Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Review of Controls for Certain Emerging Technologies (Federal Register, 2018-11-19)

https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2018/11/19/2018-25221/review-of-controls-for-certain-emerging-technologies

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sF03cCEttxU

浙江书记称要把民企搞得“香香的 壮壮的” 网民:养肥了要宰杀?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5t0Dnbt-Z8c

Daniel Castro - I'll Play The Blues For You

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ioOzsi9aHQQ&list=RDioOzsi9aHQQ&start_radio=1&t=8

3850亿债务撑不住了!中国开发商急售短期债券融资

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B28NaBBKt9E

450萬億元的大泡沫!中國房產市值超美歐日之和

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gRNiGDuEtN0

【魏京生】中國沒有独立的司法体系 中美之间達成的任何贸易协议最終都將無效 美國必須動真格的

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YDiO7XTtOjk

習近平終結中國模式?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pDBgBWTj-no

金马奖惹“台独”口水战;习近平APEC遇挫,再演“战狼”外交

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CY_r2ORaxtQ

全军:中美憋火谈协议危机在加重,中国模式未变美国遏制加码

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lIs0PdhU_lw

把高雄还给我!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A91GW68_654

中国:失败就要肉体消灭你

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sr5Mn-C2FZo

APEC會議中美激烈交鋒 凸顯何種分歧?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lYDDZFPvFJo

中国女记者都能被嫖娼,还有什么事情不能发生

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wR8UokFAdAA

涼茶龍頭加多寶驚傳欠薪停工 連老闆都跑了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=osE0U3NbKt4

陈维明:用雕塑去记录和追求自由、民主的逐梦人

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dcICGVkrg4

平论Live | 生死存亡的不只是民营企业,还有习近平

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=87X8vu7sBdQ

外交玩智慧:川普早在海湖庄园就测试出了习近平的内心

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5gjMe-EYsbg

新高地视频25:习近平已写好三封遗书

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WOQXWo0gNQ

一篇写给习近平的文章:晚清崩溃前的四大现象

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JEUi8dRiPM

怎麼刷存在感

刷就是刷卡
比如說上下班打卡
買東西刷信用卡
或周星馳說小偷用真的卡才能開門 (情聖 1991)
存在就是在那裡
存在感就是感覺存在在那裡
感覺存在在那裡需要證人
問題在需要「證人」
比如說窗外朔風野大
這件事我知道
但我怎麼證明它存在
當你說你也知道
窗外朔風就真的存在
問題也出在「感」
當身體健康的時候我們感覺不到身體的存在
我們是有症狀才「感」才知道的
當日復一日忙碌的時候我們感覺不到時間的存在
我們是事後才「感」才知道的
唯其「不感」才需要「感」才渴望「感」

7:13 AM 怎麼讀歷史


歷史的紅利說明過去和現在的苦難是存起來的
我本來想說福氣但覺得實在不妥因為那不是福氣
存起來的就表示未來有朝一日會有人提出來用
但是提的人我們知道當然不是存的人

in order to sing

If we come to look at the evolution of language, we find further puzzles. Why do we have language at all? Surely, in order to communicate. And if not that, then at least to think. But neither of these propositions is true.

The fact that humans can speak is dependent on the evolution, not just of the brain, but of the articulating apparatus – the larynx, the tongue and so on – and of respiratory control. That is why birds can imitate human speech, whereas apes, our nearest relatives, cannot: birds have the necessary equipment, in order to be able to sing. Through some fascinating detective work we can tell from looking at human skeletons when it was that the necessary developments in control of the tongue and larynx, and of the muscles of respiration, developed. That turns out to be from a time long before – from other evidence – we believe we developed language. So what were these developments for?

The answer, according to many anthropologists, appears to have been: in order to sing.

That might sound odd, because we are used to thinking of music as a bit peripheral. But in fact the “music” of speech – in the sense of the intonation and all that is not “just” the content, coupled with other forms of non-verbal communication – constitutes the majority of what it is we communicate, when we do. Denotative language is not necessary for I–thou communication. Music is largely right-hemisphere-dependent, and the aspects of speech that enable us truly to understand the meaning of an utterance at a higher level – including intonation, irony, metaphor, and the meaning of an utterance in context – are still served by the right hemisphere. Denotative language becomes necessary when we have projects: when we need to communicate about a third party, or about things that are not present at the time. It expands immeasurably our capacity for manipulation – what one might call “I–it” communication. It is therefore, necessary, not for communication in itself, but for a certain kind of communication. Equally, there is a mass of evidence that we do not need language to think, even to conceptualise. One rather wonderful example is that, believe it or not, pigeons can distinguish between a Picasso and a Monet, without having any language in which to do it (Cerella, 1980; Matsukawa, Inoue, & Jitsumori, 2004; Watanabe, Sakamoto, & Wakita, 1995). But we also know that tribes that do not have numbers above “three” can calculate perfectly well to much larger numbers and have a grasp of concepts they cannot put into words. Language is not necessary for thinking, just for certain kinds of thinking. What was it for, then?


McGilchrist, Iain. Ways of Attending: How our Divided Brain Constructs the World (p. 10-11). Taylor and Francis. 2019, Kindle edition.

6:48 AM

since it is a huge one, it can afford to be lyrical, which means exactly that you realize that there is no need, nor is it possible, to be hurried, to finish it, in one sitting, of course, i'm talking about killing commendatore, the portrait painter has just met the mysterious Mr Menshiki (Avoiding Colors), who does have a face, however,

Sunday, November 18, 2018

Travels With Max:In Search of Steinbeck's America Fifty Years Later (Gregory Zeigler, Blaine Creek Press, 2010)

Inspired by Travels with Charley, Gregory Zeigler celebrated the 50th anniversary of renowned Nobel Prize-winning author John Steinbeck's storied trip. In 2009, Zeigler and his dog Max drove and camped 15,000 miles over nine weeks, exploring the country and determining what Americans are like today. Travels With Max offers a retrospective on Steinbeck and his work, as well as an insightful, humorous and upbeat perspective on modern America. (amazon) 

Keith Emerson (1944 – 2016)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keith_Emerson

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QENLcFUs2Ws

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zb7G_K5iRBk

北大学生食堂发传单抗议蒙面人校内袭击学生

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HA1CZi8rIj8

动手了!中国终于开始剪富人的“羊毛”?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kxh3qf75tdI

賭聖

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ez9gYR42LyU

郭泉十年刑满获释 筹划开书画店

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VSo8QsPuvtY

The Amazing Ways Artificial Intelligence Is Transforming Genomics and Gene Editing (Bernard Marr, Forbes, 2018-11-16)

https://www.forbes.com/sites/bernardmarr/2018/11/16/the-amazing-ways-artificial-intelligence-is-transforming-genomics-and-gene-editing/#1a6a09e042c1

文革十年纪录片1966 1976年全集合成版

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IdAysdZciis

MG149


這是一種新款的洗衣機丟內褲進去會跑出來西裝反之亦然

民進黨奧步演化史


這本書史明不會寫

陳全國(b 1955)

https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E9%99%88%E5%85%A8%E5%9B%BD


2016年8月至今任中共新疆維吾爾自治區黨委書記

夏业良:十五国大使问责陈全国 网信办狂封言论 一战纪念习近平未获邀请

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NjySqiu6Jiw

深圳佳士工人抗争实录——纪录片《我和我们(上下)》

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JWMu_MIDqNI

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZCfLrWACaKA

习近平 2018 APEC 峰会演讲

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZJT_a03skc

疯狂管控网络只因约柜即将显现,云中大同引导世界大同!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_EJ34ps1HU

google should know clearly that it will lose its integrity and security, when they agree to kowtow to china

Mrs B

The patient, Mrs B, had nearly died of burns when she was eleven months old. What we did not know until near the end of this analysis was that her mother had been instructed by a doctor, after the burning, that she must only barrier nurse her baby: she must never hold her. 

A major focus in the analysis was around a later occasion concerning not being held when, at seventeen months, Mrs B had to be operated on by a surgeon under a local anaesthetic. During this, her mother was holding her hand. Then she fainted. Mrs B had imagined that it had been her fierce need of her, when she was so intensely anxious, that had been too much for her mother, even that she might have ‘killed’ her when she disappeared from sight. 

In her analysis, when Mrs B began to re-experience that moment with the surgeon, and then her mother no longer holding her, she had virtually demanded that I should allow her to hold my hand if it ever got so bad again. At first I agreed. But almost immediately Mrs B reverted to her conviction that she would have to protect me. She felt that I would collapse if it became too much for me. She sensed, quite correctly, that my offer to hold her hand would be easier for me, too, bypassing the worst that was still to be faced by allowing focus to be concentrated on the mother who had not been able to hold her. 

When I consulted with Dr Paula Heimann on this, she agreed with me that I would have to find a way to withdraw the offer of my hand. In the very next session, Mrs B had an image of me as stationary, again controlled by her. She saw me becoming a collapsed analyst. It was then that I knew I must withdraw the offer of my hand, a clinical decision that several commentators have failed to understand.



Casement, Patrick. Learning Along the Way: Further Reflections on Psychoanalysis and Psychotherapy (p. 99). Taylor and Francis. 2019, Kindle edition

see also

1. Casement, P.J. (2000). The Issue of Touch. Psychoanal. Inq., 20(1):160-184
2. Pizer, S.A. (2004). Learning from Our Mistakes; Beyond Dogma in Psychoanalysis and
    Psychotherapy. Patrick Casement. New York: Guilford, 2002. 144 pp. $26.00.. Amer. Imago,
    61(4):543-556
3. Casement, P. (2004). Response to Stuart Pizer. Amer. Imago, 61(4):557-564

now, this controversy illustrates the enigma of mutual re-enactment, which should have no read-made answer, and is never easy to walk through, you just have to be there, throughout, to survive your patient's helplessness, longings, disappointments, and attacks

Shoji Aketagawa, Kan Mikami, Toshiaki Ishizuka - Daikanjyo (Full Album)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dMCQhJSzzFs&t=1026s

形勢大變 中共熱捧的電影下架 孔琳琳待遇也與往常不同 此處仍需警惕

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUIZ2P1sEsk

the bottom line


i can only respect those who will die for taiwan, like max bloch, for his dear france, so please, no more fucking lies and tricks

12:36 Noon


they left for 木柵 earlier this morning, prayer from a father, the least i can do, for my daughter; don't trust the films newly released in the last two to three years, unless you know what it is for sure, for example, equalizer 2, john wick 3, i have been deceived more than once, to find out that it is pro-china hollywood film instead, which shows how deeply they have infiltrated (bought) the western world, examples abound, including escape plan 2, skyscraper, i'm surprised that confucius has not come to hollywood yet, maybe soon, playing the fucking wolf warriors 3, 

夏业良:政审再现 为什么文革和政审一直没有结束?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gdHpxim1eyk

Pence at the APEC CEO Summit 2018 (Audio)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qdlEA5STyIQ

夏业良:彭斯与中共摊牌:要么爆发冷战,要么彻底改变?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UysFul7Gfi8

中共向美國讓步的清單漏掉了什麼重要條件?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yoFfdrGZDBo

有人借莫干山叫魂政治体制改革 向最高层叫板

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pm9CaZLr3FY

中国最新70城市房价数据:西部省会城市领涨,一二线城市二手房价格全部下跌

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY-vW5XxUvQ

中共囂張驅逐東道主媒體巴國媒體憤怒:這是甚麼玩意

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GuvFaMI0OGk

中共将亡于这五首神曲!恢弘之章!天籁之音!可抵千军万马,胜过千言万语!“两步逃离地狱”工作室巨作!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NytmhAFSdLM&t=1079s

弧度度:趙家老朋友基辛格離開中國前發出三個哀嘆 沒救!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HedBJdU2iI

制作和销售正確包二奶和人奶宴的方法學的书籍,一女子遭中国当局判刑10年

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4dN3xN1vzhU

中国经济萧条前,先看看美国大萧条的原因以及萧条中的发财行业

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=64qQmSGPhxs

冷战终于打响了:习近平跟彭斯在APEC会场当面交锋

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4rPcecEjwTk

新高地视频22:中共第二次“文革”已拉开序幕

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90z6d12DDTs

終極奧步的沙盤推演

李登輝說過政治是需要精算的我昨天下午去頂好買青江菜發現降價一把十四元十分不解跟D君說他媽的前一天還一把四十九元這是怎麼回事意思是說買青江菜是需要精算的

鄭弘儀的大話引信可以被拆掉嗎


1937年10月28日夜間楊惠敏 (1915-1992) 將一面12尺長的中華民國國旗裹在身上所穿著的童軍服底下冒著戰火危險自公共租界出發成功泳渡蘇州河並獲得謝晉元的接見將國旗送至四行倉庫四十年後這件事被重新回憶 (八百壯士與我 楊惠敏述 張力行記 佛之光雜誌社 民國67) 2017年Aco找到這本她的祖父的書拿給我剛剛我找了一會沒有找到不知道放到那裡去了2018年11月這面旗重現高雄

文獻的缺口


自體心理學和中間學派的對話畢竟還是缺口雖然 Theories of Object Relations: Bridges to Self Psychology, by Howard Bacal, Kenneth Newman, Columbia University Press, 1989 已經臚列處理但那種處理基本上還是章節分陳的路數真正的對話應該不只於此同理自體心理學和關係學派的對話亦然反之與克萊茵學派應是對比對話和對比是不一樣的好的對話必然是生動的輓歌 (both lively and elegiac) 好的對比必然是知性的饗宴 (intellectually stimulating) 三十年前讀過一本小書是一個詩人與另一個詩人的對話那本書記得是送給我的老師Anna Ornstein了剛剛想了很久想不起來是那兩個人的對話那本書是我心目中好的對話的典範但我已說不清楚這句話是甚麼意思

在終極奧步呼之欲出的暗夜


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exGS2jodfPI  (背景音樂  two steps from hell)


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NytmhAFSdLM  (Cf.   two steps from hell)


Saturday, November 17, 2018

万科的楼盘也塌了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5uI8gn8mNiA&t=85s

【書齋夜話】110:綏靖主義無法解決根本的衝突

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LfzFQV7F8yY

文革告密舉報風潮再現?北京「神秘組織」高調開通微信公號

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5T-LnH-m0u0

民运和中共到底谁是汉奸?这所学校全国独一无二?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOYh9EZE_aA

侨报董事长被杀,中共驻美机构陷入内乱!世界民主狂飙突进,红色专制政权已成最后瓶颈

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9sM3JfL3EiY

Woodkid & Nils Frahm - Ellis (Official Trailer) (2015)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=02BcgqJ6UMI

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ellis_(film)

https://www.tribecafilm.com/stories/jr-s-new-film-ellis-preview-at-the-2015-new-yorker-festival-robert-de-niro-ellis-island/ (running time 14 minutes)

美国要对中共渗透重拳打击 最新报告显示美对中共一举一动关注程度让中国问题专家大吃一惊

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xX3XMFHhDsk

comics, well it's worth a belly-laugh, after all

He said, “What the hell have you got in here?”

“Comics,” she said. “More than a thousand. All the great ones. Lots of early Superman. From our dads and granddads. We were going to sell them in New York, to pay for Florida.”

Child, Lee. Past Tense: A Jack Reacher Novel (p. 365). Random House Publishing Group. Kindle edition.

要了命了!中国地产商有3850亿内债明年将到期

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DIndbAxzvU8

中美貿易戰 蘋果供應商廣東裁員萬人 工人抗議 防暴警察驅散

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wWmDvWBMY6U

北京街头惊现为文革全面翻案的数十张大字报

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6kTlkWga0iY

学生北大食堂发传单抗议公安蒙面校内殴打绑架声援独立工会同学,被保安及厨师长阻挠

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CeAoa9N5Dms

国被折腾得千疮百孔 民已被逼到悬崖边

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yN1H8jfcpdw

北大成立两新机构 加强监控师生言行

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KgfwwocH_xw

魏京生:中国人民从这场贸易战中能得到什么好处呢?那就是中共失败后会回归到常识 放弃习近平的倒行逆施

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbtQpFiojmI

新华社推送“义和团精神”和“枫桥经验”,慈禧老太太笑了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q275OfNFh5c

北京再犯致命误判:以为用“诈降”可以骗过美国人停战

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zgK1n6rr-Tw

馬建指無香港出版社願出《中國夢》 貝嶺:中文版明年台灣出版

https://www.thestandnews.com/politics/%E9%A6%AC%E5%BB%BA%E6%8C%87%E7%84%A1%E9%A6%99%E6%B8%AF%E5%87%BA%E7%89%88%E7%A4%BE%E9%A1%98%E5%87%BA-%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B%E5%A4%A2-%E8%B2%9D%E5%B6%BA-%E4%B8%AD%E6%96%87%E7%89%88%E6%98%8E%E5%B9%B4%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E5%87%BA%E7%89%88/

2:16 AM

昨天下午突然想到Freud跟Binswanger說的那段話說錯了Freud說朋友你說得很好但我一點都不相信你是住在頂樓的人而我住在黝暗的地下室我們這個年頭流行刷存在感存在感貫穿整棟樓從你的身體到你的靈魂所以存在治療是那棟樓的管家不是住在penthouse的貴客意思是說照顧好你的括約肌和照顧好你的靈性是同一件事這件事下次你小便脊椎神經抖擻的時候你就知道

2:05 AM


我們所經歷的時空事件決定了我們的語境的範圍和限制我們面對甚麼我們就是甚麼而能夠駕馭某個語境的人就會被當成專家這說明了洗碗的專家不是洗錢的專家洗錢的人不會去請教洗碗的人怎麼洗錢反之亦然

2:00 AM


那天我說邊緣性人格違常作為一個臨床建構(clinical construct)的歷史是一個近四十年來的精神醫學發展的成功故事值得作為一本博士論文來處理而C-PTSD目前的狀況很像1975-1980的邊緣性人格違常像是一個還沒有被命名的孩子

1:50 AM


當你面對浩瀚書海你不要驚就像你面對仗勢權貴不要顫抖是一樣道理雖然你知道你的膝蓋爭不爭氣要看你的根源在那裡那決定了你的判斷因為你知道真正的價值當你見到的時候這段話是寫給Aco看的

1:43 AM

舞鶴沒有唸完師大國文所是正確的如果真的唸完他就不是舞鶴他就是小野之流了這說明了野生動物不願被豢養的志氣也說明了放山雞才好吃的原因

1:30 AM


記錄一個消失的7-11這是林口虱目魚粥隔壁那家過去七年有不少深夜是在那裡度過去年隔條巷子開了一家OK打對臺逼得它重新裝潢我跟D君說回到毛胚重新來過要幾百萬生意難做呢做七年賠一年D君說不對是做三四年賠一年而且很多店主拚業績節省人事成本日夜不休賠上健康

1:13 AM


昨天想到土地公應該是小農經濟各家守著一畝三分地的合理庇佑者這可以說明為什麼桃園區(改制前的桃園市)有三四百家土地公廟因為一個土地公保佑的範圍不超過五十公尺桃園區直徑六公里既然有土地公那想必會有土地公公會他們的運作是封建世襲壟斷還是每四年改選輪流做莊說明了土地公的進化據香港捉鬼大師九叔生前語錄土地公也掌管方圓五十公尺的遊魂野鬼可參考暫時停止呼吸秋生所載女鬼從腳踏車上頭撞到樹枝跌落在地時身旁土地公冷笑為證

国际压力下 官媒突然报新疆教育营学员结业

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gSpbEIq8L6k

平论Live | 川普习近平G20阿根廷峰会在即,美中贸易战会不会峰回路转?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTPBR5cTltM

习近平重提四个字 被官媒诡异剪切

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zpfYxhLLpKI

出大事!中共統治經費出大問題了!川普施壓 調查:半數公司要轉移供應鏈

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Ts-jl6znqw

習回復川普142項3大類 中共對彭斯通牒表態了!業內:中國製造業崩潰馬上就到

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfSwTPGI9VE

Friday, November 16, 2018

中国房子已成万人坑

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-_J3XzXvNt0

巡察清查政审,中国高校风声鹤唳?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VuraqoIlvz0

媽寶市長和幾隻鳥炮和民進黨奧步萬歲萬萬歲

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2we2BNqCpo8

白宫罕见曝光刘鹤一份秘密文件 北京高层的确阴险至极 中国人再不觉醒将被红魔当祭品

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a8XHDYzCguA&t=138s

魏京生:中共就是個土皇帝獨裁體制 各地還有成千上萬個土皇帝

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHXpot2vZxA

中共官媒突然承认新疆再教育营的存在

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUnBiGSqWzE

揭秘中共官媒正在高调宣传的军民融合战略

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0EzpyKAe-MI

大戏落幕,一小撮垃圾家族统治十亿人的时代注定结束!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Of0HAdn4I7E

大舌头爆料音频揭示的监控手法,新疆法西斯统治模式正在向全国推广

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2lrGNWFAzbo

我是你爸爸

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=byjx-SEqk7g

万一房价出现大跌,对普通居民有何影响?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KxgcgTqDcc0

北京书面回应美要求 外媒:老调重弹无重大结构改革

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSeEPWkQnvo

程晓农 陈小平:白宫内斗幕后有华尔街鬼影?中美大战华尔街扮演什么角色?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKylamR3rxU

全军:两高一部发文放走多少白手套,一箭三雕反腐转向进入休渔期

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eV1U-IbICGM

in the past tense at present

jack just barely finished fighting that sumo guy, the trick this time was the knee, and burke showed him the message from the ornithologist from the university, now, p. 243, nearly two thirds along the way, what the hell is going on, how is that motel related to jack's past, why they kept those two canadians --- patty / shorty --- in custody in the motel, 

北京终于服软向美国提交“书面回答”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iY6cAdiuyjg

时事大家谈:基层矛盾难解,中共为何重提“枫桥经验”?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F0J36qW_uTU

Thursday, November 15, 2018

中国经济崩溃的另类解读,狂欢双11购物节背后的心理解读,淘宝如何实现9年4200倍的增长率的?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hBhIRqNaEX4

'I wouldn't go that far.'''

https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/books/97/08/03/reviews/20046.html

In no way could he ever be considered an optimist. In an often repeated story, on a glorious sunny day he walked jauntily through a London park with an old friend and exuded a feeling of joy. The friend said it was the kind of day that made one glad to be alive. Beckett responded, 'I wouldn't go that far.'''

江西老兵包围南昌火车站!老兵维权风云再起!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=63UXQ1bhHHw

上千陕西原民办、代课教师再次上访省府

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_59qFCNIAE

中国M2增速历史最低,对楼市房价有多大影响?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q806_2C4J1U

中共APEC造勢惹厭 巴紐明天撤五星旗

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-mkAgC-zf4

路透:北京已書面回應華府要求

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sz1aiFeklaQ

医疗产业化恶果!医疗系统破败不堪 中国病患绝望自制药物救命

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8hoDep0FFs

中共用2017年数据掩盖2018年职位流失

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LSABRMkL2Nc

黑龙江原网信办主任自缢 官方紧急排除他杀

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDkMhJp8w2Q

敏感信號!習近平肯定毛澤東 公檢法傾巢推「楓橋經驗」 新華網熱捧滅洋義和團

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N73PZcr_Gus

紅色的黃安和他的綠色的陰毛

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFcWLr8OgxY (around 1:15:00)

杨建利 陈小平:中共对中期选举两大希望全落空

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZNOOf0AZT8

驚爆 免費VPN超過半數歸中國公司所有

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqq0szwmTmY

习近平外事活动照稿读透露出不寻常信息:中共高层决裂不可避免

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TPIY0wLcb2Y

中国书面响应美国贸易需求,传正草拟让步协议

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mm31hTIXf54

中国流亡异见作家马建 谈习近平中国梦对世界的影响

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JlX9I8NFeDY

中共与俄罗斯疑似劫持谷歌流量进行网络战试验

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G4UbspDgdAQ

南中国将建超级门户,广州已发出大招

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nyLHjOnbjDM

油價見「熊」 恐預示中國經濟「硬著陸」

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTjpp7As7YM

GUEST COMMENT: NIDA Science Seeks Solutions to the Opioid Crisis (Nora Volkow, 2018-11-12)

https://www.asam.org/asamw-editorial-test/asam-weekly-editorial-comment/2018/11/12/asam-weekly-guest-column-nida-science-seeks-solutions-to-the-opioid-crisis

高雄選舉熱讓人感動!日本教授提4觀察直呼:想歸化我國籍

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YJuZctZ5-7c

城市維客樂團 岡山歌喉讚 把高雄還給我

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gavpi_T8Bic

their first public performance at 旗山 was a much better surprise 

懼師生「翻牆」 廣西大學出餿招引眾怒 萬民聲討

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKMFDYNe7qc

川习会有无成果窥豹一斑:彭斯已掀桌子,王岐山吹错枕边风

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CFwcYJzbDPo

金玉其外敗絮其中

邋遢其外邋遢其中

now, 落葉人生, lean and casual, living like a rag, 活得像抹布一樣, this is, what my friend Jack Reacher, looks like, and feels like, though, of course, Jack is huge, not LEAN, at all, 當你看到光鮮亮麗  你要看到廢墟  當你看到廢墟  你要看到生命  你可能沒有搞懂  我是在說一種生命哲學的態度  把這個態度拿掉  你就是一個貪污又哭窮的成功的屁  屁是甚麼你知道罷

7:40 AM

now, bright morning sun, over the hill, the clinical is a business of trepidation, which means, you WILL have to, have bad dreams, for example, just now, around 6:30 AM, the problem with CCP is evil, cheating, barbaric, predatory, exploitative, aggressive, and all the above veiled with pseudo-civilized, polished, and good-mannered lies, you SIMPLY cannot trust what they say and promise, under which there are always hidden agendas and rules (潛規則); now, they had a happy and huge gathering in kaohsiung last night, quite a pain in the arse, for the DPP, who has been renouned for its dirty maneuvers, this is surprising, when you see these assholes in suits and ties, to be so LOW, repeatedly, successfully, 

洛桑森格:国际社会需“睁大眼睛”审视“一带一路”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NeWWPsoym6c

https://www.voachinese.com/a/ned-discussion-tibet-and-the-belt-and-road-initiative-11132018/4657229.html

为什么中国外汇管制越收越紧?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gHDZpGOUWZo

中共牺牲民众利益对抗贸战 白宫改变战略开始精准打击中共权贵阶层 维护中国人利益

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43Yy64X4zms

中共把740万失业农民工赶回农村谎称“致富” 美再出重拳对中共征铝板双反关税 纳瓦罗猛批中共是声名狼藉的骗子

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpXHZhRg8PI

刘鹤来美重启谈判成谜;习近平闹“虚无”缺席百年峰会

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=96FbCATXapA

Australia's Plan to Challenge China in the South Pacific (Hudson Institute, 2018-11-8)

https://www.hudson.org/research/14675-australia-s-plan-to-challenge-china-in-the-south-pacific

决战太平洋 中共金援渗透 军方内部有“七大恐惧”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OCt_mOZA_4I

Joni Mitchell - Big Yellow Taxi (Official Lyric Video)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2595abcvh2M

美副总统对北京发“最后通牒”,李克强暗讽习近平只会念稿

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z-eAA_OB28A

USCC年度报告:美国会应设立基金抗衡中国一带一路

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GjLwcTuRWNs

經濟大幅下滑 北京大動作撐民企為時已晚

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kuZ-y9nTN6Q

中共输出专制模式 世界和平面临挑战

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9qb_rU1p4U8

http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2018/11/15/a1399349.html

https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/annual_reports/Executive%20Summary%202018%20Annual%20Report%20to%20Congress.pdf (USCC 2018 Annual Report, Executive Summary and Recommendations)

新华社发文赞义和团“反帝爱国”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ya6w0uu-mWk

https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/Xinwen/1114wul04-11142018064554.html

http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2018-11/13/c_1123707133.htm

G20峰会上习近平将面对川普强大攻势,战与降结果都是死,习会采用这个招数

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hHOSL-2TY6s

李俊毅說民進黨沒有出奧步這說明了學歐陸哲學對括約肌健康是有必要的

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qBsfc6nsIlU

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

politics of memory


回憶的政治學的意思是說你我的回憶屬於當權者他要你記得甚麼你就記得甚麼他不要你記得甚麼你就不記得甚麼我先前也說過我們對曾經歷的政權的記憶只有十年所以十年前的已經消失這是擁有權力者和時間的賽跑你我是跑不過他們的而你我的下一代已經聽不懂你我在講甚麼只記得擁有權力者告訴他們的以上是讀中共歷史和民進黨歷史的結論

传14名福彩高层贪千亿官方指数据不便公开

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tDCsB_5vwZg

陳其邁主持抹黑黃俊英記者會

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8RQ45SUGKvo


我的朋友查理士布朗遜說他今天下午也要去濟州島洗錢我衷心祝福他洗得乾乾淨淨這件事要寫進不乾不淨的台灣歷史

学运联手工运似曾相识,中共戒慎恐惧?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lKIM0jNPDW8

中国10月贷款融资断崖下落 个税飙升财政惨跌 三大严重后果

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YNw-i4YCD7M

中国生育率惊人下降,你的养老金不保

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6lGg9C6AI2c

陆学者:美国不会松绑 北京只能调整衰退节奏

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HodzvCXJj-w

別走還是沒走

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=taOH5CykdZ8

基辛格大叹美中关系回不去,呼吁中国放弃旧制度

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wUpHItvQ1dc

根据《法广之声》报导,在离开北京的前一晚,基辛格获得晚宴的邀约,与毛泽东秘书唐闻生、中共元老陈云长子陈元、中共前外长黄华的夫人何理良、中国全国人大外事委员会副主任傅莹和中共前领导人胡锦涛等人一同共桌吃饭。


老季也許忘了 或根本不知道 十四億中國人可不要忘了 陈元說過「統治階級要有統治意識」

没有左派右派的争端,只有专制与民主的对决!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sRsa245DS4Y

6:04 PM that is now ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j03A6LdJ2Jc

dear friends, this is, why taiwan is worth dying for 

重慶大轰炸 (1938-1944)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GwcJbpQCMjM

广西高校清查全校师生手机电脑

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO-lVD2HPzQ

全军:美国切断伊朗SWIFT威慑中国,中国多少企业家冤案待平反

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z0mTEORqJYo

習近平下一個更大賭注?和川普要達成框架協議?陸專家:拋棄幻想難回頭

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdroBziwb7o

中国自媒体遭大扫荡 20多天 上万账号被封

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kAWNU3w3JyE

From student to drone swarms: how the Chinese Communist Party trains its cadres in Australia (Alex Joske, 2018-11-10)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uI63lidMpc

http://www.epochtimes.com/gb/18/11/12/n10846837.htm

https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/from-student-to-drone-swarms-how-the-chinese-communist-party-trains-its-cadres-in-australia-20181108-p50evg.html

美国最新报告显示中国留学生人数增长速度放慢

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PES4tg5L8Bk

「雙11」狂歡背後有驚人內幕… 「自己操作過才知是多虛偽數字」

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BsKGNuNEaIY

中國經濟融資需求急劇萎縮 人民幣貸款腰斬

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7z1yUS5iMG0

拐点到来?中共财政惊现负增长,惯性危机积累模式运行

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i_YNugIc8WA

Antipsychotics May Increase Risk of Pneumonia, Meta-Analysis Suggests (APA, Psychiatric News Alert, 2018-11-13)

http://alert.psychnews.org/

中共〝灭推〞行动 推友斥:邪恶

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E59PdWWqn08

中國四大銀行雄霸全球 不是榮耀 是無恥!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K6Lbzp_AHrk

異見作家馬建《中國夢》講座全場爆滿 指中國照搬《1984》極權令文革重現

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-d7b-Co7M0Y

马建谈国际社会如何应对中国模式的输出

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YJh-ULZuT-I

否认放弃 中共官媒披露制造2025经费分配

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KKo1DqKoemk

时事大家谈:重返文革?高考政审为何惹众怒

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3RwTxRs9pXk

官媒过滤习近平〝自力更生〞讲话 洩露敏感信息

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpb0KiDBH4Q

影响中国国运的抉择,这次又选错了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UPqtq1dYtWY

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

友川カズキ『家出青年』(2014)  Kazuki Tomokawa - 'Runaway Lad' (with English Subtitles)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gR07hkkCE44

in the past tense

right now, patty / shorty the canadian couple were still trapped, and fooled around by those four weird guys, who always talked in complicated and good-mannered sentences, meantime, jack reacher was on his way, to ryantown, a nowhere amidst nowhere, supposed to be, in the dense woods, now, p. 109, one third along the way in this SLOW 'thriller', nothing happened, nobody died, yet, except jack gave the rich kid a lesson, and except a few clues, left by lee, intentionally, of course, for example, did stan reacher run away from the fight that night, who was mark reacher, was he related to jack, in a certain way, what was in that heavy and mysterious suitcase, in which lies the business plan of patty / shorty, if they could arrive at new york alive, 

【3.11後の世界,音楽の虹の橋 友川カズキ×七尾旅人】友川カズキ @甲府桜座 2014.3.11

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_G3FZSUIMDU

now, the problem, if it's a problem, shall we say, is that, he talked too much, or as much as, he sang, this time, but, obviously, they enjoyed it, i mean, the talking, which was, obviously, funny

淘寶退款崩了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2JRwB7KLHug

“中国模式论”是引发中美冲突的重要因素!(2018-11-7)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DF04ElSDFLE

https://chinadigitaltimes.net/chinese/2018/11/%E5%BC%A0%E7%BB%B4%E8%BF%8E%EF%BC%9A%E7%90%86%E8%A7%A3%E4%B8%96%E7%95%8C%E4%B8%8E%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E7%BB%8F%E6%B5%8E/ 
张维迎:理解世界与中国经济

ddのppp把高雄的奧步還給我

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWcYTjmK64A

马建吁港人团结 捍卫言论和创作自由

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=haNXLRIaWPw

中国流亡作家马建谈中国模式对国际的影响

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KSscJ5oCvBk


十天前才跟 Aco 提起馬建和他的舌苔因為她在想天葬的事很有趣他們都在英國

《新高地视频》4:中共十大最腐败家族评选揭晓 (2018-10-31)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AdO8bOy2zNQ

人民币将贬值为废纸,换汇买金银宜早不宜迟!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=orzvg00E2c4

森田童子さん  名曲をライブで

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wUmuOVz_HRc

川普对共产中国的打击烈度超过人们的认知?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVGJ65X6klo (in English)

习近平的几个亲信,做事都必須人文關懷的任性

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JE320BJtG8

任性是潑皮耍賴碰瓷罵街
所以這不是任性
這是上有所好下必甚焉
政治精算地向主子表志

峰会前施压?纳瓦罗直言不信任中共

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oXlJnzcDD_M


季辛吉你願意生活在中國嗎 ?

被封號文章!上海經濟真相:金融中心地位逐漸不保 喪失資金吸納能力

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U9DHhHrbKHg

http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1113/1203516.html

中国人突然暴富的钱是从哪里来的?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mSEuDt8l10k


印的偷的搶的貪的洗的

李小琳新头衔曝光 土地“国家化”养肥了中共权贵毁掉了中国经济

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sx0BeAnPY0Y

Today's Geriatric Medicine

http://www.todaysgeriatricmedicine.com/ (free subscription 2018-11-13)

http://www.todaysgeriatricmedicine.com/archive/0515p26.shtml (ISB in dementia)

福建省泉州市发生碳九重大泄漏事故 官员曝光:中共的环境政策实质上不是环保而是环境污染政策

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K9lqJHQZz-4

新高地视频16:2018中国青年在呐喊

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gz0A4OceQIU

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mj-Qw-tug9E

全军:中国改革开放陷入停顿困境,邓小平政改滞后招来今祸端

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5fA-0akJMBo

福建继重庆再推高考政审 网友檄文声讨爆红网络

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cvgNVkL3dRU

北京两网友表达政见 视频要求结束独裁

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bEvJqta9WHQ

央视炮轰自媒体六宗罪 福建高考也政审 北京房真价跌了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xt9axsqyX5o

摊牌倒计时!三大精英集团逼宫 习近平何去何从?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U5VTZiPRaX4

瑞銀警告:全面貿易戰背景下 人民幣將貶到 ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9POCAu3Fn4w

新疆醫師爆「再教育營」真相! 日記者揭聯合國不制裁中國內幕

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DkHpCAd7F0o

赵国以为可以拿苹果作为筹码,其实人家已经撤了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sLDHHvpsHFc

不可妄议“习禁评”,拍片网友失联

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ptK619Gqh4I (10:40)

王军涛 陈小平:美国持续强硬对付中国,习近平强势施政终于进入转折点

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y7p9dpOT3uM


推薦

聽到房子就渾身顫抖!這一天已經悄然來到

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Deb1Zh1i1iY

Monday, November 12, 2018

除了性生活,只剩打麻将:中国2000多个县城生活实录

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QzR0uVx5vRk


這樣的日子不錯而且還可以邊打麻將邊性生活

中共巧妙隐藏巨额债务 巨大金融危机的背后是所有债务最终全由民众买单

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-yErlMiZi0

突发!广州楼市房价放开限价,房开商不准搞大降价了

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=od-7cpbpX6o

運勢的週期與反撲


運勢的週期與反撲的關鍵在權力的腐化的速度
這句話太文謅謅了你聽不懂五十四歲前我也聽不懂
台灣話事人週期第一任四年通常還有點扭捏作態
意思是說邊布局邊裝得很有精神的說謊
第二任期則依照布局照表操課但已不想或無法裝得很有精神的說謊
意思是說裝得很有精神是很困難的不信你裝裝看
中共話事人週期的玩法有兩種
過去二十年是港片洪興法
今年三月開始回到正宗玩到掛法
後者是過去兩千年的傳統
唯一差別是可能不再強調親自播種下蛋世襲嫡傳
意思是說不見得是「我的」兒子但必須是「我們的」兒子
這種週期的權力的腐化江水滔滔是頑強的
因為變成一群人共同完成播種下蛋繁衍的艱鉅任務
這種玩法是中國歷史創舉的確是中國特色的創新
但選蛋的過程仍屬過去兩千年的傳統
再說一遍大家一起下蛋選個蛋玩到掛

陈奎德:中共与世界主流秩序为敌,所以需格外提防 (2018-11-1)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvdfPmxcL6E

跌了,北京房价真跌了:学区房跌回2016年底,新楼打折促销

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxCoEDgA2kc

习近平“权力保卫战”最新策略:对外服软,对内更强硬

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7UahTIps35w

applied neuroscientist or neuroscience-informed psychotherapist (or psychiatrist) ?

上述兩者的差別說明了近二十年的鐘擺背後的問題

Lost Time: Lectures on Proust in a Soviet Prison Camp (Jozef Czapski, NYRB, 2018-11-6)

The first translation of painter and writer Józef Czapski's inspiring lectures on Proust, first delivered in a prison camp in the Soviet Union during World War II.

During the Second World War, as a prisoner of war in a Soviet camp, and with nothing but memory to go on, the Polish artist and soldier Józef Czapski brought Marcel Proust’s In Search of Lost Time to life for an audience of prison inmates. In a series of lectures, Czapski described the arc and import of Proust’s masterpiece, sketched major and minor characters in striking detail, and movingly evoked the work’s originality, depth, and beauty. Eric Karpeles has translated this brilliant and ­altogether unparalleled feat of the critical imagination into English for the first time, and in a thoughtful introduction he brings out how, in reckoning with Proust’s great meditation on memory, Czapski helped his fellow officers to remember that there was a world apart from the world of the camp. Proust had staked the art of the novelist against the losses of a lifetime and the imminence of death. Recalling that triumphant wager, unfolding, like Sheherazade, the intricacies of Proust’s world night after night, Czapski showed to men at the end of their tether that the past remained present and there was a future in which to hope. (amazon)

Sunday, November 11, 2018

中共疯了!竟唆使新疆小学生清查家庭 还要签保证书

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hQdC_ZVfStQ

假若房价开始下跌,100万只能卖50万,中国经济会出现什么情形?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQlTptJvifo

北京稱740万人下鄉 - 504万家企業倒閉 .

http://news.dwnews.com/china/big5/news/2018-11-11/60097353.html


中國農業農村部鄉村產業发展司司長曾衍德說,返鄉下鄉創業創新人員達740万,其中非農創業人員達到300万。
官方稱,上述人員包括農民工、大學生、退役軍人和科技人員,平均年齡40歲,高中以上學历占40%。
然而,有財經人士在社交媒體質疑,上述返鄉下鄉人員,轉換個身份,其實就是“失業人員”。

森田童子 (best) 僕たちの失敗 ベスト・コレクション

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aYiKxUSl5Co&t=121s

PTSD 和 C-PTSD的差別是


PTSD 和 C-PTSD的差別是
前者遭遇的創傷只是偶發事件
讓後者煎熬恐懼無法脫逃的創傷是他的生活方式
換句話說後者像是在極權暴政下不見天日地活著

北京调整策略 秘密祭出另一套经济计划 美中暗战激烈

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Vfb1cqJnA8

除贸战影响外 中国经济还有4大危机 6大前兆显现危机已经到来

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gAm-eZvo7gY

http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2018/11/11/a1398869.html


今年以来,在贸易战的步步升级过程中,中国经济的困厄日渐浮现。日前,有美国媒体引述经济学家指出,除了贸易战的影响外,中国经济还有4大危机。稍早前,亦有财经金融人士表示,经济危机来临的6大前兆已逐渐在中国显现。

中国经济面临的4大危机

美国有线电视新闻网CNN日前在一篇报导中援引金融专家的观点指出,抛开贸易战的因素看,中国经济还有4大危机,即:巨额债务、货币疲软、房地产泡沫破裂危机、劳动人口老化。

首先,针对中国巨额债务的问题,CNN的报导援引澳洲国民银行的资深经济学家杰拉德伯格(Gerard Burg)的观点称,中国的经济增长一直是〝高度信贷密集型〞,现在中国金融体系的债务总额,已经是整个国民经济体的好几倍。

伯格并进一步指出,中国的那些巨额债务当中,有一部分是用于建设桥梁、道路等基础设施,但也有一部分是用于填补诸如大型国营公司等经济效率较低的企业造成的亏空,而那些真正有活力的私营企业反而完全没有受益。

报导表示,虽然北京当局现在公开承诺要重整金融体系,但国际上的不少分析师对中共政府的这些承诺持怀疑态度,尤其在中国经济成长放缓而且贸易战加剧的当下。

大和证券资本市场公司(Daiwa Capital Markets)经济学家Kevin Lai也指出,中国许多省级地方政府和国有企业,在没有定期注入低率信贷的情况下,会产生非常负面的影响,比如社会动荡、裁员和破产。

事实上,国际投行高盛(Goldman Sachs)早在2016年9月中旬就曾发布公告称,经过测算,中国的债务远远高于其所公开的数目而且在不断上涨。估计至2019年,中国的总债务与GDP的比值将超过400%,将会造成银行业,甚至是全球的金融危机。

第二,就货币疲软的问题来说,人民币近年来持续走低的趋势是十分明显的。

CNN
的报导表示,人民币汇率下跌虽然可以让中国产品在全球市场上卖得更便宜,但这种情况持续下去也会造成其他令北京当局〝头疼〞的问题。

最容易出现的恶果,就如新加坡研究公司Centennial Asia创始人巴斯卡兰(Manu Bhaskaran)所说的那样,人民币的快速下跌可能会成为一个恶性循环,造成巨大的资金外流。

事实上,在2015与2016年期间,由于担心人民币暴跌造成的恶性循环,北京政府曾不得不花费数千亿美元来支撑货币。而金融分析公司〝投宏观(Capital Economics)〞的数据显示,近几个月以来,北京当局似乎已开始遏制其庞大的外汇储备,以减缓人民币的下跌。

第三,针对中国房地产市场过热的背后潜伏着威胁,报导援引研究公司Gavekal的资料警告说,由于低利率和大城市的住宅短缺,中国房价在过去10年中翻了一倍多。但是,中国房地产市场现在似乎出现了一些危机,面对需求疲软,一些大型房地产开发商已经在大幅降价。

经济市场研究公司Fitch Solutions的分析师曾指出,房地产行业一直是中国经济为数不多的亮点之一,但如果下滑则就会成为负担,造成另一层压力。

第四,中国面临着一个特殊的〝大问题〞,就是人口老化。

过去几十年间,中共政府长期强制性在全国实施一胎化政策,到现在人口迅速老化的现象日益突出,由此带来的一系列社会问题及相应的恶劣后果也已经显现出来。

报导引述华盛顿智库美国企业研究所(American Enterprise Institute)的中国问题专家斯瑟思(Derek Scissors)指出,中国还面临着一个长期的而非急性的压力,即中国人口迅速老化与商业环境缺乏竞争等问题,而这些重大问题却在很大程度上被北京忽视了。

报导表示,虽然中共政府现在放宽了一胎化政策,并试图在银行和汽车等领域为外国公司提供更多机会来增加竞争,但这些措施来得太晚了,难以改变中国负债累累的经济体增长下滑的趋势。


经济危机来临的6大前兆

稍早前,华中科技大学兼职教授、财经金融评论家余丰慧曾于今年8月上旬在中国金融界网站发表评论文章指出,经济危机发生前通常会出现六大征兆:

一是历史证明,经济大危机基本都是出现在经济大繁荣或者假繁荣之后。一些国家经济繁荣是数据造假助推的,其实是假繁荣,已经接近经济危机。 

二是拚命放水货币,货币工具陷入流动性陷阱里。商品出现滞销,商店里购买者寥寥无几。货币效率降低。中小微企业融资难融资贵,而央行却在继续放水货币,整个经济凸显不景气。 

三是资产价格上涨超出理性,脱离了正轨,甚至在某一个或多个领域出现价格与价值扭曲严重的现象。例如上世纪日本的房价非理性暴涨,就是经济危机出现的苗头。 

四是贸易保护主义抬头,爆发贸易战,最终引爆经济危机。 

五是金融领域和经济领域的非规律性事件频繁,扭曲金融市场,比如扭曲股市成家常便饭。 

六是全社会都在掩耳盗铃,社会舆论自我陶醉,自吹自擂、自拉自唱,自我欺骗达到肆无忌惮之地步;主流媒体、决策层都在昧着良心说假话、唱赞歌,造成经济金融决策重大失误与误判。 

余丰慧并在文中提出,当以上所有这些现象都出现后,经济危机出现的时点,就只差一根甚至不需要充分理由的〝稻草〞了。而〝压倒骆驼的最后一根稻草〞只是一个借口,之前多年积累起的病灶,才是经济危机产生的罪魁祸首。

当时海外即有舆论指出,余丰慧所罗列的上述6大特征,在当今的中国都已经不同程度地存在。

The Trauma Recovery Group: A Guide for Practitioners (Michaela Mendelsohn, Judith Lewis Herman, Emily Schatzow, Melissa Coco, Diya Kallivayalil, Jocelyn Levitan, Gilford Press, 2011)

Rich with expert, practical guidance for therapists, this book presents a time-limited group treatment approach for survivors of interpersonal trauma. The Trauma Recovery Group is a Stage 2 approach within Judith Herman's influential stage model of treatment. It is designed for clients who have achieved basic safety and stability in present-day life and who are ready to work on processing and integrating traumatic memories. Vivid case examples and transcripts illustrate the process of screening, selecting, and orienting group members and helping them craft and work toward individualized goals, while optimizing the healing power of group interactions. In a convenient large-size format, the book includes reproducible handouts, worksheets, and flyers.

See also Group Trauma Treatment in Early Recovery, by Judith Lewis Herman and Diya Kallivayalil, which presents a Stage 1 approach that focuses on establishing safety, stability, and self-care. (amazon) 

Group Trauma Treatment in Early Recovery: Promoting Safety and Self-Care (Judith Herman, Diya Kallivayalil, and Members of the Victims of Violence Program, Guilford Press, 2018-11-19)

Infused with clinical wisdom, this book describes a supportive group treatment approach for survivors just beginning to come to terms with the impact of interpersonal trauma. Focusing on establishing safety, stability, and self-care, the Trauma Information Group (TIG) is a Stage 1 approach within Judith Herman's influential stage model of treatment. Vivid sample transcripts illustrate ways to help group participants deepen their understanding of trauma, build new coping skills, and develop increased compassion for themselves and for one another. In a large-size format for easy photocopying, the volume provides everything needed to implement the TIG, including session-by-session guidelines and extensive reproducible handouts and worksheets. Purchasers get access to a companion website where they can download and print the reproducible materials from the book, as well as an online-only set of handouts and worksheets in Spanish.

See also The Trauma Recovery Group, by Michaela Mendelsohn, Judith Lewis Herman, et al., which presents a Stage 2 treatment approach for clients who are ready to work on processing and integrating traumatic memories. (amazon) 

中共意图操控台湾选举,两岸战争从来没停过!台湾能够以弱胜强

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IgCK2qByn8U

中國房子夠40億人住了,為什么房價還是在漲?說出來你肯定不敢信

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RS62PLvfsl0

房价寒冬将至?马光远:2019年房价的下跌幅度将超过原来预计!(2018-10-29)

https://v.qq.com/x/page/s0772qhyxit.html

寒冬将至,中国房价开启全面下跌

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FhXK-5TqVwg

中国金融稳定? 专家:最大债务被掩盖

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S-wd9rafUi0

美國要求中共撤除南沙群島的導彈

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UoYzSAwqJPY

幸福照相馆 (2017)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRZRY2F3P5A

习近平、王岐山和基辛格频繁会面在密谋什么?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g2_w6jYgcz4

水餃一顆五元


通常二十顆八分飽二十五顆就太飽
剛剛想到那一盤兩千萬的水餃注意是每顆兩千萬那是十多年前的往事
該吃的都吃了該消化的都消化了該洗的都洗乾淨了媽媽的又餓起來了
也想到王岐山屠殺中級非趙家人的官員一百四十萬人並且抄家
每個人平均貪污多少你知道罷我們保守估算每顆八十億
你比我會算你告訴我老王抄家收割所得總共多少
你再告訴我這些抄家所得誰拿去了

Does Synthetic Data Hold The Secret To Artificial Intelligence? (Bernard Marr, Forbes, 2018-11-5)

https://www.forbes.com/sites/bernardmarr/2018/11/05/does-synthetic-data-hold-the-secret-to-artificial-intelligence/#1d121d6f42f8

开征房产税中国楼市会崩盘吗?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b-G-UvIhr9E

中国这场史无前例的金融盛宴已到终场

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O4h3D93YTOI&t=284s

夏业良:關於中期选举 和中美贸易战会偃旗息鼓吗?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCyfGrpNzaQ

楼市崩盘前都是有迹可循的

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vdcpquzPBOg

中国存款增速下滑,国民为什么不存钱了?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Wq8vAMMIyA

惊悚的中国经济,增速减半,债务倍增

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSN6u5k8dRA

http://www.aboluowang.com/2018/1026/1194806.html

中国新华社刊文:中央遏制房价上涨的决心不会变

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yN1v9vDYDK4

http://www.xinhuanet.com/house/2018-10-29/c_1123628009.htm

中国《人民日报》刊文:世间再无房地产

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yATmUJWQq7g

http://bbs.tianya.cn/post-develop-2340403-1.shtml

「我你爸爸 不要臉到了極點」

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oLg8N7BqdfA

彭斯将强烈批评中国并宣布一重大决定

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PS5WTg35aOo

〝爱投资〞欠款企业 涉及十多家上市公司 (P2P网贷)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uhBnxCV1ho

非洲猪瘟攻陷中国16省市 政府难辤其咎

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CmT4BiLUnA

跌了,北京房价真跌了:学区房跌回2016年底,新楼打折促销

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VNqbIOGh_sA

這個墨鏡很好

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DUxefztZIzc

今天大家一起來哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭哭

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tkfLDEwLvgI

大家來學正港台語 「一盤水餃兩千萬」

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AEZOAqXG6CQ

說得很好

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9abDjTRBoso

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b-yCWsiFsAs

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dEaQvyVa7vM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q2wxlBJz0nc

央妈真的不要脸,印钞进股市收割韭菜!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Jn9-yXeLec

中国银行海量烂账全民买单

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5PpMiDhYQM

中国人没钱啦!中年人收入百万,却还不起5000信用卡

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=goJ3R9RCA58

鬼戏院

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9G_vSBjwYU

政审你大爷


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ValPn17Vh-w

作者:红拂

重庆高考报名要政审的事儿火了,我一听,又乐了:有些东西又不知道自己是谁了.这国很多政策荒谬绝伦,但制定者为自己辩护起来总是振振有词,问题就在于他们不知道自己是谁。

高考报名要政审? MMp,大学是你家开的吗?这国绝大多数大学都是公立大学,公立的意思是花纳税人的钱在办教育。你们收税时从来不觉得我们道德品质恶劣,不要我们的肮脏钱,凭啥到了我们的孩子考大学的时候,就嫌弃我们的孩子道德品质恶劣,不让报名考大学了呢?再说,这道德品质恶劣是怎么界定的?申请信息公开,要求知道有没有签过放弃唐努乌梁海领土的条约,算道德品质恶劣吗?道德品质恶劣与否,谁有资格来界定?制定这种规定的脑残,你丫自己的道德品质过关吗?这国有道德品质罪吗,有道德法庭吗?一边昭告天下要依法治国.一边私下里浏纳税人的孩子进行道德审判,取消他们的高考报名资格,这事儿不荒谬吗?说一千道一万,只要我们的孩子没犯罪,凭啥取消孩子的高考报名资格,剥夺孩子接受高等教育的权利?你们制定这种脑残规定的时候,查过宪法吗,问过纳税人答应不答应吗?你丫的工资是从夭上掉下来的吗?纳税人掏钱付你工资,是让你为人民服务来着,不是祸祸人民来了。动不动就取消这个剥夺那个,这个收费那个涨价,不就是因为摆不正自己的位置吗?老以为老百姓的一切都是你们恩赐的,忘了你们的一切都是纳税人恩赐的。

连五代十国的后蜀皇帝孟超都知道’.尔傣尔禄,

民脂民膏”、“下民易虐,上天难欺”,那意思是
当官的吃的是老百姓的饭,要知道感恩,欺负老百姓狠了,是要
遭天打雷劈的。

在21世纪的今天,你们还不懂这道理,是脑残还是心坏呢?重庆的教育官儿一看这事闹大了,出来否认说没政审这回事,',我们叫思想政治的考核和现实表现的审核’’。越抹越黑了,”思想政治的考核“?这是在治思想罪吗?如果思想有罪,那全国人都可以入罪,谁思想有问题还不是你们一句话的事吗?

看过《肖申克的救赎》的瓜友可能都还记得,安迪辅导年轻犯人汤米考大学的事儿.犯人也可以考大学?没错,在美国,犯人也是可以接受教育的,部分表现好学业优秀的犯人甚至可以申请联邦佩尔助学金接受大学教育。美国有专门的监狱教育,对犯人进行职业技能和基础文化教育等等。不仅美国,欧美国家都有类似的监狱教育系统.有人可能会质疑说犯人凭什么接受教育,这不是在变相奖励犯罪吗?不是。欧美国家推行监狱教育,是因为犯罪率高的人群往往也是受教育但度较低的人群,因此他们认为让犯人接受教育,刑满回到社会后,二次犯罪的概率会大幅降低。事实证明,这个理论是成立的。英国司法部的统计显示,有了监狱教育后,二次犯罪率降低了一半以上,从而为司法系统节省了大量预防犯罪和起诉罪犯等等的开支,也就是说监狱教育替纳税人省了钱,也提高了纳税人的安全保障。监狱教育,一方面拯救了犯人的后半生,一方面保护了纳税人的钱袋和安全.相信犯人也能通过教育洗心革面,是人道至上的文明理念,绞尽脑汁为纳税人减负、对纳税人负责,是饮水思源的现代执政理念.

说白了,人家的政府「,知道自己是谁,知道是谁养活了谁,谁该为谁服务.教育的目的本来就是育人,通过教育让孩剥门成长为更好的自己,在社会上找到自己的位置,为社会发展贡献一己之力,也活出幸福快乐的自己.连犯人接受教育后都能洗心革面,更何况还处于思想成长期的孩子?以思想政治审核的名义剥夺孩子接受高等教育的权利,岂不是背离了教育的初衷与目的?人家“资本主义国家”都有信心教育好犯人, N个自信的你们倒没信心教育好孩子吗?以思想政治审核的名义剥夺孩子接受高等教育的权利,说白了就是把公民该有的权利当做奖赏与筹码来控制孩子脑子里想什么。孩子连思想的自由都没了,还会有创造力吗?难怪涣涣大国十四亿人口却造不好一个小小的芯片,造不好一个小小的圆珠笔尖。

有些东西,长点心吧,别老为了自己小集团的利益把全国人的利益和权利踩在脚底,把千千万万人的命运当儿戏,当心“上天难欺”,装逼遭雷劈!政审,审你大爷!