你的死你的死不了也活不了
但AI不會改變我的窗口野草叢生
Robot War in the South China Sea? (The National Interest, 2018-10-11)
https://nationalinterest.org/feature/robot-war-south-china-sea-33146
9 Developments In AI That You Really Need to Know (John Welsh, Forbes, 2018-10-10)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnwelsheurope/2018/10/10/9-developments-in-ai-that-you-really-need-to-know/#6986d0596ea5
Weaponised AI is coming. Are algorithmic forever wars our future? (Ben Tarnoff, The Guardian, 2018-10-11)
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/oct/11/war-jedi-algorithmic-warfare-us-military
Artificial intelligence is about to revolutionise warfare. Be afraid (NewScientist, 2018-9-12)
https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg23931950-600-artificial-intelligence-is-about-to-revolutionise-warfare-be-afraid/
China In Race To Overtake U.S. Military in AI Warfare (The National Interest, 2018-5-30)
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/china-race-overtake-us-military-ai-warfare-26035
Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Warfare (M. L. Cummings, 2017)
https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/publications/research/2017-01-26-artificial-intelligence-future-warfare-cummings-final.pdf
Meme
https://zh.moegirl.org/Meme
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%BF%B7%E5%9B%A0
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meme
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%BF%B7%E5%9B%A0
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meme
Drones and the Future of Air Warfare: The Evolution of Remotely Piloted Aircraft (Michael P. Kreuzer, 2018-2-14)
This book examines the evolution of airpower and specifically the growth and proliferation of Remotely Piloted Aircraft (RPAs).
While most existing literature examines either the law or ethics of RPAs, and some newer scholarship looks to the battlefield effectiveness (the gains from strikes versus the potential for ‘blowback, etc.), this work investigates it from a broader military perspective. It examines the strategy for employment of RPAs across the spectrum of warfare, the potential deterrent value of RPAs in some circumstances, and the resulting ability of RPAs to fundamentally shift the character of when and how wars are fought. The central aim of this book is to evaluate the role of ‘drones’ in warfare to date, and make basic projections on how states will adopt RPAs and UCAVs in the future. At the core is the goal of answering a broad, underlying research question: How will the RPA innovation impact military strategy and international security?
This book will be of much interest to students of airpower, drone warfare, military and strategic studies, security studies and IR. (amazon)
Air Warfare: An Introduction (Michael P. Kreuzer, 2018-5-9)
This accessible new textbook provides a thorough grounding in the vocabulary, concepts, issues and debates associated with air power and aerial conflict.
Despite being one of the most commonly relied upon forms of prosecuting modern conflict, few outside the military understand the tactics, equipment, and organizations associated with prosecuting an air campaign nor the relationship of air warfare to other domains of combat. The goal of this book is to take the complexity of air warfare and provide a clear, coherent understanding of the unique features of air warfare necessary for policymakers and students alike to follow the nuances of debates over the use of airpower in conflicts.
Air Warfare is divided into two main sections, with the first looking at the underlying concepts of war and what is meant by air warfare and the air domain, and the second section examining air warfare in operations and tactics. It covers such issues as:
- Conceptual overview of the theory and practice of air warfare to date;
- Airpower as a coercive political tool outside of conflict;
- Aerial combat and the process of gaining air superiority;
- Exploiting air superiority for strategic bombing, support of fielded forces, command and control, and intelligence gathering;
- Issues for the future of air warfare.
This book will be essential reading for students of air power and air warfare, and highly recommended for students of strategic studies, military theory and defence studies. (amazon)
China in race to overtake the US in AI warfare (2018-5-30)
http://www.atimes.com/article/china-in-race-to-overtake-the-us-in-ai-warfare/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligence_arms_race
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligence_arms_race
As Far as My Feet Will Carry Me (So weit die Füße tragen 2001)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/As_Far_as_My_Feet_Will_Carry_Me
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PBk3fYYYUwQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PBk3fYYYUwQ
Mark Knopfler - Brothers In Arms (Live In Berlin 2007) OFFICIAL
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EMRJT2ebvAk
Leonard Cohen - You Want It Darker (Solomun Remix) (Audio)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCXaPzEHPXY&list=RDhCXaPzEHPXY&start_radio=1
Friday, October 12, 2018
The Million Pound Note (1954)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Million_Pound_Note
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ryaofo-L51c&t=353s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gyePJXDB-uQ (film)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Million_Pound_Bank_Note
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ryaofo-L51c&t=353s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gyePJXDB-uQ (film)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Million_Pound_Bank_Note
The Captain (Der Hauptmann 2017)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Captain_(2017_film)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dixnz-1YPEE&t=7s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mWULUHZu_h8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dixnz-1YPEE&t=7s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mWULUHZu_h8
2017 Annual Report Executive Summary Chinese Translation (2017 年年度报告执行摘要中文译文)
https://www.cecc.gov/publications/annual-reports/2017-annual-report-executive-summary-chinese-translation-2017
https://www.cecc.gov/publications/annual-reports/2018-annual-report
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pHX2IGAx-KM
https://www.cecc.gov/publications/annual-reports/2018-annual-report
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pHX2IGAx-KM
美驻华使馆官网公布中共各种罪行引发中国网民震惊
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXLc6d4r35I
https://www.state.gov/documents/organization/277317.pdf
https://www.state.gov/documents/organization/277317.pdf
US congressional report documents 'dire human rights situation' in China (CNA 2018-10-10)
https://www.catholicnewsagency.com/news/us-congressional-report-documents-dire-human-rights-situation-in-china-18844
https://www.cecc.gov/publications/annual-reports/2018-annual-report
https://www.cecc.gov/sites/chinacommission.house.gov/files/Annual%20Report%202018_0.pdf
https://www.cecc.gov/publications/annual-reports/2018-annual-report
https://www.cecc.gov/sites/chinacommission.house.gov/files/Annual%20Report%202018_0.pdf
何清漣：彭斯講話不是新冷戰宣言？
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJB2ZdNnr4A
http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1012/1187764.html
http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1012/1187764.html
Thursday, October 11, 2018
Wife of ex-Interpol chief fears for her life with her husband detained in China (CNN 2018-10-10)
https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/09/asia/grace-meng-interpol-china-intl/index.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqRMcOEFbdw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqRMcOEFbdw
孟宏伟
http://www.wenxuecity.com/news/2018/10/08/7712638.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D_Nmh64IS0
孟宏伟反了 习近平要栽 机密文件的震撼力将远超王立军事件
2227年前的秋天，陈胜、吴广率900余名戍卒往渔阳戍边，途中在蕲县大泽乡为大雨所阻，不能如期到达目的地。根据秦朝法律，迟者斩首。陈胜与吴广认为与其送死不如起来反抗。于是陈胜与吴广被迫发动兵变，秦朝随即分崩离析，仅建国15年就亡了。今天，陈胜、吴广的故事再现，习近平的霸道、蛮横终于给其带来了灾难，国际刑警组织、公安部副部长孟宏伟被逼反了，要与习近平拼了。
昨天，孟的妻子格蕾丝 孟在法国里昂一家酒店举行记者会，要求追查其丈夫失踪的真相。在她的发布会结束之后不到一小时，中纪委不得不在监委网站上刊登了“一句话新闻”说：“公安部副部长孟宏伟涉嫌违法，目前正接受国家监委监察调查。”有网友说，中共新闻的潜规则是字数越多，内容越少；字数越少，内容越多。孟宏伟的妻子在发布会上介绍了丈夫失踪的具体细节。她说孟宏伟在9月25日用国际刑警组织的手机给她发短信“等我电”，4分钟后，发来一个表情符号，是一把刀的小图片，然后就失去联系。她认为这是孟宏伟遇到威胁的信号。孟宏伟的妻子不让记者拍到她的脸，仅显示了她的背影，说是担心她和孩子的安全。
从其背影来看，孟的妻子很年轻。两名负责保护她的法国警察陪同着她。她说：“从现在开始，我已经从悲伤和恐惧转向追求真相、正义和历史责任，为我深爱的丈夫，为我的小孩，为祖国人民，为所有的妻子的丈夫和孩子的父亲不再消失。”
她说：“如果我的丈夫不能站在我的面前说话，我不能相信任何其他形式”。“这是一起涉及法律的事件，这一事件关乎国际社会，这一事件也关系到我的祖国和我的人民。”“哪怕我看不到我的丈夫，我和他的心永远连在一起。”国际刑警组织已收到中共传来的孟宏伟辞职书，随后，宣布由韩国籍副主席金钟亮出任代主席，直到下个月选出新主席。就孟宏伟失踪事件及其后果，我为观众朋友们分析一下：
第一，孟宏伟被逼造反了
孟的妻子在记者会上说：“从现在开始，我已经从悲伤和恐惧转向追求真相、正义和历史责任，为我深爱的丈夫，为我的小孩子，为祖国人民，为所有的妻子的丈夫和孩子的父亲不再消失。”孟宏伟妻子的话实际上就是讨伐习近平的檄文，孟通过他的替身告诉世界，由于习近平的法西斯主义清洗，孟宏伟被逼无奈，只有造反了！
我认为，孟宏伟孤身回国前，对其处境已有充分思想准备，其妻子的行为只是按既定方针而行。孟宏伟作为一个老公安在中共江湖混迹多年，深知中共黑帮政治的凶险和残酷。特别是以前的顶头上司周永康的落马，他早已预感到自己的未来。去年底，他突然被去免去国家海洋局副局长、中国海警局局长职务。今年四月，被免去了公安部党委委员职务，内地官场已经传言纷纷，作为公安部副部长的他不会不知道。今年3月，东突厥斯坦世维会主席多里坤艾沙背了21年的红色通缉令被国际刑警组织撤销。孟宏伟不会不知道习近平的震怒和得罪习老大的结局。多里坤艾沙近来频频活跃于国际社会，中共对新疆维吾尔人的种族迫害事件被频频曝光，特别是百万维吾尔人被中共关押的丑行震惊了世界。综上，我认为孟宏伟对其回国出事是有充分思想准备的，回国前对其妻已有周密交代。从其妻收到匕首图片，到报案，再到新闻发布会都是依方案行事。试想，孟如何能发出匕首图片？中纪委一旦控制住孟宏伟，他根本没有机会发出图片。图片信号应该是孟通过一个已经设置好的手机快捷键发出的，并且其妻心知肚明其含义。
第二，孟宏伟的妻子手中有核弹级国家机密吗？
目前，法国警方已经对孟的妻儿进行了安全保护。孟的妻儿未来申请政治庇护应该是可以确定的。孟的妻子是否保存了重大国家机密？我认为应该有重大机密。如果孟回国是有安全预案的，他自然会留有后手，以便与中共博弈或玉石俱焚。令计划就曾将大量机密交给了令完成，以致习近平不敢取其项上人头；王立军手里握有谷开来杀人证据以及薄熙来谋反证据，作为公安部副部长的孟宏伟应该玩得更加老道。习近平抓孟宏伟是冒着巨大风险的，之所以抓捕，是因为孟的存在对中共已构成巨大威胁。可以说孟与中共的博弈才刚刚开始。孟的妻子手中握有哪些机密，我们尚不得知，但可以分析一二。一是周永康被抓前可能有资料托付给他。二是中共利用国际刑警组织对百余位商人、官员、异见人士发出了的红色通缉令，很多涉及政治迫害。一旦公开，这些红通令将会被国际刑警组织撤消，这将给中共带来巨大风险，也将使更多商人、官员、异见人士不再惧怕中共，也将使习近平声名狼藉。魏京生先生曾指出：国际刑警组织被中共控制已经很多年了。现在它的主席都选成中共的，而且中共给了大批的钱。国际刑警组织已经成为中共的一个工具了。三是习近平的扫黑除恶与薄熙来的黑打异曲同工，孟宏伟应该有很多内部文件。四是，孟作为国际刑警组织、公安部副部长可能还掌握中共对西方国家政治渗透和对异议人士迫害的证据。综上，我认为孟的妻子的话：“从现在开始，我已经从悲伤和恐惧转向追求真相、正义和历史责任，为我深爱的丈夫，为我的小孩，为祖国人民，为所有的妻子的丈夫和孩子的父亲不再消失。”就是孟宏伟造反宣誓，这是一个政治集结号。所以，一旦这些机密文件曝光，对习近平政权的打击将是沉重的，震撼力将超过王立军事件。
第三，孟宏伟为何要对习近平图穷匕见？
为什么习近平十九大后屋漏偏逢连夜雨 ，船迟又遇打头风，刚被美国副总统彭斯一顿胖揍，现在孟宏伟友与他反目成仇？原因并不复杂，因为他的政治倒行逆施不得人心，他蛮横地二愣子性格将孟宏伟逼上了梁山。习近平或许有一套治国谋略，但根本行不通，他是要保住共产党的红色江山，而中国人是要走向政治文明的新时代。中国人并没有忘记毛泽东时代饿死四千万人的大饥荒，没有忘记文化大革命的惨绝人寰，没有忘记改革开放带来的巨大解放，没有忘记西方宪政制度带给人类的自由、民主、法治和人权。习近平反腐的根本目的就是政治清洗，王岐山的中纪委刑讯逼供已成为迫害官员的不二法宝。习近平禁锢言论使知识分子与其分道扬镳；残酷的政治清洗、任人唯亲使官员与其离心离德；取消主席、副主席任期限制、大撒币和个人崇拜使老百姓对其深恶痛绝；将军队改造为党卫军和对外军事威胁使军人不愿当炮灰。习近平在一个民智已开的开放社会实施共产极权，这本身就是一个矛盾。习近平的恣意妄为得不到中国人民的支持，他实际上已是孤家寡人，他的身边有一个庞大的两面人军团。孟宏伟被逼上梁山，反了。当越来越多的中国人站起来的时候，“吃他娘，喝他娘，打开城门迎闯王，闯王来了不纳粮。”习近平和他貌似强大的中共帝国就从风光无限走到了风烛残年。
貓的眼淚
昨天J說半年前
她去新竹接貓的時候
貓被便當盒的橡皮圈捆住受傷
在愛心媽媽那邊寄養已經兩周
臨走時貓流下眼淚
我知道眼淚悲傷很重要
但我多麼希望哭中帶笑
查理士布朗遜說過
喜劇比悲劇更深刻
他說的是好笑不是可笑
這個差別你知道罷
好看的恐怖的殭屍片
必須好笑比如說天師鬥殭屍
我們的今天的世界不缺悲慘你不會不同意罷
但我們缺喜劇就是那種淚水中滲出來的笑聲
問題出在哪裡你問
問題出在導演劇本還是演員
那隻貓看著我
想了很久
喊·山 (Mountain Cry 2015)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EikmGRsIaIg
https://movie.douban.com/subject/26106958/
https://movie.douban.com/subject/26106958/
BBC罕見報導中共活摘器官 揭法輪功被迫害真相
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FV_-y7B8_g
http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/b5/2018/10/11/a1394876_p.html
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w3csxyl3
http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/b5/2018/10/11/a1394876_p.html
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w3csxyl3
Lifetime risk of common neurological diseases in the elderly population (2018-10-2)
Lifetime risk of common neurological diseases in the elderly population,
The Mule (2018-12-14)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mule_(2018_film)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YOAfCHf9Doc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YOAfCHf9Doc
李某某涉嫌巨额财产来源不明案起诉书
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WlbK3Lv30cA
https://new.qq.com/omn/20181009/20181009A1ZVCY.html
http://www.ajxxgk.jcy.gov.cn/html/20180725/2/8333938.html
https://new.qq.com/omn/20181009/20181009A1ZVCY.html
http://www.ajxxgk.jcy.gov.cn/html/20180725/2/8333938.html
港媒揭习近平家族在港拥6.4亿物业 惟港保险箱地位近两年已降
http://news.mingjingnews.com/2018/10/64.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z53GhLuxdfI
该报引述消息人士说，张晓燕行事低调，现仍有入市买楼，但与其他领导人家族成员不同的是，张绝少购买顶级豪宅，所购物业市值多在700万至一千多万元之间，地点亦不显眼，买后不转售，而是用作自住或放租。
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z53GhLuxdfI
巴拿马文件披露不少中共领导人的家族成员有在港设立公司营运和购买物业，部分成员更已拥有香港永久居民身份证，《苹果日报》盘点数名政治局现任和前任常委的家族成员在港投资情况发现，六名现任和前任常委在港拥有的物业，总市值超过21亿港元(下同，折合约2.6亿欧元)，当中，总书记习近平家族成员拥有的物业市值约6.4亿元，但最多的是前副总理张高丽的家族，拥有总值8.6亿元的物业。
不过，该报指出，中共领导家族在港购入物业的情况在2016年后有所减少，评论员刘锐绍称，这是因为香港的「保险箱」功能已随中共潜规则在港蔓延而下降，有能力人士多把资金移往美国’澳洲、加拿大等国家。
综合《苹果日报》今(10日)天的多篇报道，习近平的亲姊齐桥桥和外甥女张燕南自上世纪九十年代已在港投资物业，且多以公司名义入市，活跃年分在2007至09年间。不过，其中一幢市值逾3亿元的浅水湾独立屋逍遥居则由张燕南于2009年购入，据闻习近平家族成员来港时多会在此三层合共面积有5100平方呎的别墅勾留。
报道指出，齐桥桥在习近平出任国家主席后翌年放售她早年买入、位于宝马山的一个豪宅单位。同一时段，习近平以反贪名义打虎，时任常委周永康以受贿1.297亿元下马，而令计划则以受贿7708万元入狱，上述金额被指属特大贪污案。
不过，在该报追踪的六名领导人中，以前副总理张高丽家族在港拥有物业的市值最大额。报道指出，张的女儿张晓燕已来港十多年，后嫁予信义玻璃主席李贤义之子李圣泼，生意遍及中港两地，张晓燕与丈夫及其家人近年在港不时买入物业，单是在元朗加州花园及加州豪园，便已拥有20幢洋房，连同其他物业总资产值近8.6亿元。
该报引述消息人士说，张晓燕行事低调，现仍有入市买楼，但与其他领导人家族成员不同的是，张绝少购买顶级豪宅，所购物业市值多在700万至一千多万元之间，地点亦不显眼，买后不转售，而是用作自住或放租。
另外，较为人知的是政协前主席贾庆林家族在港的情况，因为其外孙女李紫丹在2015年以3.87亿元购入半山一个实用面积达5132方呎的单位，而且是全数现金支付，毋须向银行借贷。
该报称，贾庆林家族其实一直喜欢投资香港物业市场，贾妻贾蔷早在1993年便以别名林青在港买楼，其后于2001年在亏蚀153万元的情况下出售。但在2016年又以同一别名购入西半山敦晧中层单位，现市值5860万元，升值55%。而贾的女婿李伯潭则在1993年至2002年间透过怡东投资公司买卖六个写字楼及商铺物业，多数在转售时获利。
该报亦追踪了现常委粟战书和汪洋及前国家主席胡锦涛等人的家族成员在港的物业买卖情况，但由于有关人士的所持物业曾经买卖，所以仍在手上的物业之价值不过，例如粟战书女儿在况持有的别墅市值为1.1亿元，政协主席汪洋的女儿汪溪沙持有一个市值近二千万的高层大厦单位，而胡锦涛侄子胡翼时现拥有一个市值7600万元的高层大厦单位。不过，胡翼时刚于今年4月出售一间酒店，稳赚3.22亿元，这便不能在领导人家族成员持有物业中反映。
该报翻阅资料时亦发现，除了张晓燕在港持续活跃外，其他领导人家族自2016年后已较少在港置业，时事评论员刘锐绍认为，由于中国一直收紧对香港的控制，对中国内地贪官或「官二代」来说，香港早已不是他们的「保险箱」。
他续称，香港回归二十年，不少潜规则已见内地政治文化的影子，政府亦已渗入国内政治文化，令内地运作模式、经济规律慢慢在港浮现，对于惯走灰色地带的官二代来说，香港已非他们如鱼得水的地方，故此已把资产转移到外国，感到有危机时便跑到外国。
作者：法广 RFI 香港特约麦燕庭
许颜君
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N6y98e4vk3A
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cv3HBdCXSls
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LE8ad4W9Fok
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cv3HBdCXSls
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LE8ad4W9Fok
Wednesday, October 10, 2018
平论Live | IMF称中国将因贸易战损失1.6%GDP 美国下周将宣布中国为汇率操纵国？
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwqr5fFokug
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2018/09/24/world-economic-outlook-october-2018
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2018/09/24/world-economic-outlook-october-2018
中国城投公司破产接连破产，动乱年代看住钱包
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=coW5O68i2Es
http://www.epochtimes.com/gb/18/9/20/n10729806.htm
http://www.epochtimes.com/gb/18/9/20/n10729806.htm
一文看懂 中国被列入汇率操纵国有何后果
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F3wcE3jmmq8
http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2018/10/10/a1394716.html
http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2018/10/10/a1394716.html
中南海大撒幣貼錢對抗川普 逆勢全面加稅 誓保核心利益
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ZIpoS2YvCU
https://tw.aboluowang.com/2018/1010/1187030.html
https://tw.aboluowang.com/2018/1010/1187030.html
Self/less (2015)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self/less
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uFfC3-YQ_Z8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uFfC3-YQ_Z8
中共网安新规 挑战美国贸易诉求 白宫怒批
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NW7rIVIojHU
http://www.xinhuanet.com/2018-10/04/c_1123519817.htm (2018-10-4)
http://www.mps.gov.cn/n2254314/n2254409/n4904353/c6263180/content.html
http://www.xinhuanet.com/2018-10/04/c_1123519817.htm (2018-10-4)
http://www.mps.gov.cn/n2254314/n2254409/n4904353/c6263180/content.html
The Challenger (2015)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TF6pfp1gEA0
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Challenger_(2015_film)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Challenger_(2015_film)
Good Kill (2014)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cJLaPWXtg9E
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Good_Kill
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Good_Kill
Anon (2018)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anon_(film)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Niccol
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmspmPQDVqg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Niccol
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmspmPQDVqg
Chris Rea - Looking For The Summer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A8a6kHQN9BA&t=83s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PK6syRBkBA8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PK6syRBkBA8
Leonard Cohen - You Want It Darker (Solomun Remix) (Audio)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCXaPzEHPXY
You want it darker, We kill the flame
You want it darker, We kill the flame
apparently, suitable for night club, in the historical midnight darkness
Ludovico Einaudi - Una mattina
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Bvm9yG4cvs&t=278s
https://kellychang2713.blogspot.com/2018/10/2018-12-1-rev-1010.html
https://kellychang2713.blogspot.com/2018/10/2018-12-1-rev-1010.html
這時聽著Ludiovico Einaudi你才知道甚麼是緩慢剛剛修訂Dec 1, 2018的稿子很不滿意但也只能這樣了不滿意的原因在初稿於今年二月但今年二月後的局勢變化極大且仍在遽變中我作為一個chronicler連跟得上變化都捉襟見肘何來塵埃落定的見識判斷二月後的資料遂未置入且這個遽變隱含著台海局勢的極大不確定性這會不會影響我的基本歷史判斷我說過時間是歷史的敵人而我們沒有時間了我知道這是不討好於雙方的判斷我也知道歷史不是緩慢地進展的但沒有緩慢一切都會是knee-jerk reaction意思是說不經大腦尤其是前額葉的過度的立即反應
末路狂奔 中共誰欲替代習近平? (2018-7-20)
https://www.bannedbook.org/bnews/zh-tw/guowengui/20180720/974671.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrEY5f3FvRw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrEY5f3FvRw
關於 2018-12-1 (rev 1010)
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1UEpQovUh9qWTk6UdnsUlUmCe98LN2ovG?usp=sharing (ppt and pdf)
Wife of ex-Interpol chief fears for her life with her husband detained in China (CNN 2018-10-9)
https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/09/asia/grace-meng-interpol-china-intl/index.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J4RJ5dP9Ob8 (4:03)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J4RJ5dP9Ob8 (4:03)
The China Mission: George Marshall's Unfinished War, 1945-1947 (Daniel Kurtz-Phelan, W. W. Norton & Company, 2018-4-10)
A spellbinding narrative of the high-stakes mission that changed the course of America, China, and global politics―and a rich portrait of the towering, complex figure who carried it out.
As World War II came to an end, General George Marshall was renowned as the architect of Allied victory. Set to retire, he instead accepted what he thought was a final mission―this time not to win a war, but to stop one. Across the Pacific, conflict between Chinese Nationalists and Communists threatened to suck in the United States and escalate into revolution. His assignment was to broker a peace, build a Chinese democracy, and prevent a Communist takeover, all while staving off World War III.
In his thirteen months in China, Marshall journeyed across battle-scarred landscapes, grappled with Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai, and plotted and argued with Generalissimo Chiang Kai-shek and his brilliant wife, often over card games or cocktails. The results at first seemed miraculous. But as they started to come apart, Marshall was faced with a wrenching choice. Its consequences would define the rest of his career, as the secretary of state who launched the Marshall Plan and set the standard for American leadership, and the shape of the Cold War and the US-China relationship for decades to come. It would also help spark one of the darkest turns in American civic life, as Marshall and the mission became a first prominent target of McCarthyism, and the question of “who lost China” roiled American politics.
The China Mission traces this neglected turning point and forgotten interlude in a heroic career―a story of not just diplomatic wrangling and guerrilla warfare, but also intricate spycraft and charismatic personalities. Drawing on eyewitness accounts both personal and official, it offers a richly detailed, gripping, close-up, and often surprising view of the central figures of the time―from Marshall, Mao, and Chiang to Eisenhower, Truman, and MacArthur―as they stood face-to-face and struggled to make history, with consequences and lessons that echo today. (amazon)
Tuesday, October 9, 2018
河北武安政协主席韩保魁在一份外泄的维稳会议录音中，将上访行为定义为「反党反政府」，要求维稳人员对稳维对像使用暴力、株连家人、监视等非法手段。
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tcLUuboszTU
真要徹底結束了中國房子開始吃人了
http://news.creaders.net/china/2018/10/08/2003172.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vqbNVpEosnQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vqbNVpEosnQ
一旦房子价格暴跌 人们会面对怎样的场景？
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SWRW5f4uc1Q
http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1007/1185472.html
http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1007/1185472.html
凡事都会有涨有跌，房价也是一样。房价波动可以分为高涨，转折，下跌（甚至暴跌）三个阶段。
房价经过迅速上涨后，高房价把真正消费者排斥在房地产市场之外，而只靠投机资金支撑时，房地产经济由盛转衰，房地产市场在交易价格和交易数量两个方面都出现萎缩。房价便进人了持续下跌阶段。主要特征是：
1.房价暴跌，将引起一系列连锁反应。
先是开发商大量破产，除了拖欠银行、建材供应商外，施工方也会被大量拖欠工程款其次是房地产相关的产业，钢铁、水泥、玻璃、铝业、家俱等相关行业陷入低迷，继而进一步影响各类行业。
服务业方面，与房产有关的各类中介、金融、法律，还有从事钻探、设计、招投标代理等行业也大受影响。
房地产链条长，房价暴跌产生的连锁反应。破产或经营陷入困境的企业越来越多，企业员工失业增多，家庭财富大幅缩，容易产生就业问题。
2.房价跌幅触目惊心，个别房价低于建筑价格，房地产泡沫完全破灭。
如在1992年，美国物业成交价一般只有原价的1/4甚至更低。
3.人们都有跟风的行为，都是买涨不买跌，如果房价暴跌，房地产交易量就会锐减。
房地产空置率居高不下成为市场的普遍现象。例如日本1991年商厦出租量比上年同期减少40%。
4.房价暴跌，房地产行业就会出现大量的纠纷事件，房地产商破产现象更为普遍，甚至连一些实力雄厚的大型公司也在所难免。
例如1982年资产接近100亿港元、下属地产曾跻身为香港10大地产公司的佳宁财团被迫清盘。
5.房价暴跌，银行就会出现不良债权增加的现象，损失扩大。
房价下跌后，对于有贷款压力的购房者，是不会停止返还贷款的，会继续持有房产，认为房价肯定还会涨上去的，拆东墙补西墙的筹集资金，偿还贷款。
此时，房地产企业的楼房销量会下降，但是房地产企业还是持续所谓的捂盘，等待下一轮的价格上涨房地产贷款风险增加，银行这时就会成为最大的房东，但是，通过处置抵押房地产收回贷款本息的可能性也在减小，从而成为不良债权。一部分不良债权必然形成实际损失。
6.房价暴跌，银行倒闭就会增加。
一方面，银行收益减少甚至出现亏损，另一方面，不良债权和损失的增加会降低金融机构的流动性，金融机构就会面临破产的危机。
7.房价暴跌，信用就会出现问题，信贷风险增大，银行就会紧缩该种贷款的规模或者尽量减少贷款的期限。
在存量方面，金融机构会千方百计争取提前收回贷款，贷款存量下降。当这种现象蔓延到整个金融体系后，严重的信贷收缩便会发生，整个金融体系将受到沉重打击。
8.房价暴跌，房地产市场就会走向萧条阶段。想要进入新一轮的复苏，一方面，依赖于前期房地产开发项目的消化程度；另一方面，也取决于宏观经济周期波动趋势。
2:15 AM
深夜落雨一個印象待確認1981年的Gadamer-Derrida Debate其實沒有發生因為Derrida迴避了對話Gadamer是老實人應該是有備而去想對話的這說明了甚麼這說明了詮釋學像是打不死的內功高手動作不多耐心十足就動作片來說這是敗筆而解構像是蹦蹦跳跳的拳腳師傅十八般武藝虎虎生風耍得很好屬好看的動作片所以當年他們沒有辦法過招是正確的
一些片段
昨晚夜診我說關係學派兩三事片段記錄於此(一)其圈內有兩說一是成其為學派二是保留開放的狀態稱之為關係的傳統像一大傘可涵蓋各路人馬(二)關係學派借重Ferenczi甚深這說明了Ferenczi是佛洛伊德以降的重要分水嶺作者(三)但關係學派也借重了Ferenczi當年的過份的實驗這說明了關係學派的治療的溢越這裡指的是mutual analysis(四)關係學派基本上沒有被醫學化的二戰後的美國精神分析學會所限制他們被壓抑了四十年默默存在默默成長四十年磨一劍可以說明1983之後他們的創造力的勃發(五)而且他們的閱讀沒有界線(六)1983年Stephen
Mitchell和Jay Greenberg的那本書是關係學派文藝復興的開始不要忘記他們書中羅列的前輩作者1983都已過世意思是說他們繼承了1940-1980的精神分析的發展的遺產包括自我心理學自體心理學客體關係理論(克萊茵學派中間學派依附理論)(七)他們有沒有從拉岡得到啟發這是一個好問題(八)昨晚我說他們是一群興奮的紐約客(九)關係學派等不等於互為主體理論似乎應該說關係學派包括互為主體理論(十)關係學派立意於人的存在人的世界是由關係構建的(十一)由此他們對外在世界不會忽視這點就是Philip Cushman說關係學派是一個政治反抗的場域的原因Neil Altman曾在inner city實踐多年就是例子(十二)但這種抗爭和實踐的弔詭仍在心理治療者是否只能是中產階級只能治療中產階級如果是的話那這些都是戲論(十三)關係學派因為後來居上所以通常不願引述剛剛講的遺產這很可惜因為客體關係理論的作者對關係的黝暗知之甚深自體心理學的作者對自體的悲劇也知之甚深把這些拿掉逕說人是由關係而來顯然單薄意思是說關係學派應保留大傘廣納百川讓各路人馬進來避雨棲息爭論這符合我先前說的精神分析的五個關鍵字本我自我客體自體關係(id, ego, object, self, relationality)
Dialogue and Deconstruction: The Gadamer-Derrida Encounter (SUNY series in Contemporary Continental Philosophy) (ed. Diane P. Michelfelder, Richard E. Palmer, 1989)
Text of and reflection on the 1981 encounter between Hans-Georg Gadamer and Jacques Derrida, which featured a dialogue between hermeneutics in Germany and post-structuralism in France. (amazon) (accessible via google play)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gadamer%E2%80%93Derrida_debate
i'm wondering how would Philip Cushman deal with this debate, since he advocates the interpretive turn, which is composed of (critical) hermeneutics and postmodernism (deconstruction). (2018-10-9)
To practice hermeneutics without a sharp focus on power, and
critical postmodernism without a
profound recognition of the inescapable moral
frame, is to practice them poorly. (Cushman, 2005a,
pp. 402-403) (Cushman, 2012)
•Cushman,
P. (2012). Why Resist? Politics, Psychoanalysis, and the Interpretive Turn. DIVISION/Rev., 4:11-13
•Cushman,
P. (2005a). Between arrogance and a dead-end: Gadamer
and the Heiddeger-Foucault controversy. Contemporary
Psychoanalysis, 41,
399-417.
Monday, October 8, 2018
Relational Psychoanalysis as Political Resistance (Philip Cushman 2015) (2018-10-8)
http://www.wawhite.org/uploads/Journals/CP00107530.2015.1056076.pdf
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1aqsgUYJtL7KNG2kwp8n_K8Bf2A3LvVaJ?usp=sharing
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1aqsgUYJtL7KNG2kwp8n_K8Bf2A3LvVaJ?usp=sharing
The Trump administration just escalated its high-stakes competition with China (Fred Kempe, CNBC, 2018-10-6)
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/05/trump-administration-makes-its-most-aggressive-moves-against-china-yet.html
對中共全面出擊？ 川普一連四個動作引關注
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-upSJldJY0
http://www.epochtimes.com/gb/18/10/6/n10765620.htm
http://www.epochtimes.com/gb/18/10/6/n10765620.htm
房价一旦全面暴跌5类中国人立马遭殃
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cp1De-k6WZE
http://finance.sina.com.cn/review/jcgc/2018-10-08/doc-ihkvrhps9960447.shtml
http://finance.sina.com.cn/review/jcgc/2018-10-08/doc-ihkvrhps9960447.shtml
据媒体报道，任志强近来在公开场合表示，房价暴跌并没有好处，如果房价真的暴跌了，有五类人也会跟着遭殃。
一， 辛辛苦苦供房贷的人们。这些人在房价高时花费毕生积蓄贷款买到房子，一旦房价暴跌，他们的血汗钱也就白白蒸发了。同时，面对高昂的房贷，他们是继续还贷还是弃房断供，无论他们怎么选都是错误的决定。
二， 地产开发商。因为开发商都是高价拿地，卖完了房子才能赚到钱，而且，开发商一般都背负着巨额债务，对资金链本就不宽裕的开发商来讲，若房价暴跌不仅收入骤减，甚至能让他们直接破产。
三，
还没买房子的人们。若房价暴跌，还没买房的人将会陷入两难，房价还会不会降？什么时候出手才是好时机等等。这些未知因素会困扰这些人，让他们陷入买房遥遥无期的窘境。
四， 银行可能会降薪或裁员。若房价暴跌，一些人还不上贷款将形成大量的银行坏帐。没房的人也不会再申请房贷了。因此银行前期可能会降薪裁员，后期也就只能宣布倒闭。
資產泡沫即將湮滅！轉折全面到來！
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DJ5F5MAp7DM
http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1006/1185070.html
http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1006/1185070.html
Sunday, October 7, 2018
中美必有一战吗？（魏京生 2018-10-4）
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/pinglun/weijingsheng/wjs-10042018154748.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qBUcCjXYLpc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qBUcCjXYLpc
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